Somalia:
Humanitarian Success And Political/Military Failure
CSC
1995
SUBJECT
AREA - Topical Issues
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
Title:
Somalia: Humanitarian Success and Political/Military Failure
Author: Major L. M. Martin, United States Marine
Corps
Thesis:
That although the commitment of U.S. forces in Somalia was ordered for
humanitarian
reasons, the more ambitious goal of peacemaking failed due to the
absence
of an achievable mission.
Background: In ordering forces to Somalia in December
1992, President Bush
articulated
the humanitarian mission, but did not ensure that the United States' and
United
Nations' (UN) goals were in consonance. Additionally, he did not involve
incoming
President Clinton in his decision. From the beginning, UN
Secretary-General
Boutros-Ghali intended the United Nations effort to include
disarmament
of the Somali warring factions and nation building. In contrast to
former
President Bush, President Clinton's views toward Somalia more closely
mirrored
those of the UN Secretary-General. Although the UN assumed control of
the
Somali operation in March 1993, the U.S. continued to play a major role in
military
operations and UN negotiations. The humanitarian effort succeeded in
saving
lives, but the political/military operation failed to achieve its mission. The
following
factors contributed to that political/military failure: the lack of an
achievable
military and political objective; the impact of the media on military
operations;
the absence of an articulated foreign policy toward Somalia; and the lack
of
American public support for continued operations.
Recommendation: The U.S. should continue to support
humanitarian operations to
the
greatest extent possible. To avoid another failure such as Somalia, the United
States
should not support nor participate in UN peacemaking or peace enforcement
actions
involving civil wars unless all major warring factions actively seek a peaceful
solution
to the crisis and there is an articulated and achievable end state.
SOMALIA: HUMANITARIAN SUCCESS
AND POLITICAL/MILITARY
FAILURE
On April 24, 1992, the United Nations
Security Council established a UN
Operation
in Somalia (UNOSOM) to "facilitate an immediate cessation of hostilities
and
the maintenance of a cease-fire throughout the country, and to promote the
process
of reconciliation and political settlement."1 This initial resolution
regarding
Somalia
was modest in scope with only 50 UN observers and 500 security
personnel.2
UNOSOM's mission also included a 90-day Plan of Action for
Humanitarian
Assistance to Somalia.
With a fragile cease-fire in the
capitol city of Mogadishu only (declared in
March
1992), and continued fighting in the north and south, warring factions greatly
outnumbered
the UNOSOM forces. Tons of food began to flow into the country
and
numerous nongovernment organization (NGO) personnel attempted to
distribute
it to the starving masses. In a short period of time, it became evident that
armed
bandits and looters were benefiting from the aid far more than those in true
need.
Therefore, on December 3, 1992, the United Nations Security Council
approved
a resolution authorizing member states to deploy combat troops "to
establish
a secure environment for humanitarian relief operations in Somalia."3 Few
individuals
following the story doubted that "member states" provided the UN
cover
for
a major deployment of U.S. troops and material to Somalia.
President George Bush publicly declared
that the United States was the only
nation
capable of quickly mounting a military operation designed to facilitate the
humanitarian
effort in Somalia. Journalistic speculation of the president's motives
varied
from a belief that he wanted to end his term on a high note to the opinion that
he
had caved in to public pressure generated by graphic news footage of starving
Somalis.
As with most military operations that "fail," debate continues on
whether
U.S.
should have committed forces to such a mission. Certainly, the operation did
not
meet the requirement of the Weinberger Doctrine since American vital interests
did
not exist in Somalia; however, current national security strategy does not
require
such
"vital interest" and the issue of internal morality cannot be
discounted.
This analysis will discuss why the
United States committed forces to Somalia,
whether
the commitment of U.S. forces was in consonance with the National
Security
Strategy, why we left Somalia, and how the Somalia experience may shape
future
U.S. involvement in UN peace operations. This discussion begins with a short
background
on Somalia, and is then broken down into the major phases of the
Somalia
operation which directly involved American forces.
