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State Dept. Official on Middle East Peace Obstacles

REMARKS BY EDWARD S. WALKER, JR. ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF STATE FOR NEAR EASTERN AFFAIRS AT THE MIDDLE EAST INSTITUTE ANNUAL CONFERENCE Friday, October 20, 2000, 7:30 p.m. National Press Club, Washington, D.C. I want to congratulate the Middle East Institute for another successful annual conference, and for its important work over the years. "MEI" has been a haven for intelligent discussion, honest analysis, and frank consideration of issues of critical importance to both the Middle East and the United States. Since its creation in 1946, the Institute has educated generations of scholars, diplomats, business people, and non-governmental leaders on the wonders and challenges of the Middle East. I had planned several weeks ago to address the issue of a modernizing Middle East and the emerging generation of leadership. However, after this exhausting week I feel I need to update you on the current situation first. At Sharm el Sheikh we went straight through with virtually no sleep. If I fall asleep at the podium, I can assure you it's not the company, it's the time. Some day someone will do a scientific study of the impact of sleep deprivation on diplomatic negotiations. I am convinced that it plays an important part. We already know that it is a critical component in hostage negotiations. So what about Wye, Camp David and Sharm - to mention a few recent occasions when critical decisions were made when the decision makers had little or no sleep for extended periods? Let me say a few words about the Sharm summit. Two things stand out in my mind. First, Bill Clinton made the difference. I use "Bill Clinton" advisedly because it was the man and not the President who achieved the modest outcome we saw and offered the parties a lifeline back from the brink of chaos. I have seen the action at Wye and in Sharm, and this man is the reason we were able to defy odds and make agreements in both places. He almost pulled it off at Camp David, as well. The work of the Secretary of State in Paris and that of Dennis and his team were critical in setting the stage on which the President could act at Sharm. In particular, the Secretary was on the front line with the Foreign Ministers in preparing the ground for the right outcome. But without Bill Clinton, there could have been no agreement. Second, I have never in my 33 years in the Foreign Service seen such intensely emotional negotiations as I did at Sharm. I have seen a lot of bluster and Sturm und Drang in negotiations before. Generally, diplomats and thespians are birds of a feather, but the reality is that confrontations are usually studied. In fact, when I was leading the anti-incitement negotiations between Palestinians and Israelis, the emotional temperature on a number of occasions went to the top. But it didn't burst the diplomatic glass ceiling - at Sharm the ceiling was broken. It worried me and still does. It tells you something about the issues and the current environment and it makes it all the more impressive that something positive came out of that summit. It also highlights the fragility of that accomplishment. Three things were agreed at Sharm: a possible path back to the peace process; an opening to reach new security arrangements; and the formation of a fact-finding committee to investigate the origins of the violence and to suggest ways to avoid such explosions in the future. The path back to the peace process, a potential meeting in Washington in two weeks clearly dependent in practical terms on a cooling of emotions and violence, was uncontroversial at Sharm. The basic security arrangements were already formulated in Paris when the Secretary last met with Arafat and Barak. At Sharm, some additional measures were agreed. The negotiations were not easy, but they were generally very professional and mainly constructive. The problem is, of course, that the popular resentment and anger has not been assuaged and it continues to drive mass demonstrations that lead to confrontations and more deaths on a daily basis. The third aspect of the Sharm communiqué concerned fact-finding committee. This is designed to look into the crises and search for ways to prevent future violence. It is also a way to ameliorate grievances. We are now working with Kofi Annan and the parties to establish a credible and objective mechanism. We are not looking for recriminations and blame but to build bridges between the peoples. Recently, as people have looked at the worsening situation, there has been a lot of commentary about the "flaws" of Camp David. That was not a conclusion that our Arab friends had drawn from the Camp David Summit. As many of you know, after Camp David, I took a swing through every Arab country with which we have relations. And since then, I have had a few more conversations, in person on this latest trip, and on the telephone. While we were out in the region we were told that for fifty years the Arabs believed there could never be peace with Israel. When the peace process began, the doubters among the Arabs were legion. But as the process continued, people's minds began to change until just recently, as a result of Camp David, there was genuine hope for the future. Then the current violence hit and no one knows where it will lead. In my talks around the region there was no second-guessing, no impression that Camp David had failed. There was only genuine respect for what the President had done and belief that peace was closer than ever. In fact, if there had not been a residual belief that peace was possible, we could not have reached agreement at Sharm. It took that kind of powerful force, the belief in peace, to overcome the television views of the violence