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DATE=5/25/2000 TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT TITLE=ISRAEL / LEBANON NUMBER=5-46378 BYLINE=MEREDITH BUEL DATELINE=JERUSALEM CONTENT= VOICE AT: INTRO: There is a new reality in the Middle East now that Israel has withdrawn its soldiers from southern Lebanon after more than two decades of occupation. As V-O-A Jerusalem Correspondent Meredith Buel reports, Israel's sudden pullback from Lebanon could force nations in the region to choose peace or renewed war. TEXT: Israelis are feeling a sense of both relief and apprehension after the chaotic but mostly peaceful withdrawal from southern Lebanon. After decades of occupying a 15-kilometer-wide buffer zone in south Lebanon, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak ordered a lightening quick pullback from the occupation zone. The redeployment left a military vacuum that for now has been filled mostly by Iranian-backed Hezbollah guerrillas armed with rockets, automatic weapons, and a sense of victory. Prime Minister Barak has made it clear that any firing over the border, a common occurrence in recent years, will be considered an act of war -- a war he says Lebanon and Syria will be responsible for starting. /// BARAK ACT /// We expect that no one will dare to shoot over the border into Israel against either military targets or civilians. We hold the Lebanese government and the Syrian government responsible for any violation of these quite obvious rules of the game of sovereignty. /// END ACT /// In the past, Israel has responded to cross-border attacks by sending war planes to bomb Lebanese infrastructure and other targets. The attacks and the measured responses were familiar to both sides. Syria has 35-thousand soldiers in Lebanon and is considered the major power broker in the country. Those Syrian soldiers are expected to be added to Israel's target list. Analysts say Syria also is facing a new political reality. Syria's support for Hezbollah guerrillas attacking Israel in the former occupation zone gave it a crucial card to play in the now-stalled peace talks with the Jewish state. Today, heavily armed Israeli soldiers and Hezbollah guerrillas are literally eyeball to eyeball across the border. Israeli soldiers are defending Israeli citizens from their own backyard. After the Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, the border has become a potential powder keg. And, if violence erupts, no one is sure how it will end. The chief of staff of Israel's armed forces is Lieutenant-General Shaul Mofaz. /// MOFAZ ACT /// We come in peace and yet we warn our enemies we shall not hesitate to unleash our full power to defend our people. /// END ACT /// Israeli government spokesman Moshe Fogel says the region has entered a period of uncertainty. /// FOGEL ACT /// I don't think the Israeli public, indeed the Israeli government, will stand for having Israeli residents living along the border being targeted by terrorist attacks. I think in the coming days, indeed in the coming months, we will have a test period and we will see how the situation will pan out. /// OPT /// Hopefully, being optimistic, we hope that there will be quiet along the border. But we are not dependent on the United Nations, we are not dependent on third parties, we know how to take care of ourselves, and we will certainly take the necessary action to make sure that Israelis will continue to live along the border in peace. /// END OPT /// /// END ACT /// Opposition parties in parliament have been critical of the chaotic nature of Israel's withdrawal from south Lebanon. Likud Party leader Ariel Sharon is calling the operation a disgraceful retreat. Mr. Sharon accuses Prime Minister Barak of selling out fighters of the South Lebanon Army -- the Israeli- supported militia that collapsed just before the pullback. Thousands of militiamen and their families fled to Israel, while many others surrendered in Lebanon. /// SHARON ACT /// They fought together with us, all those years suffered heavy casualties. To leave them behind and disappear, without taking necessary steps, that was a major mistake. /// END ACT /// The Israeli public appears to overwhelmingly support the withdrawal from south Lebanon, and if the border remains quiet, the situation could boost the popularity of Prime Minister Barak and his efforts to succeed in regional peace negotiations. If fighting breaks out, some analysts say it could lead to another war in the Middle East. (Signed) NEB/MB/JWH/JP 25-May-2000 11:52 AM EDT (25-May-2000 1552 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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