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World View: The 1996 Strategic Assessment from the Strategic Studies Institute

Edited by Dr. Earl H. Tilford Jr..

February 01, 1996

43 Pages

Brief Synopsis

The analysts at the Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) annually assess the strategic equation for their particular area of interest. This year they were asked to consider not only the next 12-18 months, but also to look 10 years ahead and to think about the future as it might affect both the nation and the Army. From the strategic context that they envision, SSI is producing its 1996 Study Program. This process provides the transition from the general strategic context to individual studies.

These 1996 strategic assessments are crucial for two reasons. First, the post-Cold War world remains complex. These complexities present the nation and the Army with diverse and potentially perilous challenges. To remain the world's best Army in the 21st century, we must define clearly today the strategic challenges we may face tomorrow. Second, the Army is addressing this strategic context at a crucial juncture when it has nearly completed its planned downsizing and has begun to transform its vision of the future into modernization requirements through the Force XXI process. That transformation is threatened by continued pressures to reduce Army spending.

Contents

INTRODUCTION
Earl H. Tilford, Jr.

THE GLOBAL SECURITY ENVIRONMENT
Steven Metz

RUSSIA AND THE COMMONWEALTH OF INDEPENDENT STATES
Stephen J. Blank

CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE
Stephen J. Blank

WESTERN EUROPE: 1996-2006
William T. Johnsen
Thomas-Durell Young

LATIN AMERICA
Donald E. Schulz

THE MIDDLE EAST
Stephen C. Pelletiere

AFRICA
Steven Metz

ASIA-PACIFIC REGION
Thomas L. Wilborn

THE FUTURE
William J. Doll

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE ARMY
Earl H. Tilford, Jr.

BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCHES OF THE AUTHORS


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