Sixty
Dos For The MEF: Still Valid?
CSC
1995
SUBJECT
AREA - Strategic Issues
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Title:
Sixty Days of Supply (DOS) for the MEF: Still Valid?
Author:
Major Peter B. McMurran, United States Marine Corps
Thesis:
With the near term arrival of enhanced in-transit visibility technology,
"off the
shelve"
products of supply, and the reduced threat, is there still a need for our MEF
commanders
to deploy with sixty days of supply?
Background: The United States Marine Corps has billed
itself for years as the force in
readiness.
Our Marine Air Ground Task Forces (MAGTFs) are flexible, task organized,
expeditionary,
sustainable, combined arms teams, the largest of which is the Marine
Expeditionary
Force (MEF). We have historically advertised our sustainment for a MEF
at
sixty days. In other words, the MEF can sustain itself for sixty days with what
it brings
to
the theater. This "requirement" can place a burden on the MEF
commander in terms of
managing
these resources. These assets are held either within his force or with the
Supporting
Establishment. Defense dollars are dwindling. A way of stretching limited
defense
dollars is through inventory reduction. Arguments could be made that because of
technology,
industrial base products and a reduced threat, holding and deploying with 60
DOS
of all ground supply stocks is necessary and wasteful.
Recommendation: The MAGTF is the operational center of
gravity for the Marine
Corps.
Disrupting MAGTF sustainment dilutes the expeditionary combat capability of the
MAGTF.
Our nation and the joint /combined community have come to depend on what
the
Marine Corps can do as the enabling force. The possible dollars saved is not
worth
the
risk of diluting our combat sustainment which translates into combat staying
power
and flexibility for the CINC.
Sixty Days of Supply (DOS) for
the MEF: Still Valid?
Introduction
You are the MEF G-4. The wartime host
nation support agreement that the
Department
of State and Commander in Chief(CINC) negotiated has just been dissolved
due
to a change in the political climate of the host nation. Recent Service policy
changes
have
shifted the bulk of medical consumables and subsistence items to the industrial
base.
You
are currently in-country with a joint/combined force under MARFOR operational
control.
Your order and shipping for wartime is estimated to be 42 days. You currently
have
22 days of supply (DOS) on hand with a CINC safety level of fifteen DOS.
Unfortunately,
the MEF deployed with only 30 DOS in these two critical classes of supply
based
upon policy decisions driving funding realities. You will be short supplies in
one
week
or you will be consuming your safety stocks unless the MEF commander requests a
radical
shift in his airlift support from personnel transport to sustainment. Either
option
will
have an operational impact...
Taking into account the above scenario, ask
the basic question: Is it still valid for the
MEF
to deploy with sixty days of supply in all classes or should the MEF deploy
with
less?
There are numerous issues and many additional questions that spring from this
basic
question.
For example, is present technology able to track supplies better then ever
before
and
thus shorten the request/ response/fill time from the distributor to the
consumer?
If so, would this visibility allow
for our supply depots to hold less inventory? Are
there
contractors in the industrial base that can stock items in certain classes of
supply and
provide
them at lower cost and deliver them more quickly than our ground supply system?
Does
the reduced threat of a Soviet global war and the emphasis upon regional
conflict
impact
upon our levels of sustainment? Do we need more or less? Where did the number
of
sixty days come from? Is it DoD policy or did it evolve over time?
Is
it based upon Army support in theater after a period of time and is it still
valid in a two
MRC
strategic concept?
Purpose
The
purpose of this military issues paper is to attempt to answer the above
questions.
Additionally,
I want to see if there is reason to shape our sustainment tail differently,
enabling
the MEF commander more flexibility and possibly enhancing his ability to better
train
and deploy MAGTFs. The 60 DOS position, for the purposes of this paper, will be
based
on the deliberate plans currently tasked by the Joint Strategic Capabilities
Plan
(JSCP).
This means that the MEFs currently plan to a 120 day plan length and assume
that
two simultaneous MRCs could take place. I will not argue whether or not that is
a
good
or bad plan, it is given. A primary reason why I chose this topic was to
improve my
knowledge
of Marine Corps sustainment and war materiel policy and also see if maybe
there
is a better way to utilize a shrinking defense dollar without harming the
capabilities
of
our MAGTFs. I will organize my paper by first defining and explaining current
Marine
Corps
sustainment policy with emphasis on the MAGTF. Secondly, I will briefly explain
how
we arrived at our current policy and what DoD policies support or influence our
policy.
