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DATE=4/27/2000 TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT TITLE=COLOMBIA/PEACE PROCESS NUMBER=5-46215 BYLINE=BILL RODGERS DATELINE=RIO DE JANEIRO CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: Two developments this week in Colombia underscore the ups and downs of a peace process to end more than 35 years of fighting. V-O-A correspondent Bill Rodgers, who was in Colombia recently, reports on what's at stake in ending a complex conflict embroiling the government, leftist guerrillas, rightwing paramilitary groups, and the drug trade. TEXT: Colombia's guerrilla conflict began in the early 1960's - in the midst of the Cold War - as the country was emerging from a long period of political violence. Various leftist groups - proclaiming themselves as the agents of social change -- took up arms hoping to emulate the successful uprising that brought about Cuba's communist revolution. Over the years, some insurgencies disappeared or made peace with the government. But others - like the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, FARC - continued their fight. The FARC today has some 17- thousand fighters, while a second leftist rebel group - known as the National Liberation Army, E-L-N - has about five thousand combatants. Together, the two insurgencies have a strong presence in some 40-percent of Colombia's territory. In addition, rightwing paramilitary groups roam the countryside - massacring peasants suspected of having ties with the leftist rebels. The paramilitaries, some with links to the military, and the FARC and E-L-N -- all have ties to the drug trade, which help them finance their operations. This deadly mix of drug trafficking, leftist insurgencies, and rightwing paramilitaries has embroiled Colombia in a cauldron of violence, for which there seems to be no end. President Andres Pastrana's government has been holding peace talks with the FARC since early this year. The talks began after government troops moved out of a huge demilitarized zone created in southern Colombia so the rebels could negotiate with greater security. But despite the talks, clashes continue between the FARC and government troops in areas outside the demilitarized zone. A FARC commander, Simon Trinidad, tells V-O-A fighting will continue - adding that the movement is growing because many Colombians support the FARC's goals for social change. ///TRINIDAD SPANISH ACT WITH ENGLISH VOICEOVER/// The history of the FARC is that it was born small, it grew and developed, occupied territory until one day it spread throughout the country. How can you do you this without the support of the people? The enemy says we don't have this, that we don't have a political program, that we're isolated from the people, that people don't believe in us. But this is propaganda. //OPT// We believe that since we are present throughout the country we are in contact with the people, not just with the peasantry, but we're in contact with businessmen, industrialists, merchants, and with professionals who support us. This is why we can move throughout the country.//End OPT// /// END ACT /// But others disagree with Commander Trinidad, and say the FARC has little support - that its political program appeals to few Colombians. Political analyst Alvaro Camacho says FARC leaders realize this - but they see no other recourse but to continue fighting to keep the government off balance. ///CAMACHO SPANISH ACT WITH ENGLISH VOICEOVER/// They understand that there is another world, and they realize they are very obsolete - the Colombian guerrilla movement is obsolete historically-speaking. But the logic of war, the military logic is inexorable, and it feeds upon itself. /// END ACT /// The lack of a cease-fire has caused many Colombians to lose whatever faith they had in the peace process as negotiations between the government and the FARC continue. But in a hopeful development, President Pastrana announced early this week a second demilitarized zone will be created to provide a safe haven for the E-L-N as part of an effort to end the conflict. //OPT// Unlike the demilitarized zone for the FARC, Mr. Pastrana made clear there will restrictions on the E-L- N area to prevent the rebels from creating their own government in the region. An international commission will be created to monitor conditions in the zone to ensure both the government and the rebels live up to the agreement. //END OPT// But peace still appears to be a long way off. Colombian analyst Sergio Uribe believes economic stability is key to achieving a long-lasting peace accord. /// URIBE ACT /// It'll take many years to get peace, but economic stability is a fundamental. One of the key issues is that Colombia last year for the first time in 70 years had a negative economic growth rate. No other country in the world could show a continuous growth rate of its economy for 70 consecutive years...and when you have a country such as Colombia which has never known that, you go into real panic and panic tends to self- perpetuate... But I think this year the country will be able to come out of its economic recession...and I think peace will come. Somehow in the next two years we'll have some sort of outright agreement,(or at least) begin to formulate agreements...One of the key issues here is this absolute distrust, the Israelis and (Yasser) Arafat hated each other once, yet today they try to work things out and in much the same way (here) somehow it's going to come. /// END ACT /// Colombian analyst Sergio Uribe. The peace process took another turn late this week when the government's top negotiator, Victor Ricardo, resigned. It is unclear why - though his resignation came just two days after the FARC announced a new, harder-line position in declaring it would collect what it called a "peace tax" from wealthy Colombians. The rebels warned that those who refuse to pay will be subject to kidnapping. The FARC announcement is being viewed as a setback to the negotiations, and for Mr. Ricardo, who was criticized by some sectors for developing too close a relationship with FARC leaders and accompanying them on a recent trip to study economic models in Europe. It remains to be seen how these latest developments will affect the prospects for peace in Colombia - though one thing remains clear: there is no immediate end in sight to the continuing violence and bloodshed in the troubled South American nation. (Signed) NEB/WFR/ENE/gm 27-Apr-2000 17:28 PM EDT (27-Apr-2000 2128 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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