Somalia:
Humanitarian Success And Political/Military Failure
CSC
1995
SUBJECT
AREA - Topical Issues
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
Title:
Somalia: Humanitarian Success and Political/Military Failure
Author: Major L. M. Martin, United States Marine
Corps
Thesis:
That although the commitment of U.S. forces in Somalia was ordered for
humanitarian
reasons, the more ambitious goal of peacemaking failed due to the
absence
of an achievable mission.
Background: In ordering forces to Somalia in December
1992, President Bush
articulated
the humanitarian mission, but did not ensure that the United States' and
United
Nations' (UN) goals were in consonance. Additionally, he did not involve
incoming
President Clinton in his decision. From the beginning, UN
Secretary-General
Boutros-Ghali intended the United Nations effort to include
disarmament
of the Somali warring factions and nation building. In contrast to
former
President Bush, President Clinton's views toward Somalia more closely
mirrored
those of the UN Secretary-General. Although the UN assumed control of
the
Somali operation in March 1993, the U.S. continued to play a major role in
military
operations and UN negotiations. The humanitarian effort succeeded in
saving
lives, but the political/military operation failed to achieve its mission. The
following
factors contributed to that political/military failure: the lack of an
achievable
military and political objective; the impact of the media on military
operations;
the absence of an articulated foreign policy toward Somalia; and the lack
of
American public support for continued operations.
Recommendation: The U.S. should continue to support
humanitarian operations to
the
greatest extent possible. To avoid another failure such as Somalia, the United
States
should not support nor participate in UN peacemaking or peace enforcement
actions
involving civil wars unless all major warring factions actively seek a peaceful
solution
to the crisis and there is an articulated and achievable end state.
SOMALIA: HUMANITARIAN SUCCESS
AND POLITICAL/MILITARY
FAILURE
On April 24, 1992, the United Nations
Security Council established a UN
Operation
in Somalia (UNOSOM) to "facilitate an immediate cessation of hostilities
and
the maintenance of a cease-fire throughout the country, and to promote the
process
of reconciliation and political settlement."1 This initial resolution
regarding
Somalia
was modest in scope with only 50 UN observers and 500 security
personnel.2
UNOSOM's mission also included a 90-day Plan of Action for
Humanitarian
Assistance to Somalia.
With a fragile cease-fire in the
capitol city of Mogadishu only (declared in
March
1992), and continued fighting in the north and south, warring factions greatly
outnumbered
the UNOSOM forces. Tons of food began to flow into the country
and
numerous nongovernment organization (NGO) personnel attempted to
distribute
it to the starving masses. In a short period of time, it became evident that
armed
bandits and looters were benefiting from the aid far more than those in true
need.
Therefore, on December 3, 1992, the United Nations Security Council
approved
a resolution authorizing member states to deploy combat troops "to
establish
a secure environment for humanitarian relief operations in Somalia."3 Few
individuals
following the story doubted that "member states" provided the UN
cover
for
a major deployment of U.S. troops and material to Somalia.
President George Bush publicly declared
that the United States was the only
nation
capable of quickly mounting a military operation designed to facilitate the
humanitarian
effort in Somalia. Journalistic speculation of the president's motives
varied
from a belief that he wanted to end his term on a high note to the opinion that
he
had caved in to public pressure generated by graphic news footage of starving
Somalis.
As with most military operations that "fail," debate continues on
whether
U.S.
should have committed forces to such a mission. Certainly, the operation did
not
meet the requirement of the Weinberger Doctrine since American vital interests
did
not exist in Somalia; however, current national security strategy does not
require
such
"vital interest" and the issue of internal morality cannot be
discounted.
This analysis will discuss why the
United States committed forces to Somalia,
whether
the commitment of U.S. forces was in consonance with the National
Security
Strategy, why we left Somalia, and how the Somalia experience may shape
future
U.S. involvement in UN peace operations. This discussion begins with a short
background
on Somalia, and is then broken down into the major phases of the
Somalia
operation which directly involved American forces.
BACKGROUND
A general understanding of Somalia's
geography, demographics, and culture
is
essential to this analysis. Roughly the shape of a boomerang, and nearly equal
in
square
miles to the State of Texas, Somalia sits on the Horn of Africa at the entrance
to
the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea. Djibouti to the north, Ethiopia to the west,
and
Kenya to the south provide its borders.
