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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

 Clinton Administration Strategic Trade and Non-Proliferation Control 
                                 Agenda
        PREPARED STATEMENT OF UNDER SECRETARY WILLIAM A. REINSCH
                 PROLIFERATION AND U.S. EXPORT CONTROLS
                                HEARING
                               before the
                SUBCOMMITTEE ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY,
                  PROLIFERATION, AND FEDERAL SERVICES
                                 of the
                              COMMITTEE ON
                          GOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS
                          UNITED STATES SENATE
                             JUNE 11, 1997
                              Introduction
    I am pleased to be here today to discuss the Clinton 
Administration's strategic trade control program and to explain how it 
addresses the proliferation and other security threats we face in an 
era of major geopolitical transformation. The President considers an 
effective strategic trade control program to be a critical element of 
our overall national security posture, and he has directed us to 
constantly update our system so that it focuses on the new threats we 
face today.
    Since the end of the Cold War, crafting export control policy has 
become more difficult because the world is more complex and the battle 
lines between competing interests less defined. The Cold War, as long 
and costly as it was, had a certain elegant simplicity. The United 
States and its allies had a clear enemy, and we largely agreed on how 
it should be contained. Economic sacrifice was often asked and usually 
made by countries and companies in the name of containment, and that 
worked.
    Now that familiar structure has been replaced by less defined and 
more ambiguous threats no longer confined to a handful of relatively 
predictable actors. The immediate threats are now terrorism and the 
proliferation of weapons of mass destruction to a handful of smaller, 
geographically diverse rogue states.
    At the same time, the rapid spread of advanced technology in a 
globalizing economy has made critical items widely available, and it 
has greatly increased the number of nations capable of producing 
advanced technology. As a result, the United States does not have a 
monopoly on these items, if it ever did, and it has become harder to 
reach international consensus on what threats we face and harder to 
enforce any agreements we do reach. For many nations, economic 
objectives are now paramount as they seek to penetrate new markets. 
Yesterday's adversaries are today's customers, and yesterday's allies 
are today's competitors.
    Even when a policy is clear, our ability to implement it is not. 
The world abhors chemical and biological weapons, for example, but they 
can be produced with forty-year-old technologies using feedstocks and 
equipment found in hotel kitchens, breweries, universities and even 
high schools around the world. Building a nuclear weapon does not 
require sophisticated computers. The Administration's response to these 
changed circumstances includes basing its program on four major 
cornerstones:
          (1) Reforming the export licensing process so that all 
        relevant agencies can bring their expertise to the table in a 
        timely manner. This allows for comprehensive interagency review 
        of sensitive transactions while ensuring that the process does 
        not put U.S. exporters at a disadvantage.
          (2) Streamlining controls so they focus on items that pose 
        the greatest threat to our security.
          (3) Clarifying our regulatory regime so that exporters can 
        better understand their obligations and improve their internal 
        compliance programs.
          (4) Strengthening multilateral control systems.
                       Principal Accomplishments
    With respect to process reform, we have, through Executive Order, 
revamped the licensing process so that all relevant agencies can review 
all export license applications, if they wish. In return for that 
expansion of review authority, the other agencies have committed to 
Commerce to conduct their reviews within strict time limits, to provide 
a statutory or regulatory basis for their views, and to participate in 
a dispute settlement process at appropriate political levels.
    Thus far, this system appears to be working. Agencies are taking 
their responsibilities seriously, and processing times are down, except 
for licenses that formerly were not reviewed by other agencies. 
Commerce has sought and will continue to seek delegations of authority 
from the other agencies narrowing the scope of licenses they wish to 
see.
    It is important to note that some 96 per cent of the applications 
we review are resolved by interagency consensus at the working level. 
Those where there are differences of opinion are by far the minority of 
what we consider, and they are worked out in the dispute settlement 
process I referred to. Thus far all specific license disputes have been 
settled and have not had to be escalated beyond the assistant secretary 
level.
    With respect to streamlining, we have updated controls on high 
performance computers, semiconductors and semiconductor manufacturing 
equipment, Beta-test software, telecommunications equipment, and 
chemical mixtures, among others. These changes reflect rapid 
technological advances that have made previously controlled items 
``old'' technology widely available from numerous foreign sources.
    For example, in 1992 we treated a computer capable of running at 
195 Million Theoretical Operations per Second (MTOPS) as a 
supercomputer subject to strict controls. Today, personal computers 
that exceed this level of performance are being sold for less than 
$2000 at retail stores such as Best Buy and Radio Shack and through 
mail order catalogues.
