Identification of agitators, insurgents, militias or criminal organizations, their supporters, and sympathizers who suddenly appear, in, or move out of, an area.
Emergence of new leaders among the population.
New faces in a rural community.
Unusual gatherings among the population.
Disruption of normal social patterns.
Mass urban rural migration or vice versa.
Massing of combatants of competing power groups.
Increase in the size of embassy or consulate staffs from a country or countries that support indigenous disaffected groups, particularly those hostile to the United States or the current intervention.
Increase in neighboring countries of staff and activities at embassies or consulates of countries associated with supporting indigenous disaffected groups.
Increased travel by suspected subversives or leaders of competing power bases to countries hostile to the United States or opposed to the current intervention.
Influx of opposition resident and expatriate leaders into the AO.
Reports of opposition or disaffected indigenous population receiving military training in foreign countries.
Increase of visitors (for example, tourists, technicians, businessmen, religious leaders, officials) from groups or countries hostile to the United States or opposed to the current intervention.
Close connections between diplomatic personnel of hostile countries and local opposition groups.
Communications between opposition groups and external supporters.
Increase of disaffected youth gatherings.
Establishment of organizations of unexplained origin and with unclear or nebulous aims.
Establishment of a new organization to replace an existing organizational structure with identical aims.
Appearance of many new members in existing organizations such as labor unions.
Infiltration of student organizations by known agitators.
Appearance of new organizations stressing grievances or interests of repressed or minority groups.
Reports of large donations to new or revamped organizations.
Reports of payment to locals for engaging in subversive or hostile activities.
Reports of formation of opposition paramilitary or militia organizations.
Reports of lists of targets for planned opposition attacks.
Appearance of "professional" agitators in gatherings or demonstrations that result in violence.
Evidence of paid and armed demonstrators' participation in riots.
Significant increase in thefts, armed robberies, and violent crime in rural areas; increase in bank robberies in urban areas.
Refusal of population to pay or unusual difficulty to collect rent, taxes, or loan payments.
Trends of demonstrated hostility toward government forces or mission force.
Unexplained population disappearance from or avoidance of certain areas.
Unexplained disappearance or dislocation of young people. Reported incidents of attempted recruitment to join new movements or underground organizations.
Criminals and disaffected youth who appear to be acting with and for the opposition.
Reports of extortion and other coercion by opposition elements to obtain financial support from the population.
Use of fear tactics to coerce, control, or influence the local population.
Reports of HN government or mission force facilities and personnel surveillance.
|Activities Directed Against the Government/Mission Force
Failure of police and informer nets to report accurate information, which may indicate sources are actively supporting opposition elements or are intimidated.
Decreasing success of government law enforcement or military infiltration of opposition or disaffected organizations.
Assassination or disappearance of government sources.
Reports of attempts to bribe or blackmail government officials, law enforcement employees, or mission personnel.
Reports of attempts to obtain classified information from government officials, government offices, or mission personnel.
Classified information leaked to the media.
Sudden affluence of certain government and law enforcement personnel.
Recurring failure of government or mission force raids on suspected opposition organizations or illegal activities apparently due to forewarning.
Increased hostile or illegal activity against the HN government, its law enforcement and military organizations, foreigners, minority groups, or competing political, ethnic, linguistic, or religious groups.
Demonstrations against government forces, minority groups, or foreigners designed to instigate violent confrontations with government or mission forces.
Increased antigovernment or mission force rhetoric in local media.
Occurrence of strikes in critical areas intended to cast doubt on the HN government's ability to maintain order and provide for the people.
Unexplained loss, destruction, or forgery of government identification cards and passports.
Recurring unexplained disruption of public utilities.
Reports of terrorist acts or extortion attempts against local government leaders and businessmen.
Murder of kidnapping of government, military, and law enforcement officials or mission force personnel.
Closing of schools.