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DATE=11/16/1999 TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT TITLE=INDONESIA/SEPARATISM NUMBER=5-44768 BYLINE=GARY THOMAS DATELINE=BANGKOK CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: Indonesia's new president says a referendum in the restive province of Aceh could be held within seven months. The president's backing for a referendum on Aceh's future places him at odds with the country's military, which fears such a vote will lead to the breakup of Indonesia. As V-O- A Southeast Asia correspondent Gary Thomas reports, demands from Aceh and other provinces on the central government may force substantial changes in Indonesia's political structure. TEXT: Despite strong opposition, President Abdurrahman Wahid continues to voice support for a referendum in Aceh. The issue is a hot one. Prominent politicians, such as parliamentary speaker Amien Rais, think it is a bad idea. So does the powerful Indonesian military. So why is Mr. Wahid doing it? Harold Crouch, a prominent scholar of Indonesian Affairs at the Australian National University, says Mr. Wahid is playing a waiting game, hoping to reach a deal with Aceh that falls short of independence. /// CROUCH ACT /// What he's been doing lately is to offer a referendum, but to give various options to the people of Aceh, but not including independence. So it's really various degrees of autonomy, rather than full independence. But, of course, that won't be very well received by many people in Aceh. /// END ACT /// Mr. Wahid said in Tokyo Tuesday he believes the true separatists are only a small minority among the Acehnese. Mr. Crouch says Mr. Wahid is pursuing a risky strategy -- but that he really has no choice. /// CROUCH ACT /// It's certainly risky. But it's risky if he does nothing also. Because in a way, unless some sort of concessions are made in Aceh, he's going to have to send the military in, well, to just do what they were doing before. And I think that goes very much against his spirit, I would say. He's been a critic of the military in the past. /// END ACT /// Aceh activists accuse the Indonesian military of widespread human rights abuses in the bid to crush the separatist movement there. Hundreds of thousands of Achenese recently rallied in the provincial capital to demand a referendum. The calls for a referendum in Aceh have risen dramatically with the election of a new democratic government in Jakarta and the August referendum for independence in East Timor. The demand, in turn, has raised fears among some politicians and the military that if Aceh secedes, Indonesia will splinter apart. More than one analyst has called Indonesia the "Yugoslavia of Southeast Asia." But Mr. Crouch says some form of federalism for Indonesia may be inevitable, if it is to stay intact - even though such an idea is bitterly opposed by the military establishment. /// CROUCH ACT /// I think for a long time people used to say, oh a federation is a step towards the breakup of Indonesia. Now, people are saying, federation is a way to stop Indonesia breaking up. And certainly President Abdurrahman Wahid, I heard him myself say that he wouldn't use the word federalism, but he is using the term total autonomy. In other words, a system the various provinces feel they have constitutional guarantees of very wide autonomy. /// END ACT /// Hoping to placate some separatist sentiment, parliament Monday approved the release of nearly 100 political prisoners, many of them jailed for separatist activities in Aceh, East Timor, and Irian Jaya. (SIGNED) NEB/GPT/FC 16-Nov-1999 06:40 AM EDT (16-Nov-1999 1140 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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