Mayaquez and National
Security Decision Making in Crisis
CSC 1997
Subject Area – National
Security
UNITED STATES M
MARINE CORPS
Command and Staff College
Marine Corps University
Marine Corps
Combat Development Command
Quantico,
Virginia 22134-5068
Mayaquez and National Security Decision
Making in Crisis
10 April 1997
Academic Year 1996-1997
Submitted by:
Kenneth L. Robinson
Major, U.S. Army
The
study and the practice of politics are two different things. The student of
politics pursues the truth in the clear light of hindsight, without the
constraints of time or the pressure of events. The statesman, however, must
make decisions in the light of imperfect information, with limited time
available, under opposing pressures, receiving contradictory advice, unable to
foresee the future.
Edmund Burke1
Does the man make the times or do
the times make the man? I submit that in the case of Henry Kissinger, the man
made the times. His strong personalty shaped the national security policy of the
United States during the Mayaguez Crisis. This paper will show that the history
of the rescue of the SS Mayaguez and her crew would be entirely different if
Henry Kissinger were taken out of the equation and replaced by a Cyrus Vance or
a Dean Rusk.
The paraphrase of Edmund Burke
accurately sets the stage for an analysis of national security policy-making
under crisis conditions. The danger of national security crisis action decision
making is that, by its very nature, it lends itself to being made by the man
with the loudest voice and the most articulate argument. A frightening
combination if he also happens to be wrong.
___________________________
1 Paraphrase of Edmund Burke by Ambassador Robert H. Miller, Vice
President of the National Defense University, 15 May 1985.
The
Crisis
On
the 12th of May 1975, a Cambodian gunboat seized the SS Mayaguez, an American
Merchant Marine vessel, and its crew. The Ford Administration chose a forceful
response, dispatching U.S. Navy aircraft to attack the Cambodian mainland, and
US Marines backed by a flotilla of Air Force aircraft to battle Khmer Rouge
soldiers on Koh Tang Island in the Gulf of Siam. The US response was swift and
violent.
The
principal US concern during the crisis was a perceived need to react swiftly
and responsibly in order to save the lives of the crew and to recover the
vessel. The US acted to prevent a repeat of the USS Pueblo incident with North
Korea and to make clear to every government in the region that the safety of
its sailors and the freedom of the seas for its vessels were matters of great
concern.
What
Caused the Crisis?
The
ship and its crew were taken to the Cambodian island of Paulo Wai where they
were held overnight. The next day the ship and its crew were moved to Koh Tang,
a heavily fortified island located 30 miles from the Cambodian mainland.
Once under attack, the SS Mayaguez
sent SOS signals which were eventually picked up by a US embassy and relayed to
the National Command Authority (NCA). The White House ordered reconnaissance
assets in the region to maintain a 24 hour surveillance on station over the
crisis site.
At 12 noon on the 12th of May, the
National Security Council (NSC) met to discuss the breaking crisis and list
policy options for the President. After an intelligence update from the
Director of Central Intelligence, Secretary of State Henry Kissinger presented
a powerful argument that "greater issues were at stake than international
piracy; the seizure of the Mayaguez raised questions of international perceptions
of American power and will."2 Kissinger initial arguments set
the tone for the development of the policy options for the rest of the crisis.
What Was the World
Like in 1975?
America had just ended the Vietnam
war. Internationally, we had suffered a major reversal of our stated foreign
policy. US policy makers assumed there would be potential challenges to our
national interest. Faltering US credibility and the imminent fall of Phnom Penh
and Saigon was on the minds of the NCA.
___________________________
2 Gerald R. Ford, A Time to Heal. (New York:
Harper & Row,
1979), 182.
The President personally felt a
deep sense of shame over the US lack of aid during the onslaught of the Khmer
Rouge in Cambodia.3 In short, the US was concerned about the
"domino theory" of credibility. There was a growing perception
internationally that the US was politically impotent.