that occurred in the past few weeks. The Secretary told one her interlocutors on this trip: "I sat and watched the pictures on the television and my heart was broken, not only because I am a mother, but because, with the President, we had worked so hard to prevent these things from happening." She recalled her meetings with the children of the "Seeds of Peace" where Arab and Israeli children come together to develop understanding. She said: "I was crushed when Asel, the young Arab-Israeli from the Seeds was killed." In this regard, we heard from some of the Arabs that Islam is against hatred and killing. They said that now we see people doing things that are forbidden by Islam. They said that these people have lost direction and we need to discover how to wipe their brains clean of this perversion. They suggested that the most devastating result of the current violence was to separate the peoples, one from one another. They felt that our objective had to be to improve the relations between the peoples of the region. They were advocates of people to people programs to stop the hatred between the Arab and Jewish nations. This is the only way to peace. I do not imagine there is one person in this room who would disagree with these sentiments. These Arabs weren't alone in their anguish. One of the fears I have heard over and over in recent weeks in the Arab world is the fear of an upsurge in religious intolerance and hostility. It is no longer the Arab-Israeli conflict - it is becoming the Jewish-Islamic conflict. If such a transformation happens, God help us all. No doubt that consideration of the Jerusalem issue has put a spotlight on the religious question. And some Arab leaders as well as some of our friends back home have questioned why we tried to deal with the Jerusalem issue up front as we did at Camp David. The answer is, quite simply, that we could not avoid it. So long as we could put off the question of final status issues, Jerusalem could be deferred. But neither side could come to grips with a package on final settlement without some answers on Jerusalem. What I have learned as we have dealt with this issue is the appalling lack of knowledge we have of each other's religion, culture and history. I have had Arab leaders ask me, "What is this 'Temple Mount'? What is this that people were talking about?" Others ask where is there any tangible proof that remains of a Temple lie underneath and why can't the Jews be satisfied with the Western Wall. And I have had Americans and Israelis ask me why the Haram es Sharif is so important when everyone knows that the two holy mosques are in Saudi Arabia. The ignorance of Islam in this country is appalling. The ignorance of Judaism in the Arab world is equally incomprehensible. And I am a firm believer that ignorance breeds fear and intolerance. The violence we have seen on CNN reminds us of what is at stake - the lives and futures of millions of men, women, and children. During my career, I have had the good fortune to meet many of these people, and to work with their leaders throughout the region. I know parents from both sides who fear that their children may be killed in the violence. I know young men and women, some of whom are filled with good will and hope but most are filled with anger, mistrust, or despair. Some of them are Palestinians. Some of them are Israeli Jews, some are Israeli Arabs. All of them wonder why their views aren't understood, while dismissing or disregarding the same concerns expressed by their neighbor on the other side. They are all shocked by brutalities done to their citizens - brutalities that also shock and dismay each and every one of us. Yet, in the end, they are inevitably linked by the common challenge of their lives: How to live with each other. Neither Palestinians, nor Israeli Jews nor Israeli Arabs, will disappear. None of these communities will move from their homes and towns. None has the ability to defeat or destroy the other. Peace is not a pleasant dream for Israeli Jews, Israeli Arabs, or for Palestinians - it is the only option to an endless cycle of violence, destruction, and death. Unfortunately, I am not sure this is a lesson that is well understood in the region. My friends in Israel tell me that the peace movement is dead. The left has become the center, the center has become the right, and the right has gone off the map. How depressing. But not everybody in Israel has given up. Some, like Yitzhak Frankenthal, who lost his son years ago to Hamas terrorism, have continued to struggle for peace. He recently sent a letter to Dan Sreebny in my office. I would like to ask Dan to read parts of it to you to show you the depth of emotion that is flooding the region and how, in some few cases, people are standing up against the tide. Dan. (Dan Sreebny): Dear Dan. In the last few years, Roni H. and I worked together as partners, as friends, and as two people who complement each other. Together with me, Roni worked day and night to advance peace between us and the Palestinians, between the Israeli Arabs and Jews... Three weeks ago, on the eve of Rosh Hashanah (the Jewish New Year) I called Roni in order to wish him a happy new year,m and he told me he was in his car with his wife, Miri, and his son Elad on their way to Mount Herzel, to bury Elad's best friend who was killed the day before in Netzarim in the Gaza strip. It was a conversation full of crying and hurt, that yet again we bury another child because of the Israeli disregard to the Palestinians' hardship in the Gaza Strip... Yesterday around 8 a.m., Roni called me with the bitter news: Elad committed suicide and left a letter behind, saying that he could no longer live in a country that sends children to their needless and unwarranted deaths. He also wrote that he could not keep on living without