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CHINESE ARMY BUILDING IN THE ERA OF JIANG ZEMIN

Andrew Scobell

July 2000

The views expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government.


SUMMARY

To many in the United States, China looms large and threatening.

This monograph attempts to answer, through an analysis of China s defense establishment under the leadership of Jiang Zemin, questions such as: What are the national security and national military goals of China s leaders? What strategies are Chinese leaders considering in pursuit of these goals? What is the likelihood that these goals will be attained?

It assesses the political and economic determinants of China s effort to modernize its armed forces. Four possible strategies are outlined: (1) playing the superpower game," (2) playing to its strengths," (3) changing the rules of the game," or (4) don t play that game." The factors that will determine the selection of a strategy are examined. The most likely strategy is identified and its outcome of evaluated. Lastly, the implications of the study for the U.S. defense community are addressed.


To view the complete study in an Adobe Acrobat format, click

HERE


Strategic Studies Institute
United States Army War College
Carlisle Barracks


This page last updated on 16 Aug 2000.



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