Of its approximately 8.5 million
people, more than 98 percent are Somali,
giving
it an unusual ethnic homogeneity. More than 45 percent of the population are
under
15 years of age. About 70 percent of Somali's are nomads who travel with
their
livestock herds through Somalia, Kenya, and Ethiopia. A lack of definitive
borders
contributes to the unresolved land disputes between Somalia and its
neighbors.
From the late 1800's until World War
II, Somalia was split under British and
Italian
colonial rule. During World War II, Britain occupied all of Somalia, and in
1948,
gave the Ogaden region to Ethiopia even though Somalis primarily populated
it.
In 1950, the United Nations voted to grant independence to Somalia; and in
1960.
Somalia
became a republic with its current borders.4
Following 9 years of civilian
government, President Muhammad Siad Barre
assumed
power in 1969 in a military coup. As a publicly declared "scientific
socialist"
Barre
received both military and financial aid from the former Soviet Union until
1977,
when a dispute with Soviet-backed Ethiopia caused him to break off relations
with
the Soviets and turn to the United States. To counter Soviet influence on the
Horn
of Africa, the United States then provided Somalia with military and economic
aid.
Somalia played the Cold War game very well, requesting hundreds of millions
of
dollars in arms and financial aid to fight two U.S. foes, Libya's Muammar
Qaddafi
and
Ethiopia's pro-Soviet leader, Mengistu Haile Mariam. Additionally, Somalia
purchased
tens of millions of dollars worth of U.S. arms under Foreign Military
Sales
in the mid-1980's.5 Ironically, a mere decade later, American policymakers
tried
to disarm a nation the U.S. had helped to arm. Aid to Somalia gradually
increased
until it peaked in the mid-1980s at more than $ 100 million annually; but as
the
Cold War wound down, aid began to decrease significantly.
In 1988, the Somali National Movement
(Isaq clan) rose in rebellion and
seized
several towns in the north. Although President Barre responded with military
force,
heavy bombing and shelling could not put down the rebels. Another group,
the
Somali Patriotic Movement (Ogadeni clan), gradually took over the southern
region;
and the United Somali Congress (Hawiye clan) dominated in the central
region
and in Mogadishu, the capitol. In 1989, Barre's violent retaliation against
rival
clans could no longer be ignored, and the United States cut off all aid.
After nearly 3 years of civil war, Siad
Barre finally fled Somalia in January
1991.
Although the three dominant Somali groups declared their intent to form a
transitional
government leading to a democracy, within a few months there were
challenges
to the authority of the transitional president, Ali Mahdi Mohammed. The
primary
challenge came from General Mohammed Farrah Aidid, chairman of the
ruling
United Somali Congress and a fellow Hawiye clansman of Ali Mahdi.
In addition to the carnage of a civil
war with no end in sight, a drought-
caused
famine was in full force and Somalis were dying of starvation by the
thousands.
Although numerous humanitarian relief organizations were at work in
Somalia,
they made little headway in stopping the devastation. In addition, Somali
refugees
were becoming a problem in neighboring Kenya and Ethiopia.6
UNITED NATIONS INTERVENTION
On 23 January 1992, the United Nations
Security Council adopted resolution
733
(1992) which called for an embargo on weapons and military equipment being
sent
to Somalia. In the meantime, recently-elected UN Secretary-General Boutros
Boutros-Ghali
continued his personal ongoing dialogue with all Somali "parties,
movements
and factions" attempting to convene a conference on national
reconciliation
and unity.7 Boutros-Ghali's previous relationship with former-
president
Siad Barre, however, hampered his effectiveness in negotiating with the
warring
Somali clans.
On 24 April 1992, the Security Council
unanimously adopted resolution 751
(1992)
to "facilitate an immediate cessation of hostilities and the maintenance
of a
cease-fire
throughout the country, and to promote the process of reconciliation and
political
settlement."8 The resolution also supported Boutros-Ghali's 90-day Plan of
Action
for Emergency Humanitarian Assistance to Somalia.
Resolution 751 called for the immediate
deployment of 50 UN observers to
monitor
the cease-fire in Mogadishu and approved "in principle"
Boutros-Ghali's
plan
to deploy a 500-member security force to assist with humanitarian supply
deliveries.
