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Denial and Jeopardy (September 1997) CONTENTS 1. THINKING ABOUT REGIONAL DETERRENCE 2. SHIŽISM AND IRANIAN ISLAMIC RADICALISM National Interest Vice Regime-Driven Behaviors Risk Tolerance Iranian Political Structures Truth, Deception, and the Iranian Personality The "Righteous Minority" Martyrdom and the Cult of Death 3. THE IRANIAN REVOLUTIONARY GUARD CORPS Ideology, Structure, Strength IRGC Virulence and Independence IRGC Role in Weapons Procurement Navy as Vanguard of NBC The Iranian Army: Bringing Revolutionary Dogma to the Masses 4. IRANIAN NATIONAL OBJECTIVES Offensive Versus Defensive Jihad Justification for War 5. IRANIAN NBC POLICY, CAPABILITIES, AND EMPLOYMENT OPTIONS Iranian NBC Policy NBC and Missile Capability Employment Strategy and Doctrine Employment Scenarios Unreliability of Current U.S. Position Deterrence by Denial Deterrence by Jeopardy |
