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DATE=12/10/1999 TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT TITLE=YEARENDER: CENTRAL ASIA - RELIGIOUS ACTIVISM NUMBER=5-44959 BYLINE=ALI JALALI DATELINE=WASHINGTON INTERNET=YES CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: The closing year of the twentieth century saw a significant upsurge of terrorist acts in Central Asia - a region sandwiched between Russia, China, Iran and Afghanistan. Most of the violence has been blamed on foreign-backed Islamic extremists who use the religion to advance their political agenda. V-O-A's Ali Jalali looks at the emergence of Islam as a political force in Central Asia and its impact on long-term stability in the region. TEXT: Acts of violence ascribed to Islamist radicals hit virtually every Central Asian state this year. In February, several bomb blasts rocked the Uzbek capital of Tashkent, killing sixteen and wounding nearly one hundred people. The attacks were blamed on the banned Islamic opposition, allegedly trying to assassinate President Islam Karimov and overthrow his secular government. In Tajikistan, the footprints of extremist militants were said to have been visible in a series of bomb attacks and gun battles in the streets of Dushanbe. In May, radical elements were also involved in factional clashes in the mountainous hollows of the eastern Qarategin valley. The violence took a dramatic turn in August when hundreds of guerillas, identified as followers of the notorious Uzbek Islamic leader Jumma Namangani, stormed into Kyrgyzstan and took several hostages, including four Japanese geologists. The rebels based in Tajikistan were trying to cross into Uzbekistan, where the underground Islamic opposition is growing. During the following months, Kyrgyz security forces backed by Russia and Central Asian neighbors waged a drawn out battle with the rebels in the remote southwestern mountainous regions of Kyrgyzstan. The clashes left many civilians dead and displaced thousands more before the guerrillas returned to their Tajik bases in October and released their hostages. The violence raised new security concerns in a region already troubled by a host of social and economic problems. The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (O-S-C-E) warned last month that "a new Kosovo" might be looming in the strife-ridden Central Asia. O-S-C-E's high commissioner for national minorities, Max Van der Stoel, told V-O-A the recent violence in Kyrgyzstan heralds wider ethnic problems. /// Van der Stoel Act /// There is no doubt that religious extremists are quite active in the above (Central Asian) states and that can create the risk of destabilization . There are also indications of other efforts of religious extremists to create tensions which could also lead to inter-ethnic tensions. /// End Act /// Officials in the region claim that foreign-trained Islamic extremists are responsible for the rapid spread of violence. The rise of the radical Islamic Taleban movement in Afghanistan and its perceived threat to Central Asia are often cited as a source of instability. Uzbekistan's top religious official, Mufti Abdurashid Kory Bahramov, says the mainstream Islam in Central Asia - which, he says, promotes peace, moderation and civil order - is threatened by foreign-inspired Muslim radicals. /// Mufti Act in Uzbek - Fade under /// He says political exploitation of religion runs against what he calls the genuine principles of the faith. The various trends of Islamic fundamentalism that, he says, infiltrated the region from abroad are using Islamic references to advance personal goals. But, independent analysts argue that all terrorist actions are not linked to an Islamic revival. Nor is the religious opposition in central Asia an exclusively foreign-inspired force. John Schoeberlein, director of the Forum for Central Asian Studies at Harvard University, says the situation is far more complicated. /// Schoeberlein Act /// Those who take Islam as a way of transforming the society in opposition to the current governments in the region do have more than just their personal ambitions behind them. Of course, there are many groups involved in this and it is a mistake to suppose that this political Islam in Central Asia is a unified tendency, and certainly a mistake to suppose that it comes exclusively from the outside. It is within every country in Central Asia. There are segments of the population who would look to Islam as a means of mobilizing to achieve their political goals, which include perhaps their personal power and perhaps other things as well. /// End Act /// Independent observers recognize the legitimate security concerns of the governments in the region and a need to stem the destabilizing effects of religious extremism. But they also note that religious activism is mostly linked to deteriorating economic conditions, social problems and political intolerance of the rulers. Human Rights Groups say that instead of addressing the underlying conditions that offer a breeding ground for radical Islam, governments in the region play up the Islamic threat to crackdown on political opponents. /// Opt /// In its most recent report (December 9), the New York- based Human Rights Watch indicates that following the February bombings of government buildings in Tashkent, the Uzbek government stepped up its crackdown on independent political and religious groups, including those that practice Islam outside government control. Mr. Van der Stoel warns that a disproportionate response to religious violence can cause more trouble. /// Van der Stoel Act /// One has to be careful that in taking counter- measures only terrorists will be hit (should be targeted) and there will be no actions which would affect other groups of people in a negative way. If they (the governments) are not careful there, it could only lead to more sympathy for these extremists, so it has to be strong but at the same time proportionate response. /// End Act /// Analysts note that the powerful cultural roots of Islam in Central Asia and its influence over social life have driven both the governments and the opposition to politicize the faith in favor of their goals. Dr. Schoeberlein notes that the resulting polarization adds to the ongoing political tension. /// Schoeberlein Act /// This kind of polarization is exactly what can lead to strengthening, in my view, of the politicization of Islam in the region. So it is very important to move away, it seems to me, from the mode that existed during the Soviet times where there was an official farm of Islam, official Soviet Islamic hierarchy, but every thing else that was outside that was considered negative and anti-state. I think as long as that kind of polarization exists then Islam will continue to play an increasing problematic political role. /// End Act /// /// End Opt /// Harvard University's Dr. Schoeberlein says failure to provide a sphere of activity for moderate political movements, including the Islamic opposition, will further strengthen the extremist Muslim groups in Central Asia. The best prospect for a long-term solution to the problem, analysts suggest, should be sought through economic development, creating jobs for millions of unemployed youth, and promoting dialogue between the people across this region. (signed) NEB/AJ/JP 10-Dec-1999 12:57 PM EDT (10-Dec-1999 1757 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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