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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

OPENING STATEMENT REP. CURT WELDON CHAIRMAN RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT SUBCOMMITTEE HEARING ON NUCLEAR TERRORISM AND COUNTERMEASURES October 1, 1997

This afternoon, the Military Research and Development Subcommittee meets in open session to receive testi-mony on nuclear terrorism and steps that the U.S. government has taken to guard against this threat. As we meet here today, the motion picture Peacemaker, that opened in hundreds of movie theaters across the nation last week, is raising the consciousness of Americans about the threat posed by Russia's deteriorating control over its nuclear arsenal, that could allow terrorists to acquire a nuclear weapon. In the movie Peacemaker, Russian organized crime penetrates the Russian military, corrupting key officers in charge of nuclear weapons security, who steal several nuclear weapons for sale to terrorists. One of the bombs ends up in New York City.

Peacemaker is entertaining fiction. But it is also a disturbing case of art imitating life. Many of the premises of the motion picture are based on grim realities. Corruption and organized crime in the Russian military is a growing problem, and is reaching such proportions that the security of Russian nuclear weapons and materials could be threat-ened. Just yesterday, the Center for Strategic and International Studies released a substantial report concluding that the spread of organized crime into the military raises "the prospect of strategic, nuclear armed missile systems in the hands of a disintegrating military subject to criminal control."

Indeed, Aleksandr Lebed, former presidential candidate and Secretary of the Russian Security Council, recently alleged that terrorists may already be in possession of Russian nuclear weapons. The first time that we learned about these stray devices was on May 30, when Lebed met with the congressional delegation that I led to Russia. Lebed said that, while still acting in his capacity as Secretary of the Russian Security Council, he had conducted a study of the Russian military's accounting for its nuclear weapons, and found that the military had lost track of 84 suitcase-sized nuclear bombs, any one of which could kill up to 100,000 people. In a U.S. television interview, aired on September 7, Lebed said he now believes the number of missing nuclear weapons to be more than 100. He said the devices were the perfect terrorist weapon, as the small nuclear bombs were made to look like suitcases and could be detonated by one person with less than 30-minutes preparation.

Lebed's allegations have been vehemently denied by the Russian government. Moscow has even asserted that nuclear weapons of the kind described by Lebed never existed, an erroneous claim that does not help the credibility of Moscow's denials. Russian special forces are known to possess atomic demolition munitions (ADMs)-small, man-portable nuclear weapons that could be concealed in a backpack or suitcase. Nor is Moscow's credibility helped by its poor record of veracity on other issues-such as the purpose of the vast underground complex currently being constructed under Yamantau Mountain, and Moscow's dissembling on its assistance to Iran and Iraq's ballistic missile programs.

More credible Lebed critics are former Russian Defense Minister Igor Rodionov and Duma defense committee chairman Lev Rohklin, who are no fans of the Yeltsin government and have been as vocal as Lebed about the nuclear security risks that attend the disintegration of the Russian military. Rodionov and Rohklin deny that any Russian nuclear weapons are missing. On the other hand, they are Lebed's political rivals and may hope that, by undermining Lebed's credibility, they will injure the popular ex-general's chances to win the next presidential election. Lebed's former deputy on the Russian Security Council, Vladimir Denisov, affirms Lebed's claims about missing Russian nuclear weapons: "The leakage of nuclear materials and nuclear ammunition components is not a new theme but it became especially topical during hostilities in Chechnya.there was no certainty.that no low-yield nuclear ammunition remained on the territory of Ukraine, Georgia, or the Baltic countries or that such weapons had not appeared in Chechnya."

Dr. Alexei Yablokov, former environmental advisor to President Yeltsin and a respected member of the Russian Federation Academy of Sciences, said he personally knew people who manufactured the suitcase nuclear bombs that Moscow claims do not exist, and that Lebed says are missing. Dr. Yablokov will testify before the Subcommittee tomorrow.

So, the bottom-line is that no one in the West, and few in Russia, know whether Lebed is telling the truth. Dozens of small nuclear weapons, ideal for terrorist use, may have fallen into the wrong hands. Or perhaps not. The important point is that crime, corruption, incompetence, and institutional disintegration are so advanced in Russia that the theft of nuclear weapons, unthinkable in the Soviet war machine of the Cold War, seems entirely plausible in the Russia of today. The mere possibility that terrorists or rogue states may have acquired some Russian nuclear weapons should be a matter of the gravest concern to the governments of the West.

Another reality captured in the movie Peacemaker is that we are not helpless in the face of nuclear terrorism. The movie portrays Nuclear Emergency Search Teams springing into action to save New York from a terrorist nuclear weapon. NEST teams prepared to combat nuclear terrorism actually exist, and we shall hear more about them today. Whether the happy ending portrayed in Peacemaker would in fact be the likely outcome of an actual nuclear terrorist event is highly problemati-cal. We can and should do more to combat the threat of nuclear terrorism.

Joining us today to provide their insights are three panels of expert witnesses. On our first panel are Jessica Stern, former Director of Russian, Ukrainian, and Eurasian Affairs on the National Security Council; and Lisa Gordon-Hagerty, Director of the Office of Emergency Response Defense Programs at the Department of Energy. Ms. Stern, who dealt with issues of Russian nuclear security and proliferation while serving on the NSC, is the inspiration for the character played by Nicole Kidman in Peacemaker. Today, if a terrorist event such as portrayed in Peacemaker were to actually occur, Ms. Gordon-Hagerty would be doing Nicole Kidman's job, coordinating our response to the terrorist threat.

Our second group of panelists will discuss the effect of organized crime on Russian nuclear security and the problem of nuclear proliferation. The panelists are JudgeWilliam Webster, former Director of the CIA and FBI, and Arnaud de Borchgrave and Frank Cilluffo of the Center for Strategic and International Security, who have just completed a major study on Russian organized crime.

Our third and final panelist will be Arnold Warshawsky of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, who will discuss a promising new technology for detecting and thwarting a terrorist attempt to smuggle a nuclear weapon into a U.S. city.



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