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DATE=11/26/1999 TYPE=CORRESPONDENT REPORT TITLE=NORTHERN IRELAND (L-ONLY) NUMBER=2-256553 BYLINE=LOURDES NAVARRO DATELINE=LONDON CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: The Leader of the pro-British Ulster Unionist party, David Trimble, is predicting victory in a key vote set to take place in Northern Ireland Saturday. Mr. Trimble has been lobbying his party followers to support the latest peace package negotiated by U-S mediator George Mitchell. But, despite worries that peace in the troubled province hangs in the balance, Lourdes Navarro reports from London that the outcome is still far from certain. TEXT: The vote will be put to the 858-member Ulster Unionist Council - the group of party leaders who must sanction any changes in the policy of Northern Ireland's biggest party. And the result will determine whether or not a joint Protestant and Catholic government will be elected two days later with Britain handing over power to it in early December. For that to happen, though, George Mitchell's plan requires the Ulster Unionists to accept sharing power with Sinn Fein, the political wing of the Irish Republican Army (I-R-A), before the I-R-A disarms. Until now, the protestant Ulster Unionists have refused to agree to be in a government with a party that is tied to an armed group. /// OPT /// Mr. Mitchell mediated talks that led to last year's accord to end three decades of deadly violence in Northern Ireland. /// END OPT /// Despite Mr. Trimble's optimism, lobbying against the Mitchell proposal by Protestant hard-liners has increased. The opponents say they distrust the I-R-A's intentions to hand in weapons after their party is in government. /// OPT /// A survey Friday by the British newspaper, "The Daily Telegraph," of council members says the party is split down the middle and the vote will be close. /// END OPT /// But with leader Trimble behind the deal, many political analysts in Northern Ireland say they expect that a majority in the council will vote `yes.' ///OPT/// If they don't, Mr. Trimble's leadership of his party and the latest attempt at peace in Northern Ireland could well be at risk. ///OPT ENDS/// (Signed) NEB/LN/GE/JO 26-Nov-1999 09:35 AM EDT (26-Nov-1999 1435 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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