Boutros-Ghali reported to the Security Council that the UN would
establish
UNOSOM "in accordance with agreements signed on 27 and 28 March,
respectively,
by Interim President Mohamed and General Aidid."9
Although the 50 observers were in
Somalia in short order, UNOSOM was in
trouble
from the start. The UN had to place the 500-man Pakistani battalion,
designated
as the UNOSOM security force, on standby for months as General Aidid
refused
to agree to allow armed UN forces in Somalia.10 The UN observers made
little
progress in reducing the conflict or securing supplies, and in July, the UN
asked
for increased airlifting of food.
OPERATION PROVIDE RELIEF
Ordered by President George Bush in
response to UN requests. Operation
Provide
Relief began on August 15, 1992, and was to: "[p]rovide military
assistance
in
support of emergency humanitarian relief to Kenya and Somalia."11 Although
United
States military participation at this point was strictly logistical in nature,
the
United
States stationed a Marine Expeditionary Unit off the coast of Somalia to
support
the airlift. At that time, Assistant Secretary of State Herman Cohen stated
that
the United States had "no intention of landing a Marine
expedition."12 Merely a
few
months later, his words would prove untrue. Although Operation Provide Relief
successfully
airlifted more than 28,000 metric tons of relief supplies into Somalia, the
situation
on the ground worsened. The fighting continued, and media pictures
beamed
back to the United States of dying children resulted in an ever-increasing
demand
to "do something."
OPERATION RESTORE HOPE
On December 4, 1992, President Bush
announced that he would deploy
thousands
of American troops to Somalia under the terms of UN resolution 794
(1992)
passed the previous day. The United Task Force (UNITAF) would be a
multinational
coalition led by the United States as a stop-gap measure to provide
security
for distribution of relief supplies in Somalia until a more permanent UN
peacekeeping
force could assume those responsibilities. Significantly, resolution 794
referenced
Chapter VII of the UN Charter which concerns peace enforcement.
At this point in the Somalia story, the
disparities in expectations began to
impact
American intervention in Somalia. Significant differences in goals existed
between
President Bush and UN Secretary-General Boutros-Ghali. President Bush
intended
to send to Somalia "a broad force to accomplish a narrow mission in a
short
time."13
Boutros-Ghali, on the other hand wanted the United States to stay until the
country
was stabilized. The Secretary-General informed the UN Security Council
that
he wanted the intervention force to disarm the Somalis and confiscate their
heavy
weapons. Officials in Washington recognized the impossibility of that task,
refused
to commit to it and left the matter to the discretion of the on-scene
commander.
Throughout the remainder of his term of
office, President Bush never
wavered
from his position that the U.S. was in Somalia for humanitarian reasons
only
and that he would bring the troops home soon. There were even public
assurances
that the troops could be home by Inauguration Day, January 20, 1993,
but
the more popular opinion was that they would for remain for 6 months to a
year.14
To understand Boutros-Ghali's position,
one need only review his Agenda for
Peace.
The Secretary-General assumed his post with ambitious goals which included
establishing
"peace-enforcement units" and permanently assigning armed forces from
member
states to the Security Council to give the UN credibility as a "guarantor
of
international
security." He also advocated immediate establishment of a $50-million
revolving
peace-keeping reserve fund and a pre-positioned stock of peacekeeping
equipment.15
Additionally, expectations and
frustrations on the ground in Somalia were
innumerable.
For the most part, the Somali people were happy to see the troops, and
some
Somali clan leaders were asking for an extended commitment. Even General
Aidid
staged a pro-American demonstration, although most Western observers
doubted
his sincerity. As might be anticipated in such a large and quickly conceived
operation,
many contingencies arose amongst the coalition, the humanitarian relief
organizations,
and the Somalis.
Although the U.S. special envoy, Robert
Oakley, brokered a temporary
cease-fire
between Aidid and Ali Mahdi, the warlords did not agreed to lay down
their
arms. In fact, their orders for their fighters to leave Mogadishu created havoc
in
the countryside and caused an outcry from relief workers in outlying towns as
armed
gangs attacked them.
The issue of complete disarmament was a
catch-22 that the UN never fully
resolved.
Few disagree with UN Secretary-General Boutros-Ghali's position that
peace
building could not begin until the coalition disarmed the warring factions.
