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DATE=10/27/1999 TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT TITLE=AFRICA / ARMS NUMBER=5-44624 BYLINE=LAURIE KASSMAN DATELINE=LONDON CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: Arms sales doubled last year in Sub-Saharan Africa, according to a study by a London-based research center. London Correspondent Laurie Kassman takes a closer look at the International Institute for Strategic Studies' analysis of the world military balance. TEXT: The Strategic Studies Institute's numbers are not reassuring: Sub-Saharan Africa last year accounted for more than half the world's armed conflicts. Three-fourths of the region's countries are fighting battles at home or across their borders. That has translated into increased armed sales from outside the region. China, Russia, and Eastern Europe have supplied mostly light weapons, small arms, and ammunition. But the Institute says the trade also includes advanced weapons systems and second-hand conventional equipment. I-I-S-S researchers also tracked the sale of combat aircraft last year from Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine to Eritrea and Ethiopia. One of the report's editors, Terry Taylor, says Iran and Libya have also joined the market. /// TAYLOR ACT /// They are supplying into the Sudan and Horn of Africa in those countries where there is an Islamic context to the conflict. /// END ACT /// The research center has also traced Libyan financial assistance to Zimbabwe. ///TAYLOR SECOND ACT/// In fact, we have reports that clearly indicate that Libya has been giving financial support to Zimbabwe in deploying its forces into the Democratic Republic of Congo in support of the Kabila government there. So there is quite a strong link between those two countries. ///END ACT/// The I-I-S-S report suggests Zimbabwe gains lucrative mineral rights in return for that effort. Mr. Taylor says many weapons also come from within the region. ///TAYLOR THIRD ACT/// There is a very large internal market in Africa, as many of these light weapons are in the market for years, for decades and they change hands and then are concentrated in those areas where major conflicts are happening -- in the Horn of Africa, Central Africa, Angola, and the like. /// END ACT /// Weapons sales also mean a profitable business for black marketers. Mr. Taylor acknowledges the report's statistics only reflect official defense spending for Africa -- which totaled nearly 10-billion dollars in 1998. He estimates that amount would be doubled if black market sales were included. The consequence of increased military spending usually means less for social welfare reforms. The I-I-S-S report says Ethiopia's costly war with Eritrea is reflected in the increased military budget this year - - roughly four-times the total for 1998. Analyst Terry Taylor warns that international lending institutions like the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank need to tighten controls on loans and credits to discourage that trend. ///TAYLOR FOURTH ACT/// I Am not saying in every case that this is money misspent, but nevertheless there has been rather gross cases of international funds being disbursed on weapons and in some instances fueling or sustaining a conflict longer than it might have taken place otherwise. /// END ACT /// Despite the upward trend in weapons sales, Mr. Taylor points to what he calls beacons of hope -- Nigeria and South Africa. He cites their democratic reforms and involvement in regional peace efforts as encouraging signs. The global strategic review also points to peace efforts in the West African states Mali, Liberia, and most recently Sierra Leone as positive developments aimed at resolving conflicts and discouraging the expansion of weapons markets in Africa. (SIGNED) NEB/LMK/GE/RAE 27-Oct-1999 11:05 AM EDT (27-Oct-1999 1505 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .





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