David. At 4 p.m. Elad was buried by David's grave... I end this sad message to you with a lot of pain and deep conviction that the only right way is the one we are urging and pleading the Israeli public to take - to fight for peace. Since the day my son Arik died, six and a half years ago, I never had such a difficult day as yesterday. Yours, Yitzhak That's where we are, but what of the future? Where does this leave us? It leaves us with a region that is changing in ways that few if any of us can predict. Do you know what one young Arab leader, in criticizing the US approach to the peace process, told the Secretary: "You are trying to download IBM software in an Apple machine." Rather extraordinary both in terms of the conceptual approach but particularly in the imagery used. We have to take a hard look at his criticism and we also have to have a major rethink of the way we deal with this new generation. New methods of communication will inevitably change the Middle East. Satellite television, in particular, has gone through a regional revolution, with Arab broadcasters beginning to emulate - and even surpass - the impact of CNN, BBC, and other foreign stations. Most of the television in the region is still government controlled. But satellites and individual dishes are making that control harder. There is a danger here. Television which, for whatever reason, is dedicated to pandering to the mass market and their prejudices will make it even harder for people to come together and understand one another. So will regional services provide ample opportunity for callers and opinionated analysts to help enflame the current situation, not calm it. Such programs widen the gap between leaders and the led. And their populist approach tends to appeal to the average person's worst prejudices. But the popularity of these programs force other media to emulate their style to retain an audience. Thus, if you want to find a source for emotional excess and intolerance, you don't have to look too much further than the local newspaper or satellite broadcast. The global media compound this problem. Recently, our eyes and hearts were seared by the sight of a young Palestinian, killed by Israeli fire while his father vainly tried to protect him from harm. A short while later, we were again shocked by the horrible mob murder of two Israeli soldiers in Ramallah. The transmission of such incidents around the world results in understandable and instantaneous outrage, which leaders and diplomats must then confront and deal with. We can no longer dismiss the impact of public opinion in the Arab states. It has to be a matter of deep concern for leaders in the Middle East. And we have to learn to factor it into our own policy. What this says for the future is very disturbing. Traditional concepts of governing in the Middle East will be increasingly difficult to sustain and leaders with no popular foundation will have to pander to baser instincts of the Arab street to survive. The antidote is not less freedom or greater control of the media, it is more freedom - freedom to engage in and influence the political process. If we want to prevent polarization and instability in the Middle East, we are going to have to pay a lot more attention and resources to building civil societies and developing democratic mechanisms. The other major part of the Middle East communications revolution is the spread of the Internet. While the Middle East lags behind Europe and North America, there has been an extraordinary increase in Internet customers in the Middle East - especially among the "intelligentsia," the academics, the students, and leaders of non-governmental organizations. They are turning more and more to the Internet for information, and to develop links with counterparts in other countries and other parts of the globe. Each of you knows during the past ten years how the Internet has changed the way you do your work. The same process is taking place throughout the Middle East, despite the efforts of some governments to block it or restrict access only to "safe" sites. You can take a very long walk through the "virtual Middle East" on the Internet. On one of the major search engines, I found thousands of sites dealing with the region, including 995 sites related to Egypt, 696 for the United Arab Emirates, 603 for Iran, 306 for Saudi Arabia, and more than 4,000 for Israel. I visited. I perused goods and services offered by perfume showrooms in the Gulf, law firms in Beirut, health and medical services in Tunisia, a bank in Oman, a wealth of information on Algeria offered on djazaironline.net, and the Libyan Iron and Steel Company. I found dozens of Arab newspapers, magazines, and broadcasters providing immediate information on developments in the region, and visited universities in almost every Arab country. Middle East governments are also using the Internet, to provide an array of information to their citizens. Some observers criticize the Internet as a conduit for Western-oriented, English-language information and ideas. But I found numerous examples of Internet sites that serve the interests and needs of Middle East citizens in Arabic, Hebrew, Farsi, and French, as well as in English. Unlike Arab television, the Internet is still very eclectic in its content and could become a constructive force for the growth of the civil society. One problem in much of the Arab world is the lack of real penetration by PCs except at the highest levels. The risk is that in the short term attitudes among the educated elites will increasingly be divorced from attitudes on the street. Populism, popular television and the popular media, with less government ability to control the output, are pulling the street in one direction, while the global economy and information revolution are pulling the