However,
military officials and experienced U.S. politicians (those who remember
Beirut)
believed that wholesale disarmament would turn the coalition troops into the
enemy
of all Somali factions. Although armed with modern warfighting equipment,
the
coalition troops (predominantly U.S.) could not disarm so many Somalis without
an
exceedingly high toll in lives: American, coalition, and Somali. It is
reasonable to
assume
that the American public would be unwilling to accept the deaths of so many
sons
in a "humanitarian" operation.
THE UNITED NATIONS/UNITED STATES GAP
WIDENS
As his presidential term came to a
close, President Bush reiterated his
position
that prolonged operations would not be necessary and that American
servicemen
would be in Somalia "only as long as necessary to establish a secure
environment."16
Secretary-General Boutros-Ghali now demanded that "before going
home,
American troops not only seize the Somali clans' arsenals but also remove the
mines
that have been laid in the north of the country and set up a military police
force
to preserve order."17 Only under those conditions would Boutros-Ghali
provide
UN
peacekeepers to take over. U.S. officials maintained that they made the offer
of
troops
to the UN with very specific guidelines, and the pertinent Security Council
resolution
did not require such actions by UNITAF. United States officials accused
the
Secretary-General of "moving the goalposts" while UN officials
maintained that
the
U.S. knew the ground rules from the beginning.
It is not surprising, therefore, that
the quick hand-off from UNITAF to the
more
permanent UN force did not go "quickly." On the eve of Bill Clinton's
inauguration
as president, the U.S. pulled more than 1,000 Marines out of Somalia to
return
home. Most observed the move as a token effort of keeping President Bush's
word,
but also as a means to prod the United Nations into creating the regular
peacekeeping
force.
For several weeks, the U.S. media
reported little news from Somalia News
of
sporadic fighting with few coalition casualties competed with news of President
Clinton's
first months in office. After much delay, however, on March 26, 1993, the
UN
Security Council passed resolution 814 (1992) establishing UNOSOM II.
Resolution 814 contained several
significant (and ambitious) provisions: (1) it
mandated
a peacekeeping operation under Chapter VII of the UN Charter, and
included
the requirement to disarm all Somali clans; (2) it specifically addressed the
political
objective of rebuilding a member state's political and economic structure;
and
(3) it directed the creation of a secure environment throughout Somalia to
include
the northern region which had declared independence.18
To carry out the resolution, the United
Nations established a full
peacekeeping
structure in Somalia with Admiral Jonathan Howe, U.S. Navy,
retired,
as head and special representative of the Secretary-General, and Turkish
Lieutenant
General Cevik Bir as commander of the UN forces.
THE UNITED STATES TAKES A SUBORDINATE
ROLE
Under UNOSOM II, the U.S. role was
primarily that of logistical support,
with
one significant exception. The U.S. also agreed to provide a Quick Reaction
Force
of more than 1,000 Army soldiers from the 10th Mountain Division. Those
troops
were to remain under the tactical control of the Commander, U.S. Forces,
Somalia.19
On May 4, 1993, the UN official took control and responsibility for
operations
in Somalia.
Approximately one month later, the UN
operation shifted dramatically. On
June
6, 1993, Aidid supporters ambushed and killed 24 Pakistani soldiers. The
assault
was particularly vicious. The Somali gunmen used women and children as
shields
and mutilated the Pakistani corpses. Two days later, and with the strong
support
of the Clinton administration, the UN Security Council passed resolution
837
which called for the immediate apprehension of those responsible for the
ambush.
The hunt for Aidid was on, and the UN coalition started to weaken.
In the following weeks, the UN command
accused the Italian and Saudi
peacekeepers
of ignoring the command and taking orders only from their own
governments.
The German government threatened to withhold the remainder of its
contingent
promised to the UN. In the United States, debate grew in Congress over
the
change in mission.
International criticism of the United
States also increased. With civilian
casualties
from American gunship attacks, and the UN command structure in
Somalia
staffed primarily by Americans, Somali leaders held the U.S. accountable
for
the dramatic change in the focus of the operation.20
In August 1993, four U.S. soldiers lost
their lives when their military vehicle
hit
a command detonated mine. President Clinton threatened retaliation, and in
September
deployed 400 Army Rangers to augment the Quick Reaction Force.
Secretary
of Defense Les Aspin said that U.S. forces would not leave Somalia until
the
capitol was calm, the rebels disarmed of heavy weapons, and a national police
force
was in place.21 The United States had moved closer to the goals of
Secretary-General
Boutros-Ghali and away from those of former President Bush.
