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TESTIMONY
OF
LIEUTENANT GENERAL RONALD T. KADISH
UNITED STATES AIR FORCE
DIRECTOR, MISSILE DEFENSE AGENCY
BEFORE THE
HOUSE
ARMED SERVICES COMMITTEE
SUBCOMMITTEE ON
STRATEGIC
FORCES
UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
REGARDING
MISSILE DEFENSE PROGRAM AND
FISCAL YEAR 2005 BUDGET
March
25, 2004
Good morning, Mr. Chairman, Members of the
Committee. It is an honor to be here today
to present the Department of Defense’s
Fiscal Year (FY) 2005 Missile Defense
Program and budget.
Today, I would like to
outline what we are doing in the program,
why we are doing it, and how we are
progressing. I also will address why we
proposed taking the next steps in our
evolutionary development and fielding
program. Then I want to emphasize the
importance of the acquisition strategy we
are using and close with some observations
about testing and the Department’s approach
to Missile Defense Agency (MDA) management.
Our National Intelligence
Estimates continue to warn that in coming
years we will face ballistic missile threats
from a variety of actors. The recent events
surrounding Libya’s admission concerning its
ballistic missile and weapons of mass
destruction programs remind us that we are
vulnerable. Ballistic missiles armed
with any type warhead would give our
adversaries the capability to threaten or
inflict catastrophic damage.
Our
direction from the President is to develop
the capability to defend the United States,
our allies and friends, and deployed forces
against all ranges of missiles in all phases
of flight. This budget continues to
implement that guidance in two ways.
First it
continues an aggressive Research,
Development, Test and Evaluation (RDT&E)
effort to design, build and test the
elements of a single Ballistic Missile
Defense (BMD) system in an evolutionary
way. Second, it provides for modest
fielding of this capability over the next
several years.
We
recognize the priority our nation and this
President ascribe to missile defense, and
our program is structured to deal with the
enormity and complexity of the task. The
missile defense investments of four
Administrations and ten Congresses are
paying off. We are capitalizing on our
steady progress since the days of the
Strategic Defense Initiative and will
present to our Combatant Commanders by the
end of 2004 an initial missile defense
capability to defeat near-term threats of
greatest concern.
Ballistic Missile Defense
System
Layered defenses help reduce
the chances that any hostile missile will
get through to its target. They give us
better protection by enabling engagements in
all phases of a missile’s flight and make it
possible to have a high degree of confidence
in the performance of the missile defense
system. The reliability, synergy, and
effectiveness of the BMD system can be
improved by fielding overlapping,
complementary capabilities. In other words,
the ability to hit a missile in boost,
midcourse, or terminal phase of flight
enhances system performance against an
operationally challenging threat.
All of these layered defense
elements must be integrated. And there must
be a battle management, command and control
system that can engage or reengage targets
as appropriate. And it all must work within
a window of a few minutes. We believe that
a layered missile defense not only increases
the chances that the hostile missile and its
payload will be destroyed, but it also can
be very effective against countermeasures
and must give pause to potential
adversaries.
So, beginning in 2001 we
proposed development of a joint, integrated
BMD system. Yet such unprecedented
complexity is not handled well by our
conventional acquisition processes. At
that time, the Services had responsibility
for independently developing ground-based,
sea-based, and airborne missile defenses.
The Department’s approach was element- or
Service-centric, and we executed multiple
Major Defense Acquisition Programs (MDAPs).
Today, as a result of defense
transformation and a streamlined process
instituted by the Secretary of Defense in
2001 to enhance overall integration, we are
managing the BMD system as a single MDAP
instead of a loose collection of
Service-specific autonomous systems. We
have come to understand over the years,
though, that no one technology, defense
basing mode, or architecture can provide the
BMD protection we need. Redundancy is a
virtue, and so we established a
system-centric approach involving multiple
elements designed, developed, and built with
full integration foremost in our minds. When
we made this change, we instituted a
“capability-based” acquisition process
instead of a “threat-based” process. Let me
explain why this is important.