Next, I will briefly examine the fiscal side of the Marine Corps and it's
impact
upon
sustainment. Then, I will introduce some aspects of deliberate planning in
order to
demonstrate
where sustainment fits into defense planning. At this point I will then look at
the
roles and missions of the Marine Corps and why changing sustainment policy may
not
be
a good idea at this, or any other time. Lastly, in working my way through these
pages,
I
will hope to answer my initial question and in so doing, discount the idea of
reducing
MAGTF
support levels.
A Beginning: MAGTF's and Sustainment
A fundamental capability of a Marine Air
Ground Task Force (MAGTF) is it's ability to
operate
for extended periods of time as an expeditionary force while relying upon its
own
resources
for sustainment. Whether the MAGTF is a Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU),
a
Marine Expeditionary Force (Forward ) MEF(FWD) or a Marine Expeditionary Force
(MEF),
all are capable of initial self sustainment. This level of initial self
sustainment is
also
known as accompanying supplies. Accompanying Supplies are the amount of
supplies
that deploy with the MAGTF providing initial sustainment. If this level is
beyond
Naval
organic lift capability (i.e. amphibious shipping) then additional lift assets
(withold
shipping)
will be allocated in order to ensure that these accompanying supplies arrive
with
or
shortly after the MAGTF arrives in the area of operations and will continue
until the
appropriate
level has been reached. Accompanying Supplies are all the unit has to operate
with
until the establishment or execution of resupply channels, host nation support
(HNS)
or
Inter-Service Support Agreements (ISSA's).
Accompanying Supplies may come from a
combination of FMF stocks: Maritime
Prepositioning
Squadrons (MPS), Landing Force Operational Reserve Material (LFORM)
or
Force Service Support Group (FSSG) held assets, are but a few examples.
The Marine Corps supply system is designed
to support MAGTF ground operations
with
up to the following levels of accompanying supplies:
1)SPMAGTF - as
required
2)MEU-15 DOS
3)MEF(FWD)-30 DOS
4)MEF-60 DOS
MAGTFs will deploy in response to varying
missions. With a military strategy that
emphasizes
engagement in addition to regional focus, forward presence and crisis
response,
the Marine Corps is uniquely suited to be the initial force of choice by the
National
Commmand Authorities (NCA). An attractive aspect of our employability are
the
characteristics of all MAGTFs. They are task organized, expeditionary,
self-sustaining,
combined arms teams which are forward deployed or ready to deploy. If
a
theater combatant commander calls for the employment of a MAGTF, the size of
the
MAGTF
will depend upon the mission requirements of that CINC. If it is a situation
that
can
be accomplished by the capabilitues resident within a MEU then normally a
floating
MEU
already operating in that CINC's area of operations would be given the mission
or
another
MEU would be "chopped" to that CINC for the mission. If it is a
larger
requirement,
then a MEF (FWD) would be deployed and would probably, in most
circumstances,
marry up with MPS shipping. As the situation develops further, and if
more
forces are required, the MEF would be deployed.
The
Marine Corps can deploy initially as an enabling force and perform in a low
intensity/Operations
Other Than War (OOTW) scenario and with echelonment of force,
respond
to a mid to high level intensity scenario in a relatively short period of time.
Responding
with a sustained, combined arms capability is what our Corps is designed
for.
It is our ability to deploy rapidly and to be ready, that is, and will continue
to be, a
critical
element to our success. It is how we advertise ourselves to the defense
community.
If we did not have the sustainment initially to carry out our mission, it would
be
similar to deploying a MAGTF without the notional aviation, ground combat or
command
elements. It just isn't going to work as well as we and our Nation have come to
expect.
The MAGTF is the operational center of gravity of the Marine Corps.
Any
part of which is diluted, dilutes the essence of our operational backbone and
because
of this, there would be tremendous institutional skepticism and resistance to
changing
the current MAGTF model. Thus, proposing to change the sustainment policy
of
deploying MAGTFs without concrete reasoning would also be met with resistance.