One month later, on October 3 and 4,
a U.S. Army Ranger mission to capture
Aidid
ended in disaster with 18 U.S. servicemen dead and 77 wounded. After
meeting
with his top advisors, the president agreed to a new U.S. strategy to
"reinforce
the troops, shift from a get-Aidid policy to a more political approach and
set
a hard deadline for withdrawal."22 Within a week, President Clinton
established
a
March 31, 1994 deadline for withdrawal of all American forces. Other major
coalition
partners soon followed in announcing their withdrawal from Somalia. For
all
intents and purposes, Operation Restore Hope was over.
THE NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY
Operation Restore Hope was a fragile
undertaking from the very beginning.
It
was, however, in consonance with the president's National Security Strategy.
President
Bush intended that the primary purpose of the operation to be
humanitarian.
More specifically, however, his National Security Strategy published
in
August 1991, notes that we should be "proud of the role we played in
bringing to
an
end civil wars in Angola and Ethiopia."25 America had set the precedent
for
involvement
in the internal conflicts of an African nation.
In January 1993, just prior to his
departure from office, President Bush
signed
a new National Security Strategy. One major section is entitled, "The
Promotion
of Peace and Democracy... Our Policy Agenda." That section notably
contains
a section concerning the United Nations. It states, "The United States
should
do its part to strengthen UN conflict prevention, peacekeeping and
peacemaking
abilities by taking an active role in the full spectrum of UN
peacekeeping
and humanitarian relief planning and support."24 With regard to
Africa,
the National Security Strategy indicates, "[o]ur leadership in Operation
RESTORE
HOPE is designed to encourage other nations to contribute to the
amelioration
of the human condition there, laying the foundation for continued
economic
and political progress."25
Critics accused President Bush of
several motives in ordering Operation
Restore
Hope. Most often, they accused him of ordering the mission as the last
grand-stand
play of a lame duck president. Others implied that he took action in
Somalia
to divert attention away from the Bosnian crisis. Regardless of his true
motives,
most reports agree that he intended the operation be accomplished with a
narrowly
defined mission and within a very short period of time.
President Bush's final National
Security Strategy, however, does not coincide
with
his "narrowly defined mission." As initially designed, Operation
Restore Hope
had
little chance of ending the Somali civil war. Peacemaking, peace enforcement,
and
establishing democracy are decades in the making and cannot be accomplished
in
a "very short period of time."
THE CONSEQUENCES OF
"MISSION CREEP"
Although the initial intent of Operation Restore Hope was to
facilitate
delivery
of humanitarian supplies, the potential existed very strongly from the
beginning
for a larger mission. Secretary-General Bofutros-Ghali was quite
outspoken
in his expectations for UN peacekeepers. Complete disarmament of
warring
factions, establishment of a national police force, and rebuilding the Somali
political
infrastructure were always his goals. As long as the United States continued
to
approve Security Council resolutions regarding Somalia and remained as part of
the
UN coalition, we must accept full responsibility for our part in the operation.
The
most visible "mission creep" was the UN resolution drafted in
response to the
ambush
on the Pakistani soldiers. Although the resolution did not name General
Aidid,
he was clearly its intended focus.
Targeting General Aidid was clearly a
mistake for two reasons. First, UN
representative
Admiral Howe (U.S. Navy, retired) strongly asserted that we were
not
targeting any clan or subclan, but in doing so, he demonstrated his lack of
understanding
of the Somalia clan culture. Regardless of his protestations to the
contrary,
General Aidid's clan and allies did take on the challenge and unite against a
now
common enemy in defending their clansman. By targeting Aidid, we also
validated
his position and raised him in stature in the eyes of many of his followers.
Secondly,
it was a mission likely to fail since the most sophisticated intelligence
assets
could
not locate a single individual in a city where so many were determined to
protect
him.
Interestingly, Turkish General Cevik
Bir, upon his departure from the UN
command,
in a letter to Secretary-General Boutros-Ghali, indirectly criticized the
United
States and the European coalition members for "mission erosion." Bir
stated,
"The
contributing nations must be committed enough to accept the violence and loss
of
life associated with war, and then stay the course."26 What General Bir
clearly did
not
understand is that the United States' president did not intend to participate
in a
war,
nor would the American public view casualties in a humanitarian mission in the
same
context as those expected in war.