Most defense programs are
developed with a specific threat—or
threats—in mind. Twenty years ago, the
ballistic missile threat was pretty much
limited to Soviet intercontinental ballistic
missiles (ICBMs) and sea-launched ballistic
missiles. But today we have to consider a
wide range of missile threats posed by a
long list of potential adversaries. And
those threats are constantly changing and
unpredictable. Our potential adversaries
vary widely in their military capabilities
and rates of economic and technological
development. Many of them have a tradition
of political instability.
Weapon systems developed
using a threat-based system are guided and
governed by Operational Requirements
Documents (ORDs). These documents establish
hard thresholds and objectives for the
development and deployment of every
component. ORDs may be entirely appropriate
for most development programs because they
build linearly on existing systems. For
example, aircraft program managers
understand lift and thrust from previous
programs going all the way back to the
Wright brothers.
Not so for missile defense.
Most missile defense development takes place
in uncharted waters. Any ORD developed for
an integrated, layered missile defense
system would be largely guesswork. ORDs
rely on very precise definitions of the
threat and can remain in effect for years,
making this process all the more
debilitating for the unprecedented
engineering work we are doing. The reality
that we may have to introduce groundbreaking
technologies on a rapid schedule and also
deal with threats that are unpredictable
render the threat-based acquisition
structure obsolete.
A capability-based approach
relies on continuing and comprehensive
assessments of the threat, available
technology, and what can be built to do an
acceptable job, and does not accommodate a
hard requirement that may not be
appropriate.
Perhaps the most telling
difference between the two acquisition
approaches is that our capabilities to
perform are updated every four to eight
months to reflect and accommodate the pace
of our progress. We are no longer compelled
to pursue a one hundred percent solution for
every possible attack scenario before we can
provide any defense at all. We are now able
to develop and field a system that provides
some capability that we do not have today
with the knowledge that we will continue to
improve that system over time. We call this
evolutionary, capability-based development
and acquisition.
Initial Defensive
Capability—The Beginning
On 16
December 2002, President Bush directed that
we begin fielding a missile defense system
in 2004 and 2005. The President’s direction
recognizes that the first systems we field
will have a limited operational capability.
He directed that we field what we have, then
improve what we have fielded. The President
thus codified in national policy the
principle of Evolutionary, Capability-Based
Acquisition and applied it to missile
defense.
The
President’s direction also builds on the
1999 National Missile Defense Act. Under
this Act, deployment shall take place “as
soon as technologically possible.” The
fact is that ballistic missile defense has
proven itself technologically possible. Not
only have most of the well-publicized flight
tests been successful, but so have the
equally important computer simulations and
software tests. Those tests and upgrades
will continue for a long time to come—long
after the system is fielded and long after
it is deemed operational. After all, this
is the heart of evolutionary,
capability-based acquisition. This is not a
concept designed to trick or mislead. It is
simply the logical response to the following
question: Defenseless in the face of
unpredictable threats, which would we rather
have—some capability today or none as we
seek a one hundred percent solution?
When we put the midcourse
elements (GMD and Aegis BMD) of the BMD
system on alert, we will have a capability
that we currently do not have. In my
opinion, a capability against even a single
reentry vehicle has significant military
utility. Even that modest defensive
capability will help reduce the more
immediate threats to our security and
enhance our ability to defend our interests
abroad. We also may cause adversaries of
the United States to rethink their
investments in ballistic missiles. Because
of this committee’s continued support we
will have some capability this year against
near-term threats.
I must
emphasize that what we do in 2004 and 2005
is only the starting point—the beginning—and
it involves very basic capability. Our
strategy is to build on this beginning to
make the BMD system increasingly more
effective and reliable against current
threats and hedge against changing future
threats.
We have
made significant strides towards improving
our ability to intercept short-range
missiles. Two years ago we began sending
Patriot Advanced Capability 3 (PAC-3)
missiles to units in the field. Based on
the available data, the Patriot system,
including PAC-3, successfully intercepted
all threatening short-range ballistic
missiles during Operation Iraqi Freedom last
year. Today, it is being integrated into the
forces of our allies and friends, many of
whom face immediate short- and medium-range
threats. We believe it is the only
combat-tested missile defense capability in
the world.