Especially,
if it sends the message, even the perception, to the joint community and to the
DoD
at large that we are lessening the capabilities of our MAGTFs.
A Look Back: Policy History
and Current Policy
With a focus upon a Soviet led invasion of
Europe, previous DoD policy called for
the
concept of Prepositioned War Reserves (PWR) and Other War Reserves (OWR)
which
would support forces through a planned baseline of 180 days. The PWR
requirement
would support forces for day 1-60 and the OWR requirement would support
the
force from day 61-180. Our 60 day figure was adapted from DoD policy, CINC
requirements
and the Marine Corps interpretation of this policy. Implementation, in
general
terms, called for our PWR to be procured
(60
DOS/DOA per MEF) and to be held either in the force or in-stores. The
availability
of
funding would translate this planning requirement to actual stocks. Certain
classes of
supply
cannot be procured in required quantities due to funding constraints,
availability or
shelf
life. This is usually the case with Class V (ammunition) and Class VIII
(medical).
The
MEF commander holds PWR in his immediate vicinity (force-held) or at Marine
Corps
Logistic Bases, Albany or Barstow or at an integrated materiel managers
geo-location
(stores- held).
The caveat being that the MEF commander
will have access to these stocks in able to
support
the timelines prescribed by the CINC via the Joint Strategic Capabilities Plan
(JSCP)
upon initiation of a contingency. Therefore, it was, and still is common
practice
among
the MEF commanders to force-hold a MEF(FWD) worth of stocks, roughly 30
DOS
with the remainder being held in-stores. Current DoD policy allows for the
Services
to
use peacetime operating stocks and training stocks to meet wartime
requirements.
Thus,
these stocks are additive to war reserve materiel stocks. This enables the
Services
to
better support their wartime contingencies.
Our MAGTFs are apportioned for plug to the
Unified Commanders via the JSCP.
The
JSCP states that the apportioned MAGTF, a MEF, will normally deploy with sixty
days
of accompanying supplies. The Defense Planning Guidance (DPG) is much broader
in
scope
and program driven. It tasks the Services to be prepared to support the
National
Military
Strategy (NMS) and the needs of the Unified Commanders.
DoD policy calls for the Services war
reserve materiel inventories to be sized,
managed,
and positioned to achieve the greatest flexibility in responding to regional
contingencies,
while minimizing DoD investment in inventories. Thus, the procurement
of
sustainment is a balancing act between funding levels, competing requirements
within
the
Services and the warfighting requirements of the CINCs. In order to understand
this
relationship
more fully a brief explanation of the fiscal structure of the Marine Corps and
its
impact on sustainment is needed.
Fiscal
Overview
The Marine Corps has five Marine unique
appropriation categories. There are three
other
categories that fall under Navy appropriations which are not required for our
discussion.
The two Marine Corps categories that are linked to sustainment supporting
operations
are the Operation and Maintenance, Marine Corps (O&MMC) account and the
Procurement,
Marine Corps (PMC) account. In simple terms, O&MMC account dollars
pay
for the expense of running the Fleet Marine Force (FMF). This includes among
other
things:
transportation, training and consumable supplies. The total dollar amount of
this
account
has decreased in the last three fiscal years (1992,'93, and '94). The ability
of the
MEF
to train at consistent levels has thus fallen off as the support training
dollars have
declined.
However, the tasking to the MEF have not. Thus, equipment, personnel and
supplies
are being pushed to perform at higher levels with less time off. This squeezes
the
performance
of assets to a finer point, one that may not be sustained over time without
failure.
The impact upon force readiness could be substantial. As we are tasked at the
high
end and funded at a decreasing rate, the possibility of broken systems is
increased yet
our
ability to fix them is lessened because the dollars are not there. This
generates
maintenance
backlogs. Maintenance backlogs equate to less sustainment as there is less in
the
"barn" to pull from. Less sustainment could put the Marine Corps in a
position of not
being
able to adequately respond to CINC operational taskings. This is a readiness
point
our
congressional and political leaders are currently wrestling with. Since we are
near the
breaking
point of meeting our "routine" day in and day out missions it may be
foolish to
further
decrease our ability to sustain our MAGTFs.