BACKGROUND
A general understanding of Somalia's
geography, demographics, and culture
is
essential to this analysis. Roughly the shape of a boomerang, and nearly equal
in
square
miles to the State of Texas, Somalia sits on the Horn of Africa at the entrance
to
the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea. Djibouti to the north, Ethiopia to the west,
and
Kenya to the south provide its borders.
Of its approximately 8.5 million
people, more than 98 percent are Somali,
giving
it an unusual ethnic homogeneity. More than 45 percent of the population are
under
15 years of age. About 70 percent of Somali's are nomads who travel with
their
livestock herds through Somalia, Kenya, and Ethiopia. A lack of definitive
borders
contributes to the unresolved land disputes between Somalia and its
neighbors.
From the late 1800's until World War
II, Somalia was split under British and
Italian
colonial rule. During World War II, Britain occupied all of Somalia, and in
1948,
gave the Ogaden region to Ethiopia even though Somalis primarily populated
it.
In 1950, the United Nations voted to grant independence to Somalia; and in
1960.
Somalia
became a republic with its current borders.4
Following 9 years of civilian
government, President Muhammad Siad Barre
assumed
power in 1969 in a military coup. As a publicly declared "scientific
socialist"
Barre
received both military and financial aid from the former Soviet Union until
1977,
when a dispute with Soviet-backed Ethiopia caused him to break off relations
with
the Soviets and turn to the United States. To counter Soviet influence on the
Horn
of Africa, the United States then provided Somalia with military and economic
aid.
Somalia played the Cold War game very well, requesting hundreds of millions
of
dollars in arms and financial aid to fight two U.S. foes, Libya's Muammar
Qaddafi
and
Ethiopia's pro-Soviet leader, Mengistu Haile Mariam. Additionally, Somalia
purchased
tens of millions of dollars worth of U.S. arms under Foreign Military
Sales
in the mid-1980's.5 Ironically, a mere decade later, American policymakers
tried
to disarm a nation the U.S. had helped to arm. Aid to Somalia gradually
increased
until it peaked in the mid-1980s at more than $ 100 million annually; but as
the
Cold War wound down, aid began to decrease significantly.
In 1988, the Somali National Movement
(Isaq clan) rose in rebellion and
seized
several towns in the north. Although President Barre responded with military
force,
heavy bombing and shelling could not put down the rebels. Another group,
the
Somali Patriotic Movement (Ogadeni clan), gradually took over the southern
region;
and the United Somali Congress (Hawiye clan) dominated in the central
region
and in Mogadishu, the capitol. In 1989, Barre's violent retaliation against
rival
clans could no longer be ignored, and the United States cut off all aid.
After nearly 3 years of civil war, Siad
Barre finally fled Somalia in January
1991.
Although the three dominant Somali groups declared their intent to form a
transitional
government leading to a democracy, within a few months there were
challenges
to the authority of the transitional president, Ali Mahdi Mohammed. The
primary
challenge came from General Mohammed Farrah Aidid, chairman of the
ruling
United Somali Congress and a fellow Hawiye clansman of Ali Mahdi.
In addition to the carnage of a civil
war with no end in sight, a drought-
caused
famine was in full force and Somalis were dying of starvation by the
thousands.
Although numerous humanitarian relief organizations were at work in
Somalia,
they made little headway in stopping the devastation. In addition, Somali
refugees
were becoming a problem in neighboring Kenya and Ethiopia.6
UNITED NATIONS INTERVENTION
On 23 January 1992, the United Nations
Security Council adopted resolution
733
(1992) which called for an embargo on weapons and military equipment being
sent
to Somalia. In the meantime, recently-elected UN Secretary-General Boutros
Boutros-Ghali
continued his personal ongoing dialogue with all Somali "parties,
movements
and factions" attempting to convene a conference on national
reconciliation
and unity.7 Boutros-Ghali's previous relationship with former-
president
Siad Barre, however, hampered his effectiveness in negotiating with the
warring
Somali clans.
On 24 April 1992, the Security Council
unanimously adopted resolution 751
(1992)
to "facilitate an immediate cessation of hostilities and the maintenance
of a
cease-fire
throughout the country, and to promote the process of reconciliation and
political
settlement."8 The resolution also supported Boutros-Ghali's 90-day Plan of
Action
for Emergency Humanitarian Assistance to Somalia.