The Initial US
Objectives
Monday, 12 May was the first
meeting of the NSC. The participants decided on two key US national security
objectives:4
Ø
The
swift recovery of the SS Mayaguez and its crew.
Ø
A
demonstration of American power and resolve by a forceful response.
Henry Kissinger, in an attempt to
resolve the conflicts that arose from these two competing objectives, allegedly
said, "The lives of the Mayaguez crew must unfortunately be a secondary
consideration." He later denied this quote in an article by Newsweek
magazine on May 26th 1975.
___________________________
3 The
President expressed his concern during a speech before a joint session of
Congress on April 10th, 1975.
4 The
President, Vice-President, Secretaries of State and Defense, acting Chairman of
the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Director of Central Intelligence, General Scowcroft,
the Deputy Secretary of Defense and State and a senior staff member of the NSC
(Ford interview by Hugh Sidney for Time Magazine).
The White House issued its first
official press release at the conclusion of the first meeting of the NSC:
We have been
informed that a Cambodian naval vessel has seized an American merchant ship on
the high seas and forced it to the port of Kompong Som. The President has met
with the NSC. He considers this seizure an act of piracy. He has instructed the
State Department to demand the immediate release of the ship. Failure to do so
would have the most serious consequences.
With its first public statement on
the street, privately, the President and the NSC seemed pre-disposed to direct
military action.
The Fog of War:
Action at the Crisis Site
When the US received word that the
Mayaquez had left Poulo Wai and was heading toward the Cambodian mainland, the
immediate national security concern was a repeat of another Pueblo incident if
the crew were taken. Cambodian gunboats were maneuvering between Koh Tang and
the mainland. Based on this new information, late in the evening of the 12th,
General Brent Scowcroft, USAF, Deputy NSA, ordered PACOM, US fighter aircraft
to be launched for a potential interdiction mission with the gunboats. He then
went to the White House to secure permission for direct action from President
Ford.5
___________________________
5 Gerald
R. Ford., A Time to Heal (New York: Harper & Row, 1979), 210.
US fighters engaged the gunboats
with warning fire, turning three gunboats back and sinking a fourth.6 While
this engagement was taking place, and unbeknownst to the US, a fishing boat
filled with the Mayaguez crew was simultaneously departing Koh Tang for the
Cambodian mainland. As the fishing boat proceeded toward shore, it took heavy
warning fire from US fighter aircraft but was relentless and proceeded on its
course.
On the 13th of May the President
was briefed on the location of the Mayaguez. The President ordered the
Secretary of Defense not to allow another Pueblo incident to occur.7
Isolating the Mayaguez from the
mainland was the order of the day. With this new directive, it became prudent
to consider a rescue of the ship's crew. A second NSC meeting was convened on
the morning of 13th of May. Options considered during this second meeting
included:8
Ø
Diplomacy
via China
Ø
Retaliatory
seizure of a Cambodian Island
Ø
Landing
Helicopters on the Mayaguez
Ø
Boarding
the Mayaguez from a destroyer
Ø
Tactical
air attacks on Kompong Son
____________________
6 Roy Rowan, The Four Days of Mayaquez (New York: W.W. Norton
& Co., 1975), 198.
7 Ford, A Time to Heal, 277.
8 Henry Kissinger., White
House Years (Boston: Little, Brown & Co.,1979) 263.
The only significant policy
decisions to cone out of this second NSC meeting were troop and ship deployment
orders to the vicinity of the crisis site to support any possible contingency
operation.
The sinking of the Cambodian
gunboats brought about a third late night meeting of the NSC. Secretary
Kissinger again defended his argument that “the American response had to be
forceful enough to make an impact on the provocative North Koreans," who
were at the time tunneling under the thirty-eighth parallel.9
President Ford listened to policy
options from other members of the NSC and then decided on a basic plan:
Ø Assault both the Mayaguez and Koh
Tang Island
Ø Conduct
air strikes on the Cambodian mainland
During
this third meeting of the NSC that same determined, lone fishing boat, and a
gunboat escort, continued toward the Cambodian mainland. The gunboat was sunk
but the fishing vessel was undeterred by rocket fire as well as two 2000-pound
bombs dropped within blast range of its hull. An Air Force pilot reported
seeing Caucasians on the fishing boat and requested guidance. The combat
information was relayed around the world to the White House situation room and
into the NSC meeting in progress.