This year we are expanding
our country’s missile defense portfolio by
preparing for alert status a BMD system to
defend the United States against a
long-range ballistic missile attack. Chart
2 provides a basic description of how we
could engage a warhead launched against the
United States.
Last year, we made it clear
that this initial capability would be very
basic if it were used. We also emphasized
that instead of building a test bed that
might be used operationally, we would field
more interceptors and have them available
for use while we continue to test. Because
the test bed provides the infrastructure for
this initial capability, the additional
budget request for the twenty Block 2004
interceptors and associated support was
about $1.5 billion in FY 2004 and FY 2005.
Forces to be placed on alert
as part of the initial configuration include
up to 20 ground-based interceptors at Fort
Greely, Alaska and Vandenberg AFB, an
upgraded Cobra Dane radar on Eareckson Air
Station in Alaska, and an upgraded early
warning radar in the United Kingdom. We are
procuring equipment for three BMD-capable
Aegis cruisers with up to ten SM-3 missiles
to be available by the end of 2005. The
Navy is working very closely with us on ship
availability schedules to support that
plan. Additionally, ten Aegis destroyers
will be modified with improved SPY-1 radars
to provide flexible long-range surveillance
and track capability of ICBM threats by the
end of 2005, with an additional five
destroyers with this capability by 2006, for
a total of 15 Aegis BMD destroyers and three
Aegis BMD cruisers.
The FY
2005 request funds important for Block 2006
activities to enhance those capabilities and
system integration, which I will discuss in
a moment.
The Missile Defense Agency,
the Combatant Commanders, the Joint Staff,
the Military Services, and the Director,
Operational Test and Evaluation (DOT&E) are
working together to prepare for Initial
Defensive Operations (IDO). Using the core
capability provided by Ground-based
Midcourse Defense (GMD) and augmenting it
with the appropriate Command, Control,
Battle Management and Communications
(C2BM/C) infrastructure between Combatant
Commanders and exploiting the Aegis
contribution in a surveillance and track
mode, we have created an initial capability
from which we can evolve.
Our current fielding plans
have been built on the Test Bed
configuration we proposed two years ago and
are within 60 days of our schedule. Silo
and facility construction at Fort Greely,
Alaska and Vandenberg Air Force Base in
California is proceeding well. Preparations
at Eareckson Air Station in Shemya, Alaska
are on track. Over 12,000 miles of fiber
optic cables connecting major communication
nodes are in place, along with nine
satellite communications links. We are in
the process of upgrading the Early Warning
Radar at Beale Air Force Base and are well
underway building the sea-based X-band
radar. Our brigade at Schriever Air Force
Base and battalion fire control nodes at
Fort Greely are connected to the Cheyenne
Mountain Operations Center. The C2BM/C
between combatant commanders, so essential
to providing situational awareness, is
progressing well and is on schedule.
Upgrades to the Cobra Dane Radar are ahead
of schedule. The Chief of Naval Operations
has identified the first group of Aegis
ships to be upgraded with a BMD capability,
and the work to install the equipment on the
first of these ships has begun.
Once the system is placed on
alert, we will continue to conduct tests
concurrently to gain even greater confidence
in its operational capability.
Additionally, we plan activities to sustain
the concurrent test and operations and
support of the system. We are laying in the
infrastructure to build, test, sustain, and
evolve our system as a part of the
capabilities-based approach inherent in our
strategy.
An integral working
relationship with the warfighter, the BMD
system user, is critical to the success of
this mission. We are working together to
ensure that we field a system that is
militarily useful and operationally
supportable and fills gaps in our defenses.
The support centers we are establishing will
provide critical training to commanders in
the field. The necessary doctrines,
concepts of operation, contingency plans,
and operational plans are being developed
under the lead of U.S. Strategic Command (USSTRATCOM)
and in cooperation with U.S. Northern
Command, Pacific Command, European Command,
and United States Forces in Korea.