The other account with a much more direct
link to sustainment is the PMC. These are
the
account dollars that purchase ammunition, weapons, combat vehicles, support
vehicles,
spares and repair parts, etc. This account has decreased by about one third
since
1991.
Thus, not only are our near term operating dollars shrinking, our ability to
physically
purchase sustainment into the future is also declining. With this fiscal
picture
and
the continued high tempo of requirements thrust upon our operating forces, we
are
going
down a high risk, little gain road that will eventually hollow out our force
readiness
and
sustainment. From a funding perspective it could be reasoned that reducing
future
inventory,
i.e. not programming as much, could put more dollars into training, which
could
better maintain the warfighting posture of the MEF. Well, in a sense that has
happened.
The PMC, in simple terms, buys our inventory. It has been slashed. Our
operations
account, O&MMC, which buys our training, has been as closely maintained as
possible
with some decrease. Thus, today we can fight but tomorrow, well it depends. I
bring
these points to the table because they directly relate to sustainment and the
ability of
the
MAGTF to fight per current JSCP taskings.
We are already walking a fine edge and any
policy change that reduces our sustainment
could
put us in a situation that restricts rather than enhances our MAGTFs in support
of
CINC
taskings. It is my opinion that the Marine Corps would be extremely hard
pressed
to
execute and sustain two nearly simultaneous Major Regional Contingencies
(MRCs).
From
an operators point of view any further degradation of sustainment could prove
hazardous
to operating forces.
Requirements, Sourcing,
and Shortfalls
As mentioned earlier, the JSCP tasks the
CINCs with various regional taskings and
apportions
forces. The CINC is then responsible to develop an Operations Plan (OPLAN)
or
a Concept Plan (CONPLAN) in order to execute what he has been tasked to do. For
our
purposes, we will focus on the operation plan as this requires a Time Phased
Force
and
Deployment Data (TPFDD).
Each component is required, based on the
CINC's guidance, to develop an operations
plan
that supports their part of the overall plan. This planning process is normally
conducted
over a 8-10 month time span. There are numerous planning meetings and
refinement
conferences that take place during this period of development. For our
purposes,
we will merely look at the sustainment portion of the cycle. It is important
that
we
look here because this is where we build sustainment for our operating forces
in
support
of the CINC's OPLAN. If the Marine Corps cannot provide sustainment for the
MEF,
this is resolved during this planning process. For example, MEF is the MARFOR
component
for OPLAN XXXX. Class I will be used to illustrate the process. In simple
terms,
the MEF G-4 would find a source of supply for the entire MEF Class I
requirement
which
is computed based on total number of personnel, combat consumpton factors, and
the
length of the plan. He would first look to his force held stocks and apply
those against
the
total requirement. The delta or difference would be passed on to Marine Corps
Logistics
Base, Albany or Barstow as they would then look to their in-stores stocks and
apply
those against the total requirement. This delta would then he passed to the
Defense
Logistics
Agency (DLA) as they would apply their resources against the requirement. If
the
requirement could not he filled by the DoD, private industry could then he
contracted
to
fill the void.
The point here is that a requirement, its
source of supply and a shortfall are passed on
until
there is no delta and agreements or plans are initiated that fill the
requirement. The
other
part to this puzzle, logistically, is that transportation assets will need to
be allocated
to
move the supplies from its source to its port of debarkation. The important
point is
that,
conceptually, it does not matter where the class of supply comes from as long
as it
meets
the following criteria: it has transportation allocated against it, it is
registered in the
TPFDD,
and it meets the required time-lines of the component commander and the CINC.
What if the Marine Corps could only source
43 days of Class I within its force held and
in-stores
assets and then passed the delta on to outside agencies? What impact would this
have
on our sustainability? None whatsoever, if ,and it could become a big if; the
remaining
15 days of Class I arrived in theater meeting the OPLAN's time lines. Which, as
tasked
by the JSCP, means our MEF deploys with 60 DOS of accompanying supplies.
Thus,
for our example, the source of supply would have to have that Class I
requirement
aboard
shipping on, or shortly after, the day the MEF's deployment began.