Resolution 751 called for the immediate
deployment of 50 UN observers to
monitor
the cease-fire in Mogadishu and approved "in principle"
Boutros-Ghali's
plan
to deploy a 500-member security force to assist with humanitarian supply
deliveries.
Boutros-Ghali reported to the Security Council that the UN would
establish
UNOSOM "in accordance with agreements signed on 27 and 28 March,
respectively,
by Interim President Mohamed and General Aidid."9
Although the 50 observers were in
Somalia in short order, UNOSOM was in
trouble
from the start. The UN had to place the 500-man Pakistani battalion,
designated
as the UNOSOM security force, on standby for months as General Aidid
refused
to agree to allow armed UN forces in Somalia.10 The UN observers made
little
progress in reducing the conflict or securing supplies, and in July, the UN
asked
for increased airlifting of food.
OPERATION PROVIDE RELIEF
Ordered by President George Bush in
response to UN requests. Operation
Provide
Relief began on August 15, 1992, and was to: "[p]rovide military
assistance
in
support of emergency humanitarian relief to Kenya and Somalia."11 Although
United
States military participation at this point was strictly logistical in nature,
the
United
States stationed a Marine Expeditionary Unit off the coast of Somalia to
support
the airlift. At that time, Assistant Secretary of State Herman Cohen stated
that
the United States had "no intention of landing a Marine
expedition."12 Merely a
few
months later, his words would prove untrue. Although Operation Provide Relief
successfully
airlifted more than 28,000 metric tons of relief supplies into Somalia, the
situation
on the ground worsened. The fighting continued, and media pictures
beamed
back to the United States of dying children resulted in an ever-increasing
demand
to "do something."
OPERATION RESTORE HOPE
On December 4, 1992, President Bush
announced that he would deploy
thousands
of American troops to Somalia under the terms of UN resolution 794
(1992)
passed the previous day. The United Task Force (UNITAF) would be a
multinational
coalition led by the United States as a stop-gap measure to provide
security
for distribution of relief supplies in Somalia until a more permanent UN
peacekeeping
force could assume those responsibilities. Significantly, resolution 794
referenced
Chapter VII of the UN Charter which concerns peace enforcement.
At this point in the Somalia story, the
disparities in expectations began to
impact
American intervention in Somalia. Significant differences in goals existed
between
President Bush and UN Secretary-General Boutros-Ghali. President Bush
intended
to send to Somalia "a broad force to accomplish a narrow mission in a
short
time."13
Boutros-Ghali, on the other hand wanted the United States to stay until the
country
was stabilized. The Secretary-General informed the UN Security Council
that
he wanted the intervention force to disarm the Somalis and confiscate their
heavy
weapons. Officials in Washington recognized the impossibility of that task,
refused
to commit to it and left the matter to the discretion of the on-scene
commander.
Throughout the remainder of his term of
office, President Bush never
wavered
from his position that the U.S. was in Somalia for humanitarian reasons
only
and that he would bring the troops home soon. There were even public
assurances
that the troops could be home by Inauguration Day, January 20, 1993,
but
the more popular opinion was that they would for remain for 6 months to a
year.14
To understand Boutros-Ghali's position,
one need only review his Agenda for
Peace.
The Secretary-General assumed his post with ambitious goals which included
establishing
"peace-enforcement units" and permanently assigning armed forces from
member
states to the Security Council to give the UN credibility as a "guarantor
of
international
security." He also advocated immediate establishment of a $50-million
revolving
peace-keeping reserve fund and a pre-positioned stock of peacekeeping
equipment.15
Additionally, expectations and
frustrations on the ground in Somalia were
innumerable.
For the most part, the Somali people were happy to see the troops, and
some
Somali clan leaders were asking for an extended commitment. Even General
Aidid
staged a pro-American demonstration, although most Western observers
doubted
his sincerity. As might be anticipated in such a large and quickly conceived
operation,
many contingencies arose amongst the coalition, the humanitarian relief
organizations,
and the Somalis.
