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DATE=2/8/2000 TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT TITLE=INDONESIA POL NUMBER=5-45397 BYLINE=GARY THOMAS DATELINE=BANGKOK CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: Indonesia's president and security minister are locked in a battle of wills. President Abdurrahman Wahid has called for the minister, General Wiranto, to resign from the Cabinet over allegations of the military's involvement in human rights abuses in East Timor. As Correspondent Gary Thomas reports from Jakarta, it is a crucial test for Indonesia's new democratic government - and its president. TEXT: The struggle between President Wahid and General Wiranto, which has been conducted long distance across continents, is a test of whether the Indonesia's civilian government can gain authority over the powerful military establishment. It is also a test of strength for Mr. Wahid, the half-blind Muslim cleric who was elected president last year. General Wiranto, once the armed forces chief and now Coordinating Minister for Politics and Security, has been implicated by a government commission in the wave of unrest that gripped East Timor after its residents voted for independence from Indonesia. He denies any wrongdoing and is ignoring Mr. Wahid's calls for his resignation. The conflict between the two men has caused rumors of a coup - none of them confirmed - to spread. Mr. Wahid, popularly known as "Gus Dur", shook up the military when, after his election last year, he in effect kicked General Wiranto upstairs, removing him as armed forces chief and placing him in the cabinet. In his place, a naval officer was named to the top military spot for the first time. But opinion differs over whether Mr. Wahid has the military under his control. Respected Indonesian analyst and political scientist Jusef Wanandi is one of those who believes the president has tamed the armed forces by changing nearly all of key military and security personnel. He downplays the confrontation, saying Mr. Wahid is just trying to jettison a liability. // WANANDI ACT // As President Clinton has the right to remove everybody in his cabinet he thought has become a political liability - as Wiranto has become - he can make use of his prerogative as president to get rid of Wiranto. So this is not a big problem. // END ACT // But other analysts disagree. Television commentator and business consultant Wimar Witoelar says the outcome of the struggle between the two men is far from certain - and many key military officers are waiting to see who will prevail before they take a side. // WITOELAR ACT // Nobody has control of the military because it is in the process of changing. It is a process of shedding its skin like a snake does. It is turning itself inside out. You have the official positions held by the moderates. But you have some troops, important troops, held by the hardliners, and you have the reformers standing in the wings. // END ACT // // OPT // Mr. Witoelar adds that Mr. Wahid is not using the full powers of his office. // WITOELAR ACT // One can only guess as to the reasons why the president had to do it this way. My own version is that this president really is very weak in the sense of weakness of the ability to apply presidential power. /// END ACT // END OPT /// Mr. Wahid's sometimes ambiguous statements on the matter have further created confusion. But Mr. Witoelar and others believe Mr. Wahid is far craftier and politically astute than his impromptu statements or eccentric behavior would have one believe. (SIGNED) NEB/GPT/RAE 08-Feb-2000 08:30 AM EDT (08-Feb-2000 1330 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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