elites in the opposite direction. And that is a recipe for increasing instability. In this case the antidote, I would argue, is stronger economic development and better educational structures so that people can engage in the worldwide information revolution together and profit from the global economy. We need to put greater emphasis and resources on economic reform and growth in the Arab world to complement, stimulate and sustain the growth of the civil society and democracy. The two have to go hand in hand. But even if we are successful, the information revolution and the Internet can easily fall under some of the same influences already at work in the print and televised media. The Internet spreads both accurate information and distortions or outright lies. It is used by proponents of peace and by supporters of violence and continued conflict. You can find Internet sites that promote Arab-Israeli cooperation - or sites that advocate war. I was appalled when I visited Tel Aviv University to learn of an Internet site in the United States, which was a Nazi hate site against Jews. A hate site is bad enough but this particular site was developed as a slick Internet game, which could attract kids and hold their attention while the vile poison it advocated could penetrate their minds. Finally, the structural changes that are taking place due to technology are coming to light under the influence of a new generation of Middle East leaders. When I say "leadership," many of you will automatically think of the major changes in national rulers in recent years, from Morocco to the Gulf, and up to Syria. The new kings, emirs, and presidents grew up in a different environment than did their fathers. They bring new perspectives and ideas to their new positions. Even with new insights, however, these leaders are severely constrained by the political structures they have inherited and by the new populism of the street. To a man, they will be cautious. It would be a mistake for us to overestimate what the new generation can do immediately. Their ideas will take time to implement and they will need help to avoid the rending of their political and social fabric if they are to undertake reform. Nor should we forget that these young men are the products of their fathers and their societies. They may be less forthcoming than we would like to think or hope. There are some cases, I suspect, where the acorn may not fall far from the tree. The term "leadership," however, goes far beyond the small band of national leaders. There is a new generation of leaders coming forward in all walks of life - in business, education, the media, and other fields. They know about developments in other nations, and are aware of what's going on in other parts of the world. They show individual initiative, without having to rely only on the official word from government bureaucrats. Many of you here are working with these new leaders in the Middle East, and you can appreciate their capabilities and potential. The new generation of leadership will bring different expectations to our dialogues, and the remaining sub-regional issues and disagreements will color our relations with all concerned. These trends make the Middle East a much more vital and dynamic region with great potential for the future, potential for good and for bad - but they also make it a more complicated place for us to work. And in this increasingly difficult environment, our challenges are increased by the practical limitations of foreign affairs funding. You know that only about one percent of our annual budget goes to foreign affairs, but many Americans imagine it to be a much higher percentage. Yet we need increased funding to support our vital national interests, in the Middle East and around the world. Peace in the Middle East is in our interest, as is economic and social reform, but the constraints of current funding levels force us to pick and choose among our priorities. Already we face serious problems in finding funding for essential programs, from democracy support to economic development. We are also increasingly asking existing staff to take on large new responsibilities of managing programs in areas such as demining, democracy, and technical assistance to economic reform. Our people do an outstanding job in the Middle East, but they can't constantly be asked to "do more with less." America's relationship with the Middle East is not simply a matter of concern for diplomats - it is a challenge for all of us. Let me end my remarks with a plea to each of you - and a challenge. Today, there are still misunderstandings between the United States and nations of the region. You can all play a very important role to lessen the chances for misunderstanding and friction by explaining American views and perceptions to your counterparts in the Middle East. At the same time, you can play an equally important role by challenging distortions or stereotypes within our country regarding the Middle East. We cannot erase all issues of contention with countries of the Middle East, or with any nation. Disagreements will inevitably arise, concerns will continue to be expressed, and our national priorities will occasionally differ. However, we can at least ensure that these occasions are marked by an accurate understanding of each other's needs, desires, and constraints, so we can eliminate differences whenever possible and contain those that remain. Through this work - the work done by the Middle East Institute, by my colleagues in the Department of State, and by each and every one of you - we will strengthen our nation's relationship with the Middle East in the years to come. I look forward to working with you on this exciting and rewarding endeavor. Thank you very much.





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