Role: and Missions: An
Impact?
The Marine Corps has proven one thing over
and over again and that is it's internal
flexibility.
What is it that makes us so flexible? At least a couple of points. First, our
missions
have been so varied throughout our history that as an institution we have had
to
be
flexible. Secondly, our emphasis upon coming from the sea, recently labeled but
functionally
as old as the Corps, has shaped our need for flexibility.
Carrying our own sustainment and relying on
our own is the Marine way. In 1952 we
were
mandated, "...to be the most ready when the nation is the least
ready". This is the
bedrock
foundation of our Corps and the MAGTF is the unit which provides this
readiness
to our nation. The MAGTFs readiness is built around it's ability to sustain and
care
for itself. Examples of this readiness
and flexibility are expeditionary airfields, MPS
stocks
feeding non-Marines or a MEU command element acting as a short duration joint
headquarters.
Over the years this has contributed to a Marine mindset of being able to do
more
with less and to be innovators within our doctrine. Historically, whether we
look at
the
birth of amphibious doctrine in the 1920's, the innovation of the 1st Marine
Provisional
Brigade
in Korea or our current emphasis on operational manuever from the sea, the
Marine
Corps has continuely fine tuned a ready and capable combat machine. Shifting
our
sustainment
responsibilities in certain classes of supply to lessen the inventory deployed
with
our MAGTFs and the amount the supporting establishment holds is an innovation.
But
the test that it will have to pass is posed by a simple question: what do we
gain by it?
And
more importantly, does it enhance or detract from our combat capability?
Analysis
The analysis can be simple in general terms
and be looked at as a function of cost,
sourcing
and transporting. If a class or sub-class of supply can be obtained/contracted
when
needed, in the quantities required, and transported to meet the wartime
timeline's of
the
theater combatant commander, then does it not make sense to task the industrial
base
to
provide this? On paper that may be a good argument. But you are reducing your
cushion
against the unknown. The world has become less stable and the situations the
Marine
Corps will find themselves deployed to requires more flexibility and staying
power
than
ever before. The Cold War world was alot clearer than today's world and our
responses
were tailored to meet global wars. What do we tailor our force and sustainment
to
in today's threat environment? Are we handcuffing our MAGTFs if we lessen the
DOS?
I say we are. A MEF(FWD) deployed with 30 DOS will be constrained by the
CINCs
fifteen day safety level policy and an order-ship-time of thirty days. Thus,
the
flexibility
and leeway for forces in country is not much. Place this MAGTF in an
infrastructure
poor environment with a credible threat and we can see how critical it is to
have
staying power afloat, offshore and ready. Secondly, consider the lift
consraints for a
major
regional contingency. One must be cognizant of the fact that all Services are
going
to
be requesting and competing for lift assests from CINCTRANS. As it is now we
have
planned,
dedicated sealift to carry our accompanying supplies. If the Marine Corps does
not
have its stocks ready for embarkation at the designated port, as we don't have
control
now
since we are relying on commercial vendors, we could lose that transportation
and
would
certainly incur a cost to our Service in both credibility and dollars. Is the
industrial
base
prepared to manage stocks and have them ready at the port in time? The MEF and
the
Supporting Establishment commanders would have less inventory to manage which
equates
to dollars saved but how much and is it worth it? It can be arqued that as long
as
the
sustainment requirement is shown and all agencies have visibility of the
requirement,
and
if the critical transportation assets are allocated to move those supplies as
prescribed
by
the component commander than it is invisible to the CINC where it comes from or
where
it is held. However, at the time of execution all plans change and it is
concievable
that
this neat arrangement could collapse. Is the payoff of not holding these supplies
greater
than the risk of not having them in time of need? Pose this question to a MEF
commander
and I propose that not a one would put his future and faith initially in a
commercial
source of supply unless they had to. Given the choice, they would rather have
the
gear in their barn, and ready, rather than in the midwest somewhere, maybe
ready.
Conclusion
It has been the purpose of this paper to
explore the possibility of the MEFs to deploy
with
less than 60 DOS/DOA as is currently the case. It is a fact that the industrial
base
could
provide, if contracted, certain classes of supply to the DoD that would lessen
the
inventories
of component commanders. Technology is becoming increasingly
sophisticated.
