SHAPE
News Summary & Analysis
15
January 2004
BALKANS
- NATO secretary general urges Bosnians to capture war criminals
IRAQ
- German commentary sees indications for NATO mission in Iraq
in mid-2004
ISAF
- Process of removing heavy weapons from Kabul begins
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BALKANS
- According to
AP, NATO Secretary General de Hoop Scheffer urged Bosnia Thursday
to enact military reforms and arrest war crimes suspects, suggesting
that progress on those two fronts would boost the country’s efforts
to join the Alliance. In remarks on his first visit to Sarajevo, Mr.
de Hoop Scheffer reportedly noted that NATO-led peacekeepers had already
detained “roughly one-third of the indictees awaiting trial at
The Hague.” But, he added, “it remains the responsibility
of local authorities to arrest those indicted for war crimes.”
He also praised local politicians for recently adopting legislation
that will unify Bosnia’s two armies. A related SRNA dispatch quotes
Mr. de Hoop Scheffer saying that last week’s SFOR operation
in the Bosnian Serb Republic clearly showed that the multinational forces
in Bosnia continued to support efforts to bring war crimes suspects
to justice. In another development, AFP reports that in
Athens Thursday, Bosnia’s tripartite presidency told a joint news
conference with Greek Prime Minister Costas Simitis that it will cooperate
with the ICTY in attempts to arrest former Bosnian Serb leader Karadzic.
IRAQ
- German
media continue to speculate that NATO will probably take over military
responsibility for parts of Iraq in the second half of this year and
that an informal meeting of NATO defense ministers in February, on the
eve of a security conference, might pave the way for this ahead of the
June NATO summit. Financial Times Deutschland, Jan. 13, urged the German
government, the other Europeans, and the Americans to seize the opportunity
to overcome past differences over Iraq and breathe new life into NATO.
The newspaper said: “Some (German) government foreign policy experts
understand what is at stake. If a consensus is achieved, the renewed
NATO might become a link between Europeans and the United States. However,
… if the two sides do not manage to bridge the gap, the final
breakup will be imminent. The decisive question will be whether the
two sides manage to define the tasks of the renewed NATO in mutual agreement.
Since September 2001, the Alliance as our grandfathers knew it has lost
its importance. Sept. 11 showed that both Europeans and Americans have
a vital interest in a multilaterally organized power that maintains
order. Its tasks would be the worldwide anti-terror fight, the stabilization
of disintegrating states like Afghanistan, and the security of nation
building like in Iraq. Only NATO has the capacities to act worldwide
as a power maintaining order together with local partners. There is
no other alliance of military potent states with an integrated military
leadership that can shoulder such mission.”
A report
in the daily Die Welt that Chancellor Schroeder has pledged a med-evac
unit for Iraq after the transfer of sovereignty is generating interest.
Die Welt claims it has obtained information indicating that
Schroeder explicitly mentioned a deployment of the Bundeswehr’s
med-evac airborne hospital to Iraq during a session of the Bundestag’s
Foreign Affairs Committee on Wednesday. According to the article,
the precondition for this commitment by Berlin is the transfer of
governmental sovereignty to the Iraqis, which the United States plans
to carry out by the middle of the year. If NATO were to then decide
in favor of a deployment in Iraq, “we will not stand in NATO’s
way,” Schroeder reportedly told the committee, which met behind
closed doors. According to the newspaper, while he pledged greater
support than in the past for NATO countries with commitments in Iraq,
Schroeder ruled out the possibility of a fixed deployment of Bundeswehr
contingents in the country. The newspaper adds: “Schroeder’s
statement represents a clear message to the committee’s members
that Berlin wants to send a signal to the United States of its willingness
to play a constructive role in postwar Iraq. The Ministry of Defense
is also currently considering options in the event of a NATO deployment
in Iraq. The NATO defense ministers intend to discuss possible tasks
for the Alliance in Iraq as early as the security conference in Munich
in early February.”
Suggesting that “political realism” is returning to Berlin,
Financial Times Deutschland writes: “Yesterday the government
confirmed that the Bundeswehr might participate in a mission in Iraq
under strictly defined preconditions. The announcement, garnished
with ifs and buts, shows that some nine months after the end of the
war, political realism has emerged in Berlin. Germany cannot stand
aside while the international community works for a stable Iraq.”
Speculating that Berlin’s “current offer will not be enough,”
the article adds: “At the (NATO) summit in June, NATO will,
in all probability, decide in favor of an Iraq mission. France has
indicated that it will participate in it with several thousand soldiers.
If Germany, the biggest EU country, does not want to stand alone,
it will have to offer more than one plane.”
Deutsche Welle noted that any decision to send the Med Evac plane
would require the approval of Parliament. The broadcast stressed,
however, that parliamentarians from across the political spectrum
showed their support for the idea after Chancellor Schroeder addressed
the Foreign Affairs Committee on the proposal Wednesday.
“Schroeder softens stance on deployment of NATO troops,”
writes the Financial Times, adding: “Chancellor Schroeder told
parliamentarians Wednesday his government could support the deployment
of NATO troops in Iraq although Germany would continue to resist sending
combat troops…. He had previously refused to give any commitment
that he would support the handover of security duties from U.S. to
NATO troops in Baghdad. The presence on the ground of small contingents
from 18 existing and future members of the Atlantic Alliance is understood
to have played a role in softening Germany’s stance.”
Asked whether he would continue to oppose the deployment of German
combat troops, the newspaper continues, Schroeder said he could envisage
contributing an army medical evacuation aircraft currently stationed
in Bonn, as a humanitarian gesture if the Iraqi authorities requested
it. The article notes that it remains unclear whether Germany would
send medical personnel or headquarters officers as part of a NATO
contingent.
ISAF
- According AFP,
the removal of heavy weapons from Kabul began Thursday with
the collection of arms from local militia commanders. The dispatch
reports hundreds of weapons were collected, including seven BM-1 missile
launchers, hundreds of rounds of 76mm and 200mm artillery and three
guided anti-tank missiles. It quotes Deputy Defense Minister Gen. Abdul
Rahim Wardak saying that in total 64 heavy weapons systems had been
collected. Of the weapons collected, many were reportedly old and rusty
and had be used in the fight against the Taliban. Those that could be
repaired would now be fixed and handed over to the fledgling Afghan
National army while the rest will be destroyed. The dispatch adds that
the arms collected came from local militia forces thought to be largely
loyal to Defense Minister Fahim. It stresses that Thursday’s
action was organized by the Defense Ministry and ISAF and was separate
from the UN’s disarmament, demobilization and reintegration campaign
to collect weapons scattered throughout the country.
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