Improving Fielded
Capability Through Evolutionary Acquisition
The
system’s evolutionary nature requires us to
look out over the next three or four years
and beyond in our planning. Although it is
not easy, we have laid out a budget and a
plan to shape the missile defense
operational architecture beyond the Block
2004 initial defensive capability.
In this
budget, beginning with Block 2006 we will
increase GMD Ground-Based Interceptors (GBIs)
and Aegis SM-3 interceptors, deploy new
capabilities (such as THAAD), expand our
sensor net (with a second sea-based
midcourse radar and forward deployable
radars), and enhance the C2BM/C system
integration. The FY 2005 request begins to
fund important Block 2006 activities to
enhance existing capabilities and system
integration. Our improvement plan is to add
up to ten GBIs to the site at Fort Greely
and possibly initiate long-lead acquisition
of up to ten more for fielding at a
potential third site or at Fort Greely. We will continue to
augment our sea-based force structure with
additional SM-3 interceptors and BMD-capable
Aegis-class ships.
Much of
this system augmentation effort involves
extending and building on capabilities that
we have been working on over the past
several years, so I am confident that what
we are doing is both possible and prudent
and in line with our missile defense vision.
The confidence we achieve
through our entire test program is
reinforced by the fact that many missile
defense test articles fielded in the
existing test bed are the same ones we would
use in an operational setting. Except for
interceptors, which are one-time use assets,
we will use the same sensors, ships,
communications links, algorithms, and
command and control facilities. The
essential difference between an inherent
capability in a test bed and the near-term
on-alert capability is having a few extra
missiles beyond those needed for testing and
having enough trained operators and
logistics on hand and ready to respond
around the clock. Once we field the system,
we will be in a better position, literally,
to test system components and demonstrate
BMD technologies in a more rigorous, more
operationally realistic environment.
Testing will lead to further improvements in
the system and refinement of our models, and
the expansion and upgrades of the system
will lead to further testing.
The
system we initially will put on alert is
modest. It is modest not because the
inherent capabilities of the sensors and
interceptors themselves are somehow
deficient, but rather because we will have a
small quantity of weapons. The additional
ten missiles for Fort Greely will improve
the overall system by giving us a larger
inventory. Yet today, and over the
near-term, we are inventory poor. Block
activities throughout the remainder of this
decade will be focused in part on improving
the system by delivering to the warfighter
greater capabilities with improved
performance.
Why is
this important? In a defense emergency or
wartime engagement situation, more is
better. A larger inventory of interceptors
will handle more threatening warheads. Our
planning beyond the Block 2004 initial
configuration has this important warfighting
objective in mind. There are no
pre-conceived limits in the number of weapon
rounds we should buy. We will build
capabilities consistent with the national
security objectives required to effectively
deter our adversaries and defend ourselves
and our allies.
We also
must think beyond the initial defensive
capability if we are to meet our key
national security objective of defending our
friends and allies from missile attack. In
Block 2006, we are preparing to move forward
when appropriate to build a third GBI site
at a location outside the United States.
Not only will this site add synergy to the
overall BMD system by protecting the United
States, but it will put us in a better
position to defend our allies and friends
and troops overseas against long-range
ballistic missiles. For the cost of ten
GBIs and associated infrastructure, we will
be able to demonstrate in the most
convincing way possible our commitment to
this critical mission objective. The
location of this site is still subject to
negotiation with no final architecture
defined nor investment committed until FY
2006.
As I have said all along, we
are not building to a grand design. We are
building an evolutionary system that will
respond to our technical progress and
reflect real world developments. We added
about $500 million to last year’s projected
FY 2005 budget estimate to begin funding our
Block 2006 efforts. As you can see, the
system can evolve over time in an affordable
way in response to our perception of the
threat, our technical progress, and our
understanding of how we want to use the
system. Yet even as it does evolve, our
vision remains constant—to defeat all ranges
of missiles in all phases of flight.