____________________
9 Rowan. The Four Days of Mayaguez, 1975.
President Ford ordered the US
Pilots to "do everything possible to turn the boat around, but not to
sink it."10
Other Options?
During the previous meetings of
the NSC, President Ford determined that the national security interest of the
United States required a forceful swift response. The intelligence community
and the Department of Defense were developing a picture of what it perceived the
threat to be. The President, through the JCS, was pre-positioning forces,
including US Marines from Okinawa to Thailand. Navy ships were being
repositioned close to the area of operation. A letter of intent was drafted for
the United Nations.
The State Department received
information that China might use its influence with the Khmer Rouge to secure
the release of the Mayaguez and its crew. Simultaneously, however, Thailand's
Prime Minister informed the US charge d' affairs that "the US was
expressly forbidden to use its bases in Thailand for any military retaliation
that might be in regard to this matter.'11
Limited Time and
Opposing Pressure
The clock was still ticking, the
fishing boat with possible
____________________
10 John B. Taylor., "Air
Mission Mayaguez," Airman, February 1976, 46.
11"Khukrit on the U.S. use of
Thai Tenanted Bases for Military Action in Cambodia," Cable from Bangkok,
#8874, 141734Z,AF (Declassified)
Caucasians was nearing the
mainland, diplomatic and domestic pressures were now simultaneously entering
into the decision making process of the NSC. JCS planners, under pressure to
execute an operation as soon as possible, were concerned about the lack of
adequate command and control, air lift, and a doctrinal force ratio to commit forces
to combat. The JCS agreed that an extra day would provide a higher assurance of
success. But, they must recover the crew prior to their imprisonment on the
mainland.
On the afternoon of 14 May the US
Ambassador to the United Nations delivered a request for assistance to the
Secretary General. Congressional committees were briefed on the impending
action. The NSC also met to debate whether the US should bomb the Cambodian
mainland. If so, should it be strategic bombers or tactical aircraft? The two main
arguments were:
Ø
Should
the US use B52s to show US determination
Ø
Should
the US use tactical aircraft (There was fear of domestic and world opinion if
the US response was disproportionate).
During the meeting the DCI
reported that intelligence sources indicated "at least some members of the
Mayaguez crew were most likely on the mainland."12 Tactical
aircraft strikes became the option.
____________________
12 Ron Nesson., It Sure Looks
different From the Inside, (Chicago: PLayboy Press, 1978) 34.
The Decision to Act
President Ford ordered military
operations to begin between 4:45 and 5:10 P.M. eastern standard time on the
14th of May. US Marines invaded the Island of Koh Tang via a helicopter assault
from Thailand; simultaneously, a Marine boarding party; from a Navy Destroyer
seized the SS Mayaguez.
There was very light resistance on
the Mayaguez, and the Marines retook the ship. The invasion of Koh Tang Island
proved more difficult. The Marines, expecting a "walk—ashore"
operation, instead flew into the teeth of a defense prepared by numerically
superior, well-entrenched, and well-disciplined Khmer Rouge soldiers.13
Simultaneously with the Marine
offensive, the Cambodian government broadcast on local radio their intention to
free the Mayaguez. The White House responded with a press release that declared
US forces had already secured the Mayaguez and would cease military operations
only if the crew were released immediately and unconditionally.
While the fighting raged on Koh
Tang, US fighters bombed Kompong Son on the mainland. Simultaneously, Marines
recovered the crew of the Mayaguez from a Thai fishing boat with all members
accounted for and unharmed.
