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DATE=2/11/2000 TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT TITLE=AFRICA'S WIDE WAR NUMBER=5-45439 BYLINE=ED WARNER DATELINE=WASHINGTON CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: The U-S Defense Department is working with the United Nations to set up a peacekeeping group for the war-torn Congo, where several nations are now engaged in a bewildering conflict that has no clear reasons or solutions. The war threatens to spread into other countries, adding to the devastation of a continent that has had its fill of tragedy. V-O-A's Ed Warner reports some views of the conflict and how it might be concluded. TEXT: It began with genocide, and nobody knows where it will end. In 1994, hundreds of thousands of Hutu people fled Rwanda to Zaire, now known as the Congo. They were escaping the possible revenge of the Tutsi, a people they had earlier slaughtered by the hundreds of thousands. From their sanctuary in Zaire, Hutu extremists launched attacks on Tutsi-controlled Rwanda. In response, the Tutsi, allied with Uganda, threw their support to a rebel named Laurent Kabila, who managed to take over Zaire and restored its previous name - "Congo." But Mr. Kabila fell out with his old allies and is now helped by troops from Angola, Namibia and Zimbabwe, who have joined the war against Rwanda and Uganda for their own reasons. Observers say it is almost impossible to tell who is winning as soldiers hack away with machetes in a dense, often impenetrable jungle. What is clear is the mounting toll of civilian casualties and the destruction of the region's great resources on which a revival could be built. Diamonds, gold and silver are lost to violence or simply looted. Africans are truly fed up with all this, says George Ayittey, professor of economics at American University, who has written extensively on his native Ghana and the rest of Africa: /// Ayittey Act /// Now you have a continental curtain of fire stretching all the way from Ethiopia through Somalia, Sudan, Congo and to Angola. The time has come to get tough and put these civil wars behind us in the new millennium. And this is the responsibility of the Organization of African Unity (O-A-U) to do something for Africa. /// End Act /// Professor Ayittey says the O-A-U should assemble forces from African nations to invade the Congo and establish an interim government. Otherwise, he says, the conflict will spread to other countries in what could be called Africa's first world war. /// Ayittey Act /// We have 54 countries in the African continent, and we must be able to put together 50-thousand troops to end the carnage, which is going on in the Congo. I recognize that Congo is a vast territory, but the Congo is vital not only for East Africa, but for the entire continent. /// End Act /// Too little, too late, contends Marina Ottaway, senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington. In her opinion, the O-A-U cannot cope. It is too divided and lacks the resources. She believes several hundred thousand troops would be needed to restore order to the Congo. Since these are not available, she fears the war will continue and the Congo will disintegrate. In the long run, she says that may not be such a bad thing. The Congo and other African states were the artificial creation of the colonial powers. Now that Africans are on their own, she says, they can redraw more realistic borders: /// Ottaway Act /// We got so fixated during the Cold war about the idea of immutable borders because we were afraid of the consequences essentially. All you have to do is look at the historical maps of Europe, and you know that boundaries have always changed all the time. A lot of states do not survive. /// End Act /// Marina Ottaway says other African nations have managed to avoid Congo's fate. While they may not be models of democracy, they exercise control over most of their national territory and provide adequate administration. Geography and luck play a part in their survival. But there are also other factors: /// Ottaway act /// If you take a country like Tanzania, it has so many ethnic groups, none of which can dominate because they are small. They really have no choice but getting along with each other. That makes it much easier for the country not to fall apart. In some cases, you have had a strong leadership that took in hand countries that had virtually disappeared, like Uganda, for example, and managed to put them back together. /// End Act /// Marina Ottaway says the way to avoid war is to consolidate states. It is the weakness of the Congo - its statelessness - that has made it a prey to its neighbors. (SIGNED) NEB/EW/ENE/JP 11-Feb-2000 17:43 PM EDT (11-Feb-2000 2243 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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