Testing Missile
Defenses—We Need To Build It To Test It
Another key question
surrounds the nature of missile defense
systems themselves. How do you
realistically test an enormous and complex
system, one that covers eight time zones and
engages enemy warheads in space? The answer
is that we have to build it as we would
configure it for operations in order to test
it. That is exactly what we are doing by
building our test bed and putting it on
alert this year.
By hooking it all up and
putting what we have developed in the field,
we will be in a better position to fine-tune
the system and improve its performance.
Testing system operational capability in
this program is, in many ways, different
from operational testing involving more
traditional weapon systems. All weapon
systems should be tested in their
operational environments or in environments
that nearly approximate operational
conditions. This is more readily
accomplished for some systems, and is more
difficult to do for others.
For example, an aircraft’s
operational environment is the atmosphere.
Similarly, when we conduct rigorous
operational tests of our Navy’s ships, we do
so at sea – in their environment. The BMD
system’s operational environment is very
different. It is a geographically dispersed
region that is also a test bed. For both
missile defense testing and operations,
geography counts. After we have gone
through the simulations, the bench tests,
and the flybys, we want to test all missile
defense parts together under conditions that
are as nearly operationally realistic as we
can make them – with sensors deployed out
front, with targets and interceptors spaced
far enough apart to replicate actual
engagement distances, speeds and sequences,
with communication links established, and
with command and control elements in place.
We in fact have conducted a number of events
that exercise the projected communication
and command and control paths required to
link elements of the BMD system in what we
call “Engagement Sequence Groups,” building
our confidence that we can combine threat
data from different systems across a third
of the globe to allow for the engagement of
ballistic missiles threats to the entire
United States.
One of
the key questions that we have to answer is:
What is the role of operational testing in
an unprecedented, evolutionary,
capability-based program? The answer is
that the Director, Operational Test and
Evaluation, and the Operational Test
Agencies play a critical role in missile
defense. Since evolutionary,
capability-based processes do not fit the
traditional ORD-based operational test
methodology, we have applied an assessment
approach that provides for a continuous
assessment of the capabilities and
limitations of the BMD system. Since testing
is central to our RDT&E program and our
operational understanding of the system,
we are continuing to modernize and
improve our test infrastructure to support
more operationally realistic testing.
We are
working very closely with Mr. Christie, the
DOT&E, and the operational test community.
As our tests are planned, executed, and
evaluated, the BMD system Combined Test
Force, which brings together representatives
from across the testing community, is
combining requirements for both
developmental and operational capability
testing. Wherever possible we are making
every test both operationally realistic and
developmental. We have been working daily
with the appropriate independent operational
test agencies (OTA) to ensure they are on
board with our objectives and processes.
There are approximately 100 operational test
personnel embedded in all facets of missile
defense test planning and execution who have
access to all of our test data. They have
the ability to influence every aspect of our
test planning and execution.
Now, how much confidence
should we have in using this test bed in an
alert status? The full range of missile
defense testing—from our extensive modeling
and simulation and hardware-in-the-loop
tests to our ground and flight testing—makes
us confident that what we deploy will work
as intended. We do not rely on intercept
flight tests to make final assessments
concerning system reliability and
performance. Our flight tests are important
building blocks in this process, but the
significant costs of these tests combined
with the practical reality that we can only
conduct a few tests over any given period of
time mean we have to rely on other kinds of
tests to prove the system. System
capabilities assessed for IDO will be based
on test events planned for FY 2004 as well
as data collected from flight- and ground
tests and simulations over the past several
years.
The missile defense test
program helps define the capabilities and
limitations of the system. The thousands of
tests we conduct in the air, on the ground,
in the lab, and with our models and
simulations in the virtual world predict
system performance and help identify
problems so that we can fix them. They also
highlight gaps so that we can address them.