Although the U.S. special envoy, Robert
Oakley, brokered a temporary
cease-fire
between Aidid and Ali Mahdi, the warlords did not agreed to lay down
their
arms. In fact, their orders for their fighters to leave Mogadishu created havoc
in
the countryside and caused an outcry from relief workers in outlying towns as
armed
gangs attacked them.
The issue of complete disarmament was a
catch-22 that the UN never fully
resolved.
Few disagree with UN Secretary-General Boutros-Ghali's position that
peace
building could not begin until the coalition disarmed the warring factions.
However,
military officials and experienced U.S. politicians (those who remember
Beirut)
believed that wholesale disarmament would turn the coalition troops into the
enemy
of all Somali factions. Although armed with modern warfighting equipment,
the
coalition troops (predominantly U.S.) could not disarm so many Somalis without
an
exceedingly high toll in lives: American, coalition, and Somali. It is
reasonable to
assume
that the American public would be unwilling to accept the deaths of so many
sons
in a "humanitarian" operation.
THE UNITED NATIONS/UNITED STATES GAP
WIDENS
As his presidential term came to a
close, President Bush reiterated his
position
that prolonged operations would not be necessary and that American
servicemen
would be in Somalia "only as long as necessary to establish a secure
environment."16
Secretary-General Boutros-Ghali now demanded that "before going
home,
American troops not only seize the Somali clans' arsenals but also remove the
mines
that have been laid in the north of the country and set up a military police
force
to preserve order."17 Only under those conditions would Boutros-Ghali
provide
UN
peacekeepers to take over. U.S. officials maintained that they made the offer
of
troops
to the UN with very specific guidelines, and the pertinent Security Council
resolution
did not require such actions by UNITAF. United States officials accused
the
Secretary-General of "moving the goalposts" while UN officials
maintained that
the
U.S. knew the ground rules from the beginning.
It is not surprising, therefore, that
the quick hand-off from UNITAF to the
more
permanent UN force did not go "quickly." On the eve of Bill Clinton's
inauguration
as president, the U.S. pulled more than 1,000 Marines out of Somalia to
return
home. Most observed the move as a token effort of keeping President Bush's
word,
but also as a means to prod the United Nations into creating the regular
peacekeeping
force.
For several weeks, the U.S. media
reported little news from Somalia News
of
sporadic fighting with few coalition casualties competed with news of President
Clinton's
first months in office. After much delay, however, on March 26, 1993, the
UN
Security Council passed resolution 814 (1992) establishing UNOSOM II.
Resolution 814 contained several
significant (and ambitious) provisions: (1) it
mandated
a peacekeeping operation under Chapter VII of the UN Charter, and
included
the requirement to disarm all Somali clans; (2) it specifically addressed the
political
objective of rebuilding a member state's political and economic structure;
and
(3) it directed the creation of a secure environment throughout Somalia to
include
the northern region which had declared independence.18
To carry out the resolution, the United
Nations established a full
peacekeeping
structure in Somalia with Admiral Jonathan Howe, U.S. Navy,
retired,
as head and special representative of the Secretary-General, and Turkish
Lieutenant
General Cevik Bir as commander of the UN forces.
THE UNITED STATES TAKES A SUBORDINATE
ROLE
Under UNOSOM II, the U.S. role was
primarily that of logistical support,
with
one significant exception. The U.S. also agreed to provide a Quick Reaction
Force
of more than 1,000 Army soldiers from the 10th Mountain Division. Those
troops
were to remain under the tactical control of the Commander, U.S. Forces,
Somalia.19
On May 4, 1993, the UN official took control and responsibility for
operations
in Somalia.
Approximately one month later, the UN
operation shifted dramatically. On
June
6, 1993, Aidid supporters ambushed and killed 24 Pakistani soldiers. The
assault
was particularly vicious. The Somali gunmen used women and children as
shields
and mutilated the Pakistani corpses. Two days later, and with the strong
support
of the Clinton administration, the UN Security Council passed resolution
837
which called for the immediate apprehension of those responsible for the
ambush.
The hunt for Aidid was on, and the UN coalition started to weaken.
In the following weeks, the UN command
accused the Italian and Saudi
