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DATE=5/24/2000 TYPE=U-S OPINION ROUNDUP TITLE=ISRAEL WITHDRAWS FROM SOUTH LEBANON NUMBER=6-11835 BYLINE=ANDREW GUTHRIE DATELINE=WASHINGTON EDITOR=ASSIGNMENTS TELEPHONE=619-3335 INTERNET=YES CONTENT= INTRO: The week's major development in the Middle East is the end of a 22-year military occupation in southern Lebanon by Israel and its allied South Lebanon Army. The last Israeli troops, in long columns of tanks, armored personnel carriers, and other vehicles, crossed the border into Northern Israel under cover of darkness. It has been a lot more chaotic than the Israeli government planned, leaving plenty to comment on for the U-S daily papers. Here now, with a sample, is ___________ and today's U-S Opinion Roundup. TEXT: The Israeli government of Prime Minister Ehud Barak had been promising the withdrawal for months, and planned to complete it by early July. But when its ally in the security zone, the Christian militia known as the South Lebanon Army virtually collapsed as the Israeli pullout began in earnest, the operation was hastily speeded up. As the Israelis and their Lebanese allies left - some would say fled - guerrillas of the Iranian-supported Hezbollah force raced into the void. They were accompanied by thousands of cheering Palestinians, reclaiming towns and villages, from which they had mostly fled 22-years ago, after the Israeli incursion. We begin our sampling of American opinion on all this in the seaport of Baltimore, where The Sun gives away its concerns in the headline of its lead editorial: "Chaos in Lebanon endangers Mideast." VOICE: Disintegration of Israel's buffer zone in Lebanon and its satellite south Lebanon Army of friendly Lebanese Christians - before negotiation of a peace on Israel's northern border - threatens wider conflict. It comes as a direct and unintended consequence of Prime Minister Ehud Barak's pledge to the Israeli electorate of a unilateral pullout by July 7th. Today, Hezbollah terrorists control Lebanon's side of the border. Their rockets are closer; their choice of targets wider, their points of entry more numerous. ... The destabilization and sudden menace could at least concentrate the minds of adversaries on the mutual need for peace between them. TEXT: In the Midwest, The [Cleveland, Ohio] Plain Dealer is also concerned about the latest turn of events. VOICE: Now, with startling swiftness, fighters of the Iranian-backed Hezbollah faction have taken matters into their own hands, driving hundreds of soldiers of the South Lebanon Army into exile in Israel, or taking them prisoner. It is a starling reversal of fortune for [Israeli Prime Minister Ehud] Barak, who only a week ago won an important vote in the Israeli parliament on ceding more territory to the Palestinians. TEXT: On New York's Long Island, Newsday feels the hasty withdrawal has put the Barak government at great risk unless Syria steps in to bolster the national Lebanese army. VOICE: Unless Syria steps in to ensure that the Lebanese army takes over as much territory as it can and stabilizes the volatile situation, Hezbollah militants will fill the vacuum left by the Israeli withdrawal and pose a significant threat to Israel itself. Terrorist provocations, in turn, could precipitate retaliatory attacks by Israel and reignite the border conflict. But it is unclear whether Syria has the will - or, for that matter, the capacity - to affect Hezbollah's actions the way it might have a few years ago. TEXT: The Chicago Tribune, echoes Newsday's thoughts about the role of the Lebanese National army, which needs to assert itself, to prevent a worsening situation. VOICE: War is never neat, and retreat is never orderly. But when the smoke clears from Israel's chaotic troop withdrawal from Lebanon, the status quo in the Middle East will have shifted significantly - - and for the better. ...Lebanon's national army, with Syria's backing, should move in to take control of the border and prevent any spillover of violence into northern Israel. ... [Prime Minister] Barak is now ready to hold Lebanon and Syria accountable for any attacks on Israel that come from Lebanon. That is justified. TEXT: In Texas, The Houston Chronicle worries that the immediate future is just plain confused. VOICE: Israel's hastened withdrawal from southern Lebanon could be a necessary spasm on the long path to peace in the Middle East, or it might be the prelude to another chapter of chronic violence. Given the animosity the region's enemies feel for one another ... the odds favor the latter. TEXT: The Los Angeles Times is also pondering how Hezbollah will respond to its new situation. VOICE: Hezbollah is now at the peak of its popularity and strength, its achievement a source of pride that cuts across sectarian lines in Lebanon. The danger is that Hezbollah will be tempted to claim as a fruit of its victory the right to turn south Lebanon into its own fiefdom. Trained and armed by Iran and abetted by Syria, which has often used the organization for its own political ends, Hezbollah threatens to become a permanent armed presence in the south and a constant menace to northern Israel. /// OPT /// Israel has repeatedly warned that if Hezbollah attacks, all of Lebanon and perhaps even the 30-thousand-man Syrian army in eastern Lebanon could be exposed to Israeli attacks in return. There is no reason to doubt that intention and every reason to fear what it could lead to. ///END OPT /// TEXT: The preeminent U-S financial daily, The Wall Street Journal, makes a historical comparison painful to many Americans. VOICE: Critics of Israel's occupation of southern Lebanon have long compared that policy to America's ill-fated involvement in Vietnam. The comparison is especially apt now that Israel's withdrawal has turned into a rout, leaving a betrayed ally, a critically endangered civilian population and a footloose horde of Hezbollah thugs who have good reason to believe that their terrorist acts have finally paid off. ...Israel's presence in Lebanon exacted a toll in lives - some 15-hundred over 18-years ... But perhaps its heaviest toll was on Israel's memory, in particular its memory of the constant attacks it sustained prior to its 1982 invasion. It had better prepare for a sharp awakening. TEXT: With that rather somber prophesy, we conclude this sampling of editorial comment on the sudden, and somewhat chaotic ending to 22-years of Israeli military occupation in southern Lebanon. NEB/ANG/RAE 24-May-2000 14:37 PM EDT (24-May-2000 1837 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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