____________________
13 Rowan, The Four Days of the
Mayaguez, (New York: W.W. Norton & Co., 1975) 198.
What started out as a rescue
mission ended up as a pitched battle at hand—grenade range between the Marines
on Koh Tang and the Khmer Rouge. Once the crew of the Mayaguez was secure, the
focus shifted to withdrawal of forces from Koh Tang and more retaliatory air
strikes against the Cambodian mainland.
Use of the Bomb
The Cambodians were slowly closing
in on the encircled Marines with approaching nightfall. The Marine Commander on
the ground determined that he could not hold his position through the night.
The decision was made to use BLU-82 Bombs.14
The bomb seems to have been
dropped for its diversionary and inhibiting effect and seemed to reduce some
pressure. Military operations concluded on the 15th of May with the extraction
of the last Marines from Koh Tang.
The Price of
Success, Measured in US Lives
Twenty-three Marines died in an
accidental CH-53 helicopter crash in Thailand. Eighteen Marines died during the
invasion and subsequent withdrawal from Koh Tang, forty—one lives in all. Forty
crew members of the Mayaguez were rescued.
____________________
14 BLU—82 is a 15,000-pound bomb. It
was the largest nonnuclear bomb in the US arsenal. It was originally developed
to produce helicopter landing zones in Vietnam. On February 6th 1991, I
observed a BLU-82 which was dropped to the front of my position on an
entrenched Iraqi division. The blast was visible at 28,000 feet, 168 miles away
by Airborne Command Control and Communications aircraft. It's a "big"
bomb!
This represents a ratio of one
life lost for every life saved.15
Why did the United
States Act with Swift Force?
An overriding
concern for US credibility and prestige seemed to be the driving force
throughout the planning and implementation of this crisis action.
The national security objectives for
the crisis were clear:
Ø
Recovery
of the ship and crew
Ø
A
demonstrative show of force
Ø
Prevention
of another USS Pueblo hostage situation
Time constraints and a lack of
accurate information
complicated the
decision making process of the President throughout the crisis. The timing for
military operations and bombing priorities were the two areas of greatest
debate for the policy makers in this action. If the President had delayed
action for another day it would have allowed time for a more thorough reconnaissance
of the objective areas. It would also have allowed the military to improve its
planning and force ratio
against the
Cambodian soldiers on Koh Tang. However, a delay also ran counter to two of the
three stated national security objectives of the crisis. Specifically, a delay
risked losing the opportunity for punitive strikes against the Cambodian
government. Additionally, a delay might have allowed the Cambodians to move the
crew of the ship into the interior of the
____________________
15 Joint Chiefs of Staff., After Action Report: US Military
Operations. SS Mayaguez/Koh Tang Island, 12-15 May 1975.
country, increasing the likelihood
of another Pueblo hostage situation.
For those reasons, the idea of a
twenty—four hour ultimatum was not implemented. Kissinger said, "every
time we considered it, we came to the same conclusions, that the risks of
giving it to any military operation that might be contemplated and to the crew
members, were greater than the benefits to be achieved by giving a specific time
limit." He added that the threats voiced by the United States through the
United Nations and China constituted an ultimatum.16
The Role of
Intelligence in the NSC Policy Debate
The big questions for the
intelligence community during this crisis action were:
Ø
Where
were the crew members of the Mayaguez?
Ø What
were the intentions of the Cambodians?
Ø What
were the capabilities of the Cambodians?
The
President needed an answer to the first question in order to justify an assault
on the Cambodian mainland and Koh Tang island. Reconnaissance aircraft observed
the crew being removed from the Mayaguez on the 13th of May. They saw them
placed onto two fishing boats which then proceeded to Koh Tang.
____________________
16Department of State, Bureau of
Public Affairs, "Mayaguez Rescue," press release, 16 May 1975.
However, the next day only one
fishing boat departed Koh Tang for the mainland.
