World View: The 1998 Strategic Assessment from the Strategic Studies Institute
Edited by Dr. Earl H. Tilford Jr..
February 26, 1998
81 Pages
Brief Synopsis
World View presents the annual strategic assessments of the analysts at the Strategic Studies Institute. It is fifth in a series that reflects both our individual forecasts and collective review of the key security issues facing the United States. The process that produces World View also leads to our annual Research and Outreach Plan.
The strategic context is not vastly changed for 1998. It is as complex and uncertain as it has been virtually every year since the end of the Cold War. This year, however, we are also assessing the future in the light of the Quadrennial Defense Review, published in May 1997, and the Report of the National Defense Panel, issued in December.
Like the first post-Cold War decade, the first 20 years of the next century will be vibrant times for the armed forces, and the Army in particular. The 21st century, as we already see today, will be a time in which land forces play pivotal roles in the strategic environment. This central place of land forces in our national defense coincides with the evolution of the Army to Army XXI and subsequently to the Army After Next, potentially a more revolutionary transformation.
The Strategic Studies Institute offers World View as an assessment which we hope will be of value to strategic planners, as well as to those who have an interest in the nation's security well into the 21st century.
Contents
FOREWORD
SECTION I. ARMY ISSUES, THE FUTURE AND THE ARMY AFTER NEXT
Army Issues: A Time of Change
Douglas C. Lovelace, Jr. and Douglas V. Johnson II
The Future and the Army After Next: A Contextual Framework for the Future
William J. Doll
The State of the Army After Next
Douglas V. Johnson II
SECTION II. THE QUADRENNIAL DEFENSE REVIEW AND THOUGHTS ON THE NATIONAL DEFENSE PANEL REPORT
Quadrennial Defense Review
William T. Johnsen
The Report of the National Defense Panel
William T. Johnsen
SECTION III. TRANSREGIONAL SECURITY FORECAST
Europe
Thomas-Durell Young
Russia and the Commonwealth of Independent States
Stephen J. Blank.
Eastern Europe
Stephen J. Blank
Bosnia-Herzegovina
William T. Johnsen
Asia Pacific
Stephen J. Blank
The Middle East and Southwest Asia
Stephen C. Pelletiere
Sub-Saharan Africa
Steven Metz
Latin America
Donald E. Schulz
BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCHES OF THE AUTHORS
Access Full Report [PDF]: World View: The 1998 Strategic Assessment from the Strategic Studies Institute
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