THE BRIGHT LINE OF PEACE OPERATIONS
"Forcible disarmament is the
'bright line' of peace operations: when you cross
it,
you have entered a de facto state of war."27 Beyond the initial
humanitarian
mission,
any attempt at forcible nation building was doomed to failure.
Boutros-Ghali
obviously believed that total disarmament was possible in a nation that
has
been at war with itself for centuries. Even if the Somalis had agreed to give
up
the
arms already in Somalia, there was no way to prevent arms from flowing back in
from
Somalis in Ethiopia and Kenya.
In a nation where warring factions
refuse to voluntarily disarm, and
peacemakers
must remain neutral with limited intervention, peace can never occur.
Limited
intervention may succeed, if the peacemakers assist one belligerent in
defeating
another. Impartial intervention may succeed if the peacemakers take total
command
of the situation and forcibly impose a settlement such as through a UN
trusteeship.28
With all sides committing atrocities in Somalia, and with the complex,
tangled
clan structures, taking one side to defeat another was not an available option.
It
is unlikely that the United States, nor any other members of the UN coalition,
would
have agreed to unlimited military action to put down the fighting. Nor is it
likely
that the international community would have accepted the concept of a UN
trusteeship
as it is too akin to colonialism. Hence, a stalemate among all parties was
the
only possible result. "The predicament of peacekeeping soldiers on the
ground is
that
they are unable to move forward into an unwinnable battle, unable to stay put
taking
casualties for no purpose, and unable to withdraw without repercussions for
the
U.S. position in the region and in the world."29
REDEFINING THE UN PEACEKEEPING MISSION
The United Nations was established
following World War II to maintain
international
peace. Its Charter provides two primary means: peaceful settlement of
disputes
under Chapter VI and collective enforcement under Chapter VII.
Increasingly,
peacekeeping operations have fallen somewhere between those two
chapters
and have been informally termed "Chapter VI and a half" operations.
The
UN
Security Council cannot enforce resolutions against member states under
Chapter
VI. The collective security articulated under Chapter VII is not directly
applicable
to internal disputes such as in Somalia. Chapter VII clearly provides for
UN
Security Council action in cases of international aggression or even in cases
where
internal conflict may threaten international peace and security. With the
dramatic
increase in UN intervention in domestic crises, it is likely that the UN
charter
will be amended to include "Chapter VI and a half" provisions.
With the failure of the UN in Somalia,
the UN has suffered significant
financial
strain and a loss in credibility. In the words of Kofi Annan, UN
Undersecretary
General for Peacekeeping, "It has done quite a lot of damage to the
United
Nations. There is no doubt about it."30 Secretary-General Boutros-Ghali
has
2 years remaining on his term of office. That is little enough time to
accomplish
the
tasks asked of the UN, such as a reorganization of its staff and its accounting
and
budgeting
procedures. With innumerable hotspots around the world including
Bosnia,
Angola, and Rwanda, the international community is likely to expect the UN
to
do more with less.
THE MEDIA'S
ROLE
The media played a significant role in
Operation Restore Hope. Increased
media
coverage of the famine and starvation in Somalia placed significant pressure
on
President Bush to take the lead in humanitarian intervention. Favorable
coverage
of
the humanitarian effort in distributing relief supplies helped validate the
decision
to
become involved. What most Americans will remember, however, are the graphic
pictures
of the Somalis dragging the body of an American servicemen through their
streets.
Few images could have more quickly turned the American will from
sympathy
for the plight of the Somalis to outrage and a demand to bring the U.S.
forces
home.
In the opinion of Andrew Kohut, former
president of the Gallup
Organization.
"[t]he media probably has the most negative effect on military
operations
abroad in the absence of coherent policy and firm leadership that
persuasively
reiterates the purpose of the use of force throughout the mission."31 The
use
of force implies potential loss of life. American servicemen lost their lives
prior to
the
October 1993 firefight; and the June 1993 ambush which killed 24 Pakistanis
implied
a danger to all coalition forces. By October 1993, however, the media was
no
longer showing pictures of starving Somalis. Consequently, when 18 U.S.
soldiers
died, the White House did not (or could not) convince the American public
that
they had died for a "good cause." Should President Clinton elect to
use military
force
in the future, he and his staff must do a much better job of articulating the
need
for
American involvement than was done during the Somalia operation.
THE FUTURE OF U.S. PEACEKEEPING
OPERATIONS
What will be the U.S. role in future UN
peacekeeping and peacemaking
operations?
