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Space

Subject:      AFP-731 observations
From:         thomsona@netcom.com (Allen Thomson)
Date:         1995/09/02
Message-Id:   <thomsonaDEA9C9.42A@netcom.com>
Newsgroups:   sci.space.policy,alt.politics.org.cia,alt.war

    Russell Eberst has kindly retrieved the observations 
of AFP-731/1990-019B/NORAD-20516/USA 53 from the archive at 
Greenwich and has given me permission to post them here.  The 
data are in a reporting format used by visual satellite observers 
-- I've forgotten what some of the entries are, but have 
indicated the parts which are germane to the discussion we've 
been having.  The time of observation, YYMMDDHHMM, is the 
most interesting one and shows that the pattern of observations 
was as had been understood earlier, except for two sightings on 
the night of June 19.  The satellite was next reported on 
October 9, and then with increasing frequency until it 
vanished sometime after the pass of November 5. 
    The overall pattern is very roughly consistent with the 
visible passes which were deduced from the last available element 
set -- visibility in March-April, very briefly in mid-summer (but 
calculated to be mid-July rather than mid-June), then many passes 
in September through October.  There are, however, still important 
unanswered questions, such as why there were no sightings from 
March 4 through the end of April and, of course, what happened 
after November 5. 
    It would be interesting to see how well the two sightings on 
19 June fit the orbit determined in October -- I'll try to run 
the simulation in the next day or two and report back. 
    With respect to the generic Nth country space surveillance 
question, it's worth noting that all the AFP-731 observations 
were made at only two sites, 2420 and 2563, which presumably
correspond to Edinburgh and somewhere in France.  A 
geographically dispersed, modestly coordinated network of 
observers could take much better advantage of varying lighting 
conditions and weather. 
*******************************************************************************  
90-19-BsiteYYMMDDHHMMSSss          RA       DEC
9001902242090030206181421  02   21032045  +495205 120 4             +05+05  0  S
9001902242090030406045468  02   21032044  +494305 120 4             +12+12  0  S
9001902242090030406052137  02   21021004  +435953 120 4             +16+16  0  S
9001902256390061923000285   1   12192001  +640788  1  4             +2
9001902256390061923004713   1   12220252  +642700  2  4
9001902242090100919081478  02   21222759  +305513 120 4             +25+25  0  S
9001902242090100919092655  02   21003824  +390934 120 4             +24+24  0  S
9001902256390101418392839   1   12071514  +751200  6  4
9001902256390101418395859   1   12061406  +684122  0  4             +15+25
9001902242090101619290752  02   21121100  +750830 120 4             +58+58  0  S
9001902242090101619300969  02   21065744  +705051 120 4             +50+50  0  S
9001902242090101619311192  02   21053855  +563229 120 4             +52+52  0  S
9001902242090102119010021  02   21061109  +600118 120 4             +62+62  0  S
9001902256390102218323825   1   12104807  +564050  0  4             +6
9001902256390102218323825   1   12104807  +564050  0  4             +6
9001902256390102218331473   1   12094733  +590300  0  4
9001902256390102218334740   1   12084917  +591770  0  4             +5
9001902256390102220174253   1   12105673  +590930  1  4             +7
9001902256390102220180093   1   12102455  +595400  0  4
9001902242090102318055477  02   21093823  +723122 120 4             +52+52  0  S
9001902242090102318061308  02   21081512  +723354 120 4             +50+50  0  S
9001902242090102318074976  02   21045044  +551124 120 4             +61+61  0  S
9001902256390102518571473   1   12095082  +575940  0  4             +6
9001902256390102518574882   1   12085356  +582592  1  4             +45
9001902242090102518580011  02   21061131  +591506 120 4             +47+47  0  S
9001902256390102618303506   1   12091429  +580816  2  4             +6
9001902256390102618310951   1   12081642  +575406  0  4             +4
9001902256390102620133347   1   12125364  +541920  1  4             +45
9001902256390110117334806   1   12085358  +582532  1  4
9001902256390110117342090   1   12075718  +590996  0  4
9001902256390110117351041   1   12063334  +565544  1  4
9001902256390110117351757   1   12062230  +561716  0  4
9001902256390110117353680   1   12055542  +541692  1  4
9001902242090110218501653  02   21115833  +692611 120 4             +52+52  0  S
9001902242090110218510956  02   21075701  +793712 120 4             +49+49  0  S
9001902242090110318230018  02   21115545  +614435 120 4             +51+51  0  S
9001902242090110318240368  02   21092240  +751927 120 4             +47+47  0  S
9001902256390110517303608   1   12094914  +594392  1  4
9001902256390110517314032   1   12074668  +641308  1  4
9001902256390110517320130   1   12065724  +634728  0  4



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