Ordering and tracking supplies in transit has allowed the time between
requisition
and delivery to be lessened appreciably, allowing for less stocks to be held as
a
"safety
level". Some could argue that certain stocks and consumables are not
required in
the
same quantities as they were when we had a conventional threat and that since
the
threat
has lessened so to should our sustainment. I do not agree with this assessment.
With
the requirement of two MRC's it is even more critical that we deploy with 60
DOS
per
MEF. Why? Because our requirements are greater. Think back to the time of
Desert
Storm when the Marine Corps was feeding Army units those first fifteen-twenty
days.
Look at Somalia where the MPS stocks were used as sustainment for multinational
forces
and, at times, the Somalies. Look at Operation Sea Angel where a special
purpose
MAGTF
provided relief supplies to Bangladesh after participating in Desert Storm.
Look
at
Operation Provide Comfort where a MEU operated outside it's doctrinal envelope
and
was
initially a joint task force headquarters. If we did not have this initial
sustainment
capability
what would have happened? Who would have answered the Nations call to be
the
most ready? Look at what the Army is doing now with their prepositioning
program.
They
certainly saw the flexibility, utility and combat enhancement our MPS program
has
provided
to us.
In combat, it is still all about being
there with the "mostest, firstest". I submit that
we,
as an institution, not get distracted by the majority of operations since the
Cold War
that
have been Operations Other Than War (OOTW). Our mission in its most basic form
is
still to locate, close with and destroy the enemy. Handing out sacks of flour
and
building
refugee camps is a hard job and, at times, deadly but it is not our raison
d'etre.
We
need to train for combat and for sustaining combat. No commander wants to be
caught
without the staying power to prosecute the campaign. Readiness and sustainment
are
the foundations of preparedness.
Historically, the Marine Corps has been
held up as the force in readiness; relevant and
capable.
Recently, efforts have been initiated by personnel from MCCDC and HQMC that
have
changed the way we calculate days of supply. Revised Combat Action Replacement
Factors
(CARFS) and updated ammunition and casualty planning factors have greatly
increased
the amount of sustainment we have. What
used to represent 30 days of
sustainment
in terms of square, cube, weight and quantity is now capable of supporting 50
to
60 days, depending on the class. With
these new planning factors your number of
containers
carrying ammunition, for example, would decline dramatically. Factor these
new
calculations across all classes of supply and one can see a smaller footprint
supporting
our MAGTFs without touching the accompanying supply levels we are used
to. In some classes, what a MEU used to carry
could now be capable of sustaining a
MEF
(FWD). Recalculating what goes into a
DOS better supports our MAGTF's
sustainment
than does merely subtracting DOS from existing levels.
It is my opinion that we should not reduce
our sustainment tail and that we should
continue
to deploy with up to 60 days of sustainment per MEF as best we can because
that
is what we bring to the defense of our Nation. It is not worth the possible
savings to
tinker
with our MAGTFs. We get what we pay for and the Marine Corps is a bargain.
Bibliography
1.
United States Marine Corps, Concepts and Issues 1994, Headquarters Marine
Corps,
1994.
2.
Joint Pub 1, Joint Warfare of the Armed Forces, U.S. Government Printing
office,
1991.
3.
Department of Defense Directive No. 3110.6, War Reserve Materiel Policy, April,
1994.
4.
Marine Corps Order (FINAL DRAFT) P4081.1, War Materiel Manual, October,
1994.
5.
Forward...From The Sea, November, 1994.
6.
FMFM 1-2, The Role of the Marine Corps in the National Defense, 1991.
7.
The Joint Strategic Capabilities Plan (JSCP), 1993. (TS)
8.
The Defense Planning Guidance (DPG), 1994. (S/NF)
9.
The Marine Corps Capabilities Plan, 1992.
10.
Marine Corps Association, The Marine Corps Gazette, October, 1994.
11.
Interview with Mr. Nick Linkowitz, Deputy Branch Head, Logistics,Plans and
Operations, Installations and Logistics,
HQMC.
12.
Interview with LtCol. Roy Truba, Section Head, Logistics, Plans and Operations,
Installations and Logistics, HQMC.
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