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DATE=1/19/2000 TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT TITLE=LOMBOK-VIOLENCE NUMBER=5-45261 BYLINE=GARY THOMAS DATELINE=BANGKOK CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: Violence in Indonesia has spread to the island of Lombok. The outbreak has sent a scare through Lombok's popular tourist industry. As Southeast Asia correspondent Gary Thomas reports analysts are baffled about the spread of unrest. TEXT: Indonesia has been gripped by spasms of violence ever since the 1998 forced departure of President Suharto from office. Through his autocratic rule, Mr. Suharto and a loyal military establishment kept the lid on ethnic and religious tensions. Now it appears the lid is off. Ethnic, religious, and political conflicts are popping up across the Indonesian archipelago. The most serious outbreaks have been in the Maluku Islands, where violence has been raging between Muslims and Christians for a year. There are separatist guerrilla movements in Aceh and Papua, formerly Irian Jaya, and sporadic flashpoints elsewhere. But Lombok seems an unlikely candidate for an outbreak of sectarian violence. It is a tourist destination, second in Indonesia only to its neighbor, Bali. The majority of the population is Muslim, although there are Christians and Hindus. The Lombok violence erupted after a rally by Muslims demanding an end to the Christian-Muslim clashes further east in the Maluku Islands. But in the ensuing rampage in Lombok, not only were Christian churches attacked, but Chinese-owned businesses as well. Indonesian military and political affairs specialist Harold Crouch says the roots of unrest are not clear. The senior lecturer at the Australian National University in Canberra says the spasms of violence are not necessarily related. // CROUCH ACT // If you plotted every case of ethnic or religious violence in Indonesia in the past year, you would find little things breaking out all over the place. Now, quite often these things happen quite independently of things that happen elsewhere. Now, it is does look as if it might be following on with what's been happening in Maluku. But there are often very local explanations for these things. Maybe there is a kind of trigger from what happens elsewhere. // END ACT // It is clear the violence in the Malukus is fuelling the anger of Muslims, who make up 90-percent of Indonesia's population. Rallies like the one in Lombok have been organized elsewhere, including in the capital, Jakarta. But analysts dismiss the idea that a radical Islamic movement is fomenting unrest to promote making Indonesia a Muslim state. Mr. Crouch says it is not likely Indonesia is on the way to becoming the Yugoslavia of Southeast Asia, splintering apart into different pieces. As he points out, most of the violence is rooted in local conflicts, rather than separatist movements. // CROUCH ACT // This sort of thing is localized. Like Maluku is not a case of Balkanization. For Balkanization, you need an elite that is leading a movement demanding a separate state. There are two provinces in Indonesia in that condition: Aceh and Papua. There is no serious separatist movement anywhere else in Indonesia. So in a country of 26 provinces - or whatever the number is now - two out of 26 is not a huge number. // END ACT // The violence is presenting Indonesia's first democratically elected government in more than 40- years a severe headache. Some Indonesian publications have gone so far as to suggest it is being instigated by the military to destabilize the government of President Abdurrahman Wahid. Mr. Crouch dismisses that view. But, as he points out, that is not to say there are not disgruntled local elements in military intelligence, for example, who are willing to stir up unrest. (SIGNED) NEB/GPT/FC/RAE 19-Jan-2000 08:50 AM EDT (19-Jan-2000 1350 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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