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DATE=3/21/2000 TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT TITLE=NORTHERN IRELAND NUMBER=5-45692 BYLINE=LAURIE KASSSMAN DATELINE=BELFAST CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: Northern Ireland's peace process can make or break business prospects for its population of one- and-one-half million. The economy is growing, but as we hear from Correspondent Laurie Kassman in Belfast the future will depend on securing political stability and improving Northern Ireland's international image. TEXT: Construction cranes dominate the skyline of Belfast. Six new hotels are planned and several communications centers are relocating to the city. The region's manufacturing output topped six-percent last year. Revenue from tourism has increased 15- percent since the Good Friday Peace Agreement was signed two-years ago. That is the good news. Deputy Editor of the "Nationalist Irish News", Noel Doran, says it could be a lot better. /// DORAN ACT /// The economy has improved but not as much as it needs to. Unemployment is at its lowest level for many years. There has been some investment, but not anywhere near the level there needs to be. /// END ACT /// The rate of unemployment averages less than six- percent, half of what it was six-years ago. But business leaders say that is still too high. Belfast's shipyard - famous for having built the Titanic ocean liner nearly a century ago - may have to lay off many of its 18-hundred workers if new contracts are not signed soon. Jobs in the traditional industries like textiles and agriculture are on the decline. To stay competitive, Northern Ireland is making the transition to service industries, ranging from computer technology to communications centers. That requires better education for the next generation of workers and retraining for those who find their jobs in traditional areas drying up. Most agree that transition also depends a lot on peace in Northern Ireland. Stephen Kingon is Chairman of Belfast's Chamber of Commerce Economic Committee. He also helps run an international accounting firm in Belfast. /// KING ACT /// To get economic growth, political stability is a pre-requisite. /// END ACT /// Mr. Kingon says the business community is counting on home-rule powers to build the political stability that will ease investor concerns. /// KINGON ACT TWO /// The [home rule] assembly will give us a lot more local accountability. It will allow us to tailor our solutions much more to the needs of Northern Ireland than would have been the case under a direct rule scenario. /// END ACT /// The suspension of the home-rule assembly in February leaves a critical vacuum in the region's economic policy-making process. But Northern Ireland is trying to get out the message that it is already safe for investment. The Deputy Chief Executive of Northern Ireland's Tourist Board, Mark Alexander, says changing Northern Ireland's image is tough, as long as the 1998 Good Friday Peace Agreement is not fully implemented. /// ALEXANDER ACT /// You probably would not need to create an awareness of Northern Ireland anywhere in the world, but normally that awareness is for the wrong reasons. /// END ACT /// The business community is not sitting still while the politicians thrash out their differences. Tourism official Mark Alexander says the push is to get the word out that Northern Ireland is safe for investment and the world's image no longer matches the reality. Gone are the miles of barbed wire, ominous police roadblocks, army helicopters and armored vehicles that once patrolled the region. The news now is mostly about political wrangling, not sectarian bloodbaths. International investors are lining up to check out investment possibilities, but Northern Ireland's promoters acknowledge a prolonged political stalemate in Northern Ireland would discourage them. (SIGNED) NEB/LMK/GE/RAE 21-Mar-2000 12:52 PM EDT (21-Mar-2000 1752 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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