This accumulated knowledge has and will
continue to increase our confidence in the
effectiveness of the system and its
potential improvements. None of our tests
should act as a strict “pass-fail” exercise
telling us when to proceed in our
development or fielding. We can approximate
realistic scenarios, though, after we have
put interceptors and sensors in the field
and integrated them with our C2BM/C network.
We conduct other kinds of
tests that provide valuable information
about the progress we are making and the
reliability of the system. Integrated
ground tests, for example, are not subject
to flight test restrictions and can run
numerous engagement scenarios over the
course of a few weeks. Our modeling and
simulation activity is an even more powerful
system verification tool. It is important
to understand that in the Missile Defense
Program we use models and simulations, and
not flight tests, as the primary
verification tools. This approach is widely
used within the Department, especially when
complex weapon systems are involved.
Currently, we have very good
models for each one of our system
components, and we are able to use these
together to run scenarios so that we can
understand the environments within which we
operate and characterize the margin we have
in the system design. Missile defense
ground and flight tests anchor the data we
produce in our models, which in turn enhance
our confidence regarding the operational
capability we can achieve, because we can
understand the system’s behavior in many
hundreds of test runs. These models are
regularly updated using test data from our
ground and flight tests. Over time we are
building up our modeling and simulation
capability at the system level to
approximate more closely the type of
end-to-end testing we would like to have to
verify that the system is doing what we want
it to do.
For example, our modeling and
simulation capabilities are very accurate
and allow us to mirror the achieved outcome
of a flight test. The graphic below
provides an example of why we believe our
simulation capabilities to be the most
powerful tools for projecting the
reliability of the initial BMD system. In
Figure 1 we have mapped out the predicted
performance of the Integrated Flight Test
13B interceptor and matched it up with
performance data we collected during the
flight. The match up is nearly exact, and
it shows that the Exo-atmospheric Kill
Vehicle Mass Simulator was very close to the
predicted insertion point velocity.
Generally, when we deploy a
weapon system in a traditional mission area,
it is appropriate to conduct initial
operational testing to ensure that the
replacement system provides a better
capability than the existing system. Put
another way, there is a presumption that the
deployed system should be used until a
better capability is proven. In the current
situation, where we have no weapon system
fielded to defend the United States against
even a limited attack by ICBMs, that
presumption must be re-examined. With the
provision of a militarily useful capability,
even if it is limited, it is presumed that
the capability can be fielded unless it is
determined that operating the initial
capability is considered to be an
unacceptable danger to the operators, or any
other similar reality.
USSTRATCOM will factor in all available test
information into its military utility
assessment of the fielded condition.
Ballistic Missile Defense
System Research and Development Program
We have
requested $7.6 billion in FY 2005 to
continue our investment in missile defense
RDT&E. Why do we need this level of
investment in RDT&E? We need to press
forward with our missile defense research
and development if we are to improve the
system by integrating upgraded or more
advanced components and by exploiting new
basing modes to engage threat missiles in,
for example, the boost phase of flight. We
have to lay the RDT&E foundation for
evolutionary improvements to the BMD
system. We intend to improve the capability
of the midcourse phase while adding
additional layers.
The RDT&E
program is working. The ability to make
trade-offs among our development activities
has allowed us to focus on the development
of the most promising near-term elements,
namely, GMD, Aegis BMD and PAC-3. GMD and
Aegis BMD make up elements of the midcourse
defense layer while PAC-3 provides
capability in the terminal layer. The GMD
FY 2005 budget request is $3.2 billion; the
request for Aegis is $1.1 billion.
In this budget we increase
investment in the development of a boost
layer. Two program elements, a high energy
laser capability and a new kinetic energy
interceptor (KEI) or “hit to kill”
capability, represent parallel paths and
complement each other. Achieving capability
in the boost phase as soon as practicable
would be a revolutionary, high-payoff
improvement to the BMD system. Although the
technologies are well known, the engineering
and integration required to make them work
are very high risk. Therefore, having
parallel approaches, even on different
timelines, is a very prudent program
management approach. We expanded our efforts
in the boost phase as soon as we were able
after withdrawal from the 1972
Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) treaty, which
specifically prohibited boost phase
development against long-range missiles.
