Global Climate Change National Security Implications
Edited by Dr. Carolyn Pumphrey.
May 2008
454 Pages
Brief Synopsis
On March 29-31, 2007, the Strategic Studies Institute and the Triangle Institute for Security Studies conducted a colloquium on “Global Climate Change: National Security Implications” held in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. This volume is based on the proceedings of this conference. Chapter 1 addresses the growing historical awareness of the threat and outlines the science of climate-change. Chapters 2 and 3 focus on how climate change might affect human societies and the degree to which it might cause or exacerbate violence and conflict. Particular attention is paid to the implications for the security of the United States. Chapters 4 and 5 consider a variety of potential solutions, ranging from international diplomacy to the development of efficient technologies. Chapters 6 and 7 focus on the role of the U.S. Armed Forces. What can they do and what should they do to mitigate climate change or prepare to meet the threat? Chapter 8 summarizes and concludes. Contributors to this volume agree that climate change is a threat deserving of serious attention. They stress the need for greater planning and coordination and for further research as well as the utility of engagement—military to military and state to state—on environmental issues. They differ as to whether the Armed Forces should play a leading or supporting role, but agree that they can—and already do—make a valuable contribution.
Contents
Preface
Introduction
Carolyn Pumphrey
1. DEFINING THE PROBLEM
A National Security Issue? How People Tried to Frame Global Warming
Spencer R. Weart
The Science of Climate Change
Robert W. Corell
A Threat Assessment
Richard A. Matthew
Commentator
James A. Rotenberg
Discussion
2. HUMAN SECURITY
Water, Climate Change, and Human Security
Erika Weinthal
On Climate Change and Infectious Disease: Implications for Political Destabilization and Conflict
Andrew Price-Smith
Climate Change, Population Movements, and Conflict
Timothy J. McKeown
Commentator
David Gilmartin
Discussion
3. U.S. NATIONAL DEFENSE
Climate Change: Complicating the Struggle against Extremist Ideology
Kent Hughes Butts
Under What Conditions Could Climate Change Pose a Threat to U.S. National Security?
Joshua Busby
The “Perfect Storm”
John T. Ackerman
Commentator
Gregory M. Douquet
Discussion
4. MEETING THE CHALLENGE
International Diplomacy
Dennis Tänzler
Meeting the Challenge of Climate Change: The Role of the Corporation
Simon Rich
Climate Change in the American Mind
Anthony Leiserowitz
Commentator
Marvin S. Soroos
Discussion
5. PREPARING FOR A CHANGED ENVIRONMENT
Achilles’ Other Heel: Early Warning Systems
Michael H. Glantz
Good Governance and Stability
Robert H. Dorff
Defense Planning
Henry H. Gaffney, Jr.
Commentator
William Schlesinger
Discussion
6. OPPORTUNITIES OR OBSTACLES FOR THE MILITARY
Climate, Energy, and Security—A Related Set of Challenges
E. Thomas Morehouse, Jr.
Military Technology and Renewable Energy
David A. Sheets
Warfare and Climate Change
Karen Lesley Hulme
Commentator
Christopher H. Schroeder
Discussion
7. THE U.S. MILITARY: PLANNING FOR THE FUTURE
The Role of the Military in Civil Support
Bert B. Tussing
Peace Operations
William L. Nash
The Strategic Challenges of the U.S. Army in the Face of Global Climate Change
Douglas V. Johnson II
Commentator
Richard J. Kilroy, Jr.
Discussion
8. KEYNOTE AND SUMMATION
Keynote Address
Paul J. Kern
Synopsis and Concluding Remarks
Richard Weitz
General Wrap Up
About the Contributors
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