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DATE=8/27/2000 TYPE=CORRESPONDENT REPORT TITLE=CLINTON / BURUNDI (L-O) NUMBER=2-265888 BYLINE=SCOTT STEARNS DATELINE=ARUSHA CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: President Clinton is to arrive in east Africa Monday to witness the signing of a peace deal intended to end ethnic violence in Burundi. V-O-A's Scott Stearns reports negotiators are rushing to finish the agreement in the Tanzanian town of Arusha. TEXT: There will be something to sign Monday. President Clinton and at least a dozen African heads of state are due in Arusha to witness the conclusion of a political deal mediated by former South African President Nelson Mandela. What is still unclear is how that deal will help end violence in Burundi, where rebels from the Hutu majority are battling the government army that is dominated by the ethnic-minority Tutsi. The deal will not include a cease-fire, because there are no rebels at these talks to give a cease-fire credibility. It also appears there will be no decision about who leads a transitional government for Burundi. There are several candidates, but no consensus. Current military President Pierre Buyoya is still vying for the job, despite objections from Hutu. They hold him responsible for the 1993 assassination of Burundi's first democratically elected president, a Hutu. Negotiators say the best they can hope for is to postpone a decision on those issues and come up with a political arrangement that guarantees power sharing in a transitional government. /// OPT /// Tutsi want as many as 40-percent of the seats in a new National Assembly. Tutsi account for less than 15- percent of the population, but have controlled the country's government, army, and commerce since independence. President Buyoya is under pressure from hardline Tutsi who fear any deal with Hutu will lead to revenge attacks against years of Tutsi domination. Hutu are willing to give Tutsi 33-percent of the seats in a new assembly, which would still be a blocking minority. With a planned new Senate divided 50-50, negotiators believe they can reach a deal on the assembly in time for Monday's signing. There also appears to be agreement on dividing the army 50-50 between Hutu and Tutsi, although rebels may object because there are already some Hutu in the army. So that means the Hutu half of the new military will not consist entirely of demobilized rebels. Negotiators say they have reached broad agreement on a truth commission to investigate past violence. That inquiry will be modeled along South Africa's Truth and Reconciliation Commission, which could grant amnesties if the crimes committed were considered political in nature. /// END OPT /// Even if Mr. Mandela's plan does not include a cease- fire regional diplomats say a political agreement for Burundi would still be an important step forward. It might even make a cease-fire easier by closing the Arusha talks, where 19 parties have made progress difficult, and moving the process to Burundi's capital, Bujumbura, for more substantive talks of cease-fire between rebels and the army. That is part of a three to six-month pre-transitional process under the Mandela plan. During that time some government soldiers would be demobilized and the United Nations would pledge to send in peace-keepers after a final deal is reached. Members of the current military government do not want a transitional administration to take over until there is a cease-fire. They do not want Hutu political supporters in a transitional government negotiating a cease-fire with Hutu rebels. Mr. Mandela has had separate talks with Burundi's rebels. It is hoped he can strike a political deal in Arusha and move quickly to the security arrangements in a cease-fire. Unless the violence stops, it will not matter how many seats anyone has in a new National Assembly. (SIGNED) NEB/SS/ALW/RAE 27-Aug-2000 09:47 AM EDT (27-Aug-2000 1347 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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