Numerous studies suggest that the American people are supportive of
military
action under two situations: if it involves American vital interests and if
U.S.
forces can provide humanitarian relief without becoming involved in protracted
armed
conflict. Americans are ambivalent over peacekeeping, but have emphatically
rejected
the peacemaking mission.32
There is currently a strong movement in
Congress to slash financial support to
the
UN, which would dramatically degrade its ability to mount future operations.
Both
the Secretary of Defense and President Clinton oppose such a move; however,
UN
funding is likely to remain a viable target for congressmen looking to balance
the
budget
in ways that do not directly impact their constituents. In addition to the
budget
issue, U.S. policymakers are debating the issue of UN command of U.S.
forces.
For isolationists and UN opponents, this emotional issue continues to play
well
in congressional and presidential election rhetoric.
Although supportive of UN operations in
general, President Clinton has
clearly
learned the lessons of Somalia. His eagerness to send troops to Bosnia has
waned
significantly in view of consistent public opinion polls against such action.
Limited
operations involving American interests, such as Operation Restore
Democracy
in Haiti, are likely to retain the American public's support. As he
prepares
to run for reelection, President Clinton will weigh carefully the public
response
to any action involving the use of American military forces abroad.
CONCLUSION
In March 1995 the final contingents of
UN forces departed Somalia with the
assistance
of a multi-nation force led by Marine Lieutenant General Anthony Zinni.
In
retrospect, Operation Restore Hope was a success as a humanitarian effort.
Inevitably,
it was an abject failure in peacemaking and serves as an indictment
against
an aggressive UN military posture.
Did the American policymakers and
military leaders learn the lessons from
Somalia?
Only "the next time" will answer the most important question about
Operation
Restore Hope. For the Somalis, warfare and anarchy continue. In
Lieutenant
General Zinni'z words, "All the hands that have reached out to them have
been
bitten and are no longer there."33
1"Security
Council Establishes New UN Operation in Somalia," UN Chronicle,
September
1992, 13.
2
Ibid., 14.
3
"U.S. to Spearhead Somalia Relief Force," John D. Morrocco, Aviation
Week &
Space
Technology, December 7, 1992, 26.
4
"Somalia," The Software Toolworks Multimedia Encyclopedia (Grolier
Inc., 1992).
5
"Somali Requests $1.6 Billion in American Arms as Aid," International
Defense
Intelligence,
July 18, 1983.
6
"Dealing With Anti-Countries," Strobe Talbot, Time, December 14, 1992
(Time
Inc.,
Magazine Co. and Compact Publishing, Inc., 1994).
7
"Security Council Established New UN Operation in Somalia," UN
Chronicle,
September
1992, 13-14.
8
Ibid.
9
Ibid.
10
"Airlift for Humanity," Time, August 10, 1992, (Time Inc., Magazine
Co. and
Compact
Publishing, Inc., 1994).
11
"Lessons Learned; Somalia: A First Look," Colonel Kenneth Allard,
U.S. Army,
Institute
for National Strategic Studies, (Final Draft), (National Defense
University,
Ft. McNair, Washington, DC), 7.
12
"Force Feeding," Time, September 28, 1992, (Time Inc., Magazine Co.
and
Compact
Publishing, Inc., 1994).
13
"The Making of a Quagmire," Brit Hume, National Review, November 1,
1993,
21.
14
"Taking on the Thugs," Bruce W. Nelan, Time, December 14, 1992, (Time
Inc.,
Magazine
Co. and Compact Publishing, Inc., 1994).
15
"An Agenda for Peace," UN Chronicle, September 1992, 3.
16
"Today Somalia...," Bruce W. Nelan, Time, December 21, 1992, (Time
Inc.,
Magazine
Co. and Compact Publishing, Inc., 1994).
17
Ibid.
18
Allard, 9.
19
Ibid.
20
Ibid.
21
"Elite U.S. Troops to Somalia," Time, September 6. 1993, (Time Inc.,
Magazine
Co.
and Compact Publishing. Inc., 1994).
22
"Anatomy of a Disaster," George J. Church, Time, October 18, 1993,
(Time Inc.,
Magazine
Co. and Compact Publishing. Inc., 1994).
23National
Security Strategy of the United States, The White House, (U.S.
Government
Printing Officer, Washington. DC. August 1991). 11.