The military asserted that any
decision to conduct a hostage rescue required accurate locations for all of the
crew members. The only information available to the NSC in the short time frame
of the crisis were spot reports from US fighter pilots and P-3 reconnaissance
personnel. The reports seemed to conflict with each other and varied from pilot
to pilot. The available intelligence did not reduce the uncertainty or
contribute to the decision making process; it complicated it.
President Fords
Management Style: Impact on the NSC
The key players during this crisis
were the President, the Secretaries of State and Defense, and the Assistant for
National Security Affairs. President Ford preferred the role of arbitrator
between the opinionated members of his cabinet. He felt that this was an
appropriate role for a Commander—in—Chief.17
This leadership style caused the
NSC members to compete for the attention of the President. In peace time, the
group dynamics generated useful options and healthy debate. However, during
crisis action, with lives at stake and the vital interest of the US in balance,
this management style had a chilling effect on some members of the NSC.
____________________
17 Ford., A Time to Heal, 273.
President Ford has been called a
foreign affairs neophyte in comparison to Secretary of State Kissinger, whose
entire professional life revolved around the study and practice of foreign
affairs.18 I do not agree with this assessment.
President Ford relied heavily on
his Secretary of State and publicly held him in high regard. This special
confidence (some might call dependence) gave Secretary Kissinger a special
advantage in shaping the national security policy of the United States during
this crisis. Kissinger summarized his own method of operation in an interview
he gave to Time Magazine, where he made the following observation about the NSC
and national security policy making under crisis:
Personality clashes
are reduced; too much is usually at stake for normal jealousies to operate. In
a crisis only the strongest strive for responsibility; Many hide behind a line
of consensus that they will be reluctant to shape; others concentrate on
registering
objections
that will provide alibis after the event. The few prepared to grapple with
circumstances are usually undisturbed in the eye of the hurricane.
Kissinger saw himself as a
clear-headed man of vision who was willing to seize control of crisis
situations while others vacillated or were paralyzed.
____________________
18 Christopher J. Lamb., Belief
Systems and Decision Making in the Mayaquez Crisis, (University of Florida
Press, 1989), 63.
19 Robert Shrum, "The Most Hated
Man," (Time, 15 October
1979),
44
The NSC System and
this Crisis
The National Security Council
system is designed to provide a forum for interagency consideration of policy
issues.
Due to its small size and its
rapid access to information, the NSC is perfectly suited to be the hub for
policy debate during crisis action. The National Security Advisor and in recent
years, his staff, have acquired an institutional existence, power and
importance that was never intended by the National Security Act of 1947. It is
frightening to think that the potential exist that the man with the loudest
voice and the most articulate argument can carry the day. Ultimately, it is the
President's responsibility to keep the NSC in order and banish the conflicts
among unruly subordinates. This century's Presidents have compiled a rather
poor record in this regard.
Edmund Burkes writings on the
study and practice of politics and Secretary Kissingers' quote on policy—making
under crisis serve as an excellent warning that the selection of a future
National Security Advisor should be amended to allow for nomination by the
President and confirmation by the Senate. Too much potential power resides in
this critical decision to do it any other way.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Department of State, Bureau of
Public Affairs, "Mayaguez Rescue," press release, 16 May 1975.
Ford,
Gerald R., "A Time to Heal." New York: Harper & Row, 1979
Joint
Chiefs of Staff., "After Action Report: US Military Operations, SS
Mayaguez/Koh Tang Island," 12—15 May 1975.
Kissinger,
Henry., "White House Years" (Boston: Little, Brown & Co., 1979
Lamb,
Christopher J., "Belief Systems and Decision Making in the Mayaguez
Crisis," University of Florida Press, 1989
Nesson, Ron., "It Sure
Looks different From the Inside," Chicago:
Playboy Press, 1978
Rowan,
Roy, "The Four Days of Mayaguez" New York: W.W. Norton &
Co., 1975
Shrum,
Robert., "The Most Hated Man," Time, 15 October 1979
Taylor,
John B., "Air Mission Mayaguez," Airman, February 1976
