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REVOLUTIONS POSSIBLE IN UZBEKISTAN AND TAJIKISTAN, EXPERT SAYS

RIA Novosti

MOSCOW, April 5 (RIA Novosti) - Head of the Political Research Institute Sergei Markov believes that Russia should prompt Alexander Lukashenko to modernize his regime in order to avoid a revolution in Belarus.

"The regime in Belarus is more stable. Lukashenko is a bright charismatic leader, who is afraid of nothing. However, after the Ukrainian revolution pressure on Lukashenko will be considerably growing," Markov said at a RIA Novosti press conference.

The political analyst believes that Russia should promote enlargement of the political base in the republic. "We should prompt Lukashenko to modernize his regime and prepare a democratic pro-Russian statesman in Belarus," he noted.

In Markov's opinion, revolutions are also possible in Uzbekistan and Tajikistan. "The regimes in these countries are not really democratic and such regimes are often overthrown as a result of coups," he said.

The situation in Uzbekistan is alarming, Markov stressed adding that there were some assassination attempts on the head of state.

"If a crisis breaks out, a revolution may occur. I think this does not meet our interests. I doubt that this will lead to democracy. On the contrary, it will result in destabilization and consolidation of the Islamic factor in the region," the political analyst said.

In spite of the revolutions in Ukraine, Georgia and Kyrgyzstan, Russia remains an important stabilizing factor on the post-Soviet space, Markov emphasized. In his words, ordinary people hoped that Russia would help settle the situation in Kyrgyzstan.

Leader of the international Eurasian movement Alexander Dugin believes, in turn, that the events in Kyrgyzstan have shown not only Russia's loss and the choice of a sovereign state but also the formation of a unipolar world with the U.S. playing the leading role.

"The United States obviously sponsors network processes in the CIS and we should not ignore this," Dugin said.



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