24National
Security Strategy of the United States
The White House, (U.S.
Government
Printing Officer, Washington. DC, January 1993). 7.
25Ibid.,
8.
26
"The Perils of Good Intentions," Marguerite Michaels, Time, February
7, 1994,
(Time
Inc., Magazine Co. and Compact Publishing, Inc., 1994).
27Allard,
26.
28
"The Delusion of Impartial Intervention," Richard K. Betts, Foreign
Affairs,
November/December
1994, 21.
29
"From Peacekeeping to Peace Enforcement: the UN Operation in
Somalia."
Ramesh
Thakur, The Journal of Modern African Studies, September 1994, 398.
30
"UN Prepares to Leave Somalia," Associated Press Report from the
United
Nations,
February 26, 1995, (Prodigy Services Company, 1995).
31
"Arms and the People," Andrew Kohut and Robert C. Toth, Foreign
Affairs,
November/December
1994, 68.
32
Ibid., 47.
33
"US-Led Forces Gathers Off Somalia," Associated Press Report from the
USS
Belleau
Wood, February 22, 1995, (Prodigy Services Company, 1995).
BIBLIOGRAPHY
"Airlift
for Humanity. "Time, 10 August 1992, (Time Inc., Magazine Co. and
Compact Publishing, Inc., 1994).
Allard,
Colonel Kenneth, U.S. Army. "Lessons Learned; Somalia: A First Look,"
Institute for National Strategic
Studies, (Final Draft), (National Defense
University, Ft. McNair, Washington,
DC).
"An
Agenda for Peace," UN Chronicle, September 1992: 2-4.
Betts,
Richard K. "The Delusion of Impartial Intervention." Foreign Affairs,
November/December 1994: 20-33.
Church,
George J. "Anatomy of a Disaster," Time, 18 October 1993, (Time Inc.,
Magazine Co. and Compact Publishing,
Inc., 1994).
"Elite
U.S. Troops to Somalia, "Time, 6 September 1993, (Time Inc., Magazine Co.
and Compact Publishing. Inc., 1994).
"Force
Feeding," Time, 28 September 1992, (Time Inc., Magazine Co. and Compact
Publishing, Inc., 1994).
Hume,
Brit."The Making of a Quagmire," National Review, 1 November 1993:
21-22.
Kohut,
Andrew and Toth, Robert C. "Arms and the People." Foreign Affairs
November/December 1994: 47-61.
Michaels,
Marguerite. "The Perils of Good Intentions," Time 7 February 1994,
(Time Inc., Magazine Co. and Compact
Publishing, Inc., 1994).
Morrocco,
John D. "U.S. to Spearhead Somalia Relief Force," Aviation Week &
Space Technology, 7 December 1992: 26.
Nelan,
Bruce W. "Taking on the Thugs," Time, 14 December 1992, (Time Inc.,
Magazine Co. and Compact Publishing,
Inc., 1994).
Nelan,
Bruce W. "Today Somalia... "Time 21 December 1992, (Time Inc.,
Magazine Co. and Compact Publishing.
Inc., 1994).
National
Security Strategy of the United States
The White House, (U.S.
Government Printing Officer,
Washington. DC, August 1991).
National
Security Strategy of the United States. The White House, (U.S.
Government Printing Officer,
Washington, DC, January 1993).
"Security
Council Establishes New UN Operation in Somalia," UN, Chronicle
September 1992: 13-15.
"Somalia,"
The Software Toolworks Multimedia Encyclopedia (Grolier Inc., 1992).
"Somali
Request $1.6 Billion in American Arms as Aid," International Defense
Intelligence, 18 July 1983
"Security
Council Established New UN Operation in Somalia," UN Chronicle,
September 1992, 13-14.
Talbot,
Strobe. "Dealing With Anti-Countries," Time, 14 December 1992 (Time
Inc., Magazine Co. and Compact Publishing,
Inc., 1994).
Thakur,
Ramesh. "From Peacekeeping to Peace Enforcement: the UN Operation in
Somalia," The Journal of Modern
African Studies September 1994.
"US-Led
Forces Gathers Off Somalia," Associated Press Report from the USS
Belleau Wood, February 22, 1995,
(Prodigy Services Company, 1995).
"UN
Prepares to Leave Somalia," Associated Press Report from the United
Nations,
February 26, 1995, (Prodigy Services
Company, 1995).
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