    When President Clinton took office he was urged by Congressional 
leaders of both parties to make long overdue reforms in this area, and 
I believe our policy has been a model of good government decision 
making. The President's 1995 decision was the result of a joint 
interagency recommendation based on work that various agencies, 
including the Department of Defense, did internally, as well as a 
private sector study. The studies came to similar conclusions--that 
advances in computing technology were making ever-higher performing 
computers widely available internationally to the point where controls 
on them would be ineffective. In addition, they concluded that the 
level of computer power needed for a number of activities, including 
nuclear weapons development, was already widely available abroad. Other 
functions, which we wanted to protect, required performance levels well 
above the levels the President set.
    It is also worth noting that none of these studies took into 
account the rapid development of semiconductor technology that has 
permitted significant upgrading of existing machines by adding 
processors as well as parallel processing--the linking together of many 
smaller computers to achieve the same effect as a much larger machine. 
Both of these developments have had an enormous impact on making high 
performance computers essentially commodity products. In 1996, for 
example, the average performance level for a multiple processor was 
6923 MTOPS, forecast to rise to well over 10,000 this year. The average 
level for a single processor this year is 655 MTOPS, forecast to rise 
to 1135 next year.
    Our regulations prohibit the export under a license exception of 
computers that the exporter knows will be used to enhance computational 
power above the eligibility limit allowed for particular countries. 
Beyond that, controlling computers today with complete effectiveness 
would really mean individually licensing computers down to the level of 
those in your office, which would be absurd administratively and 
disastrous economically.
    The President's policy is a reflection of the reality of computer 
technology today--it is available abroad and is rapidly increasing in 
power and speed. Controls on all but the highest levels have limited 
utility, and efforts to control at lower levels will not only be 
unsuccessful, they will limit our ability to widely disseminate 
American standards and software and damage our companies economically. 
There has already been considerable consolidation within this industry, 
and these companies depend on exports for their survival.
    In the area of regulatory reform, for the first time in over 40 
years, we clarified and simplified the Export Administration 
Regulations through a comprehensive revision and reorganization, making 
them more user-friendly and easier to enforce. As a result, exporters 
have a better understanding of their obligations. All of this has been 
done in accordance with the goals set by the Trade Promotion 
Coordinating Committee (TPCC) in 1993.
    With respect to multilateral cooperation, the Administration has 
worked hard to establish the Wassenaar Arrangement, which deals with 
multilateral controls on exports of conventional arms and sensitive 
dual use equipment. This is a particularly important development as we 
transition from East-West Cold War controls to a regime that focuses 
upon transfers of equipment and technology that could enhance 
conventional military capabilities in destabilizing ways or increase 
the access of rogue nations to weapons of mass destruction or the means 
to deliver them. We continue to work in Wassenaar to build consensus 
with our new partners on strategic controls and sales of military 
equipment.
    The Administration has also worked to strengthen other multilateral 
nonproliferation regimes such as the Australia Group, the Missile 
Technology Control Regime and the Nuclear Suppliers Group by further 
harmonizing implementation procedures and expanding membership when 
possible. These actions not only advance our non-proliferation 
objectives but also enhance U.S. exporters' ability to engage in 
legitimate trade and compete worldwide on a level playing field. 
Finally, we have worked with many of the newly independent states of 
the former USSR and Central and in Eastern Europe to help them develop 
effective export control systems. These initiatives are particularly 
important since many of these countries possess strong technical 
capabilities to support weapons proliferation programs. It is clearly 
in our national interest to work closely with them as they develop the 
legal, regulatory, administrative and enforcement capabilities they 
need to control sensitive exports.
    In all of these initiatives BXA's enforcement program plays a key 
role in protecting our national security and foreign policy interests, 
particularly as we focus more on specific end-users and end- uses, and 
Congress has supported these efforts through additional funds. Through 
our nonproliferation, counter terrorism, and national security export 
enforcement programs, we have conducted hundreds of investigations over 
the last four and a half years. These have led to the criminal 
prosecution of persons who illegally exported zirconium for Iraqi 
munitions, unlicensed equipment for India's missile program, brokerage 
services for Iraqi rocket fuel, and gas masks to suspected Aum 
Shinrikyo terrorists in Japan, just to name a few. These investigations 
also included the first civil charges and penalties for alleged 
unlicensed exports of biotoxins which are controlled to prevent 
proliferation. Just two weeks ago we executed a search warrant on a 
firm that apparently shipped software for integrated circuit design to 
China without the proper license.
    BXA prohibits exports of items that would make material 
contributions to proliferation projects abroad, regardless of whether 
such items are specifically listed on the Commerce Control List in the 
Export Administration Regulations (EAR). Under the Enhanced 
Proliferation Control Initiative (EPCI) provisions of the EAR an 
exporter must apply for a license when he or she knows or is informed 
by BXA that the end use of an item may be destined for a project or 
activity of proliferation concern. In addition, the EAR prohibits any 
US person from supporting proliferation projects in any way--even when 
there are no U.S. products or no export transactions involved. For 
example, following an investigation by Commerce, Customs and FBI, a 
Long Island resident pled guilty to violating the EPCI provisions of 
the EAR in that he brokered the sale of Chinese-origin ammonium 
perchlorate, a rocket fuel ingredient, to Iraq. The shipment was 
stopped. This ``catch-all'' control regime is comprehensive and 
provides an important underpinning to our overall strategic trade 
control program.
                             Future Trends
Chemical Weapons Convention
    The Chemical Weapons Convention represents a critical step forward 
in our effort to counter the proliferation of weapons of mass 
destruction by establishing an international norm whereby nations agree 
to ban an entire class of weapons. BXA will focus on two major areas--
obtaining data declarations from about 2000 non-governmental plant 
sites and coordinating international inspections of those facilities. 
Our objective is to ensure compliance with U.S. treaty obligations in a 
manner that minimizes costs of compliance for US industry and maximizes 
protection of confidential business information.
         Further Export Control Liberalizations Will Be Limited
    We are down now to less than 9,000 licenses annually, and, 
increasingly, they are limited to items that are multilaterally 
controlled or items that are controlled to terrorist or other rogue 
states where our policy is unlikely to change in the short run. 
Accordingly, we are not likely to see many dramatic control list 
modifications in the near term. Nevertheless, we have an ongoing need 
to keep our controls up to date with advances in technology and 
spreading foreign availability. In sectors like electronics, where 
product life cycles are short, we need to review our policies regularly 
to make sure we are not continuing to control old generation items that 
are now widely available from other sources.
    I know that at least two nations are of particular interest to this 
Committee with respect to our export control efforts--Russia and China. 
Let me comment briefly on each.
Russia
    Russia is continuing to develop its own export control system and 
is in the early stages of participating in international export control 
regimes. It is a member of Wassenaar and just signed the NATO-Russia 
Founding Act which provides a framework for a new substantive 
relationship between NATO and Russia. It is a party to major non-
proliferation treaties and agreements. It has signed but not yet 
ratified the CWC, as the Russian Parliament still has the CWC before 
it. BXA is active in providing direct training and support to working 
with Russian (and NIS) trade and export control officials under our 
Nonproliferation Export Control Cooperation program. We are encouraged 
by these developments and hopeful that they will enable us to work out 
problems in a cooperative way, including cases of diversion or illegal 
purchases. At the same time, as Mr. Einhorn reported to this Committee 
last week, although Russian policies with respect to the development 
and export of weapons of mass destruction are encouraging, actual 
events from time to time are not consistent with those policies. Until 
we see greater consistency between Russian policy and practice, 
including a Russian export control system that is more reliable and 
fully harmonized with our own and that of our other Wassenaar partners, 
we will continue to maintain appropriate controls on exports to Russia.
China
    Let me close by briefly addressing our licensing policy toward 
China. The Administration policy toward China is one of constructive 
engagement. We seek to engage with China to strengthen cooperation in 
areas where we agree and resolve differences where we do not. Our 
overall goal is to encourage China to become integrated into the worls 
system and to meet international norms of behavior, in nonproliferation 
and export controls, as well as other areas. We believe that expanding 
trade, business, academic, and government contacts with China is 
supportive of this goal.
    The Administration rejects the view, held by some of our critics, 
that China is an enemy that must be contained. Our export control 
policy toward China seeks to support our engagement strategy and 
creation of higher-paying, export-based jobs in the U.S., while denying 
licenses for items whose export would pose significant national 
security risks to the U.S. For this reason the vast majority of U.S. 
exports to China proceed with no objections by the U.S. Government. 
However, we scrutinize carefully exports which might raise national 
security concerns. We also continue to maintain Tiananmen sanctions, 
which limit the items that can be licensed for China. Where appropriate 
we impose sanctions on Chinese entities for proliferation or other 
activities, consistent with U.S. laws.
                               Conclusion
    The Clinton Administration is proud of its strategic trade and non-
proliferation record. We have developed an effective interagency 
process that facilitates legitimate trade while restricting transfers 
that are inimical to our national interests. We have strengthened our 
enforcement capabilities, and we have worked effectively with the 
business community to enlist their support for our control initiatives. 
In the years ahead, we will continue our efforts to work closely with 
the Congress so that we can present a united front to the world 
community on nonproliferation and counter-terrorism.



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