The Airborne Laser (ABL)
program has been in development since 1996.
Development of an operational high energy
laser for a 747 aircraft is a difficult
technical challenge. Although we have had
many successes in individual parts of the
program, we have not been able to make some
of our key milestones over the past year.
The last 20% of the program effort has
proven to be very difficult, and some of the
risks we took early in the program have
impaired our present performance.
Consequently, I reviewed the program late
last year and directed a restructure that
focused on our near-term efforts, delaying
the procurement of the second aircraft until
we could gain more confidence in our ability
to meet schedules. I have adjusted the
resources accordingly.
We no longer plan for ABL to
deliver a contingency capability in Block
2004. There have been, nevertheless,
several technical accomplishments to date.
We have demonstrated the capability to track
an ICBM in the boost phase using ABL
technologies and improved beam control and
fire control technologies. At this time
there is no reason to believe that we will
fail to achieve this capability. This is
such a revolutionary and high payoff
capability; I believe we should again be
patient as we work through the integration
and test activities. But the risks remain
high. The FY 2005 budget request is $474
million for ABL.
We undertook the KE boost
effort in response to a 2002 Defense Science
Board Summer Study recommendation. In
December 2003 we awarded the contract for
development of the KEI boost effort. This
was the first competition unconstrained by
the ABM Treaty. It was also the first to
use capability-based spiral development as a
source selection strategy. The contract
requires development of a boost phase
interceptor that is terrestrial-based and
can be used in other engagement phases as
well—including the midcourse and possibly
exo-atmospheric terminal phases. In other
words, it could provide boost phase
capability as well as an affordable,
competitive next-generation replacement for
our midcourse interceptors and even add a
terminal phase capability should it be
required. In 2005, we will begin conducting
Near-Field Infrared Experiments to get a
close-up view from space of rocket plumes to
support the development of the
terrestrial-based interceptor seeker and
provide additional data needed for the
development of a space test bed.
We have budgeted about $500
million for the KE boost effort for FY
2005. I believe this funding is necessary
for a successful start. Those who would
view this amount as a significant increase
that is unwarranted for a new effort do not
understand the importance of prudent
programming and the preparatory work
required to make such a program ultimately
succeed. There are many examples of an
under-funded systems engineering effort,
where engineering costs sky-rocketed because
adequate upfront work was not done. Mr.
Chairman, I urge the committee to look
carefully at our proposal and allow us to
get a solid start on this essential piece of
the layered BMD system.
Other Budget Highlights
Funding in the FY 2005
request supports the Block 2004 initial
configuration as well as activities to place
the BMD system on alert. It also lays the
foundation for the future improvement of the
system. We are requesting $9.2 billion to
support this program of work, which is
approximately a $1.5 billion increase over
the FY 2004 request. The increase covers
costs associated with fielding the first GMD,
Aegis BMD, sensor, and command, control and
battle management installments and will
allow us to purchase long-lead items
required for capability enhancements in
Block 2006.
We have
made a successful transfer of the PAC-3
program to the Army and remain convinced
that the Department made the right decision
in doing so. In the Patriot system, missile
defense and air defense are so intertwined
that attempting to manage them separately
would be difficult if not futile. We
continue to believe that the Army is in the
best position, given the maturity of the
PAC-3, to manage future enhancements and
procurements. Meanwhile MDA remains fully
cognizant of the Army's efforts and
maintains the PAC-3 in the BMD system as a
fully integrated element, with interfaces
controlled by our configuration management
process. PAC-3 is part of our ongoing
system development and testing.
The FY
2005 funding request will buy equipment to
ramp up the testing of THAAD, which, once
fielded, will add endo-atmospheric and exo-atmospheric
terminal capabilities to the BMD system to
defeat medium-range threats. Terminal High
Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) is progressing
well and will add capabilities to engage in
the late midcourse and terminal layers.
THAAD recently completed the Design
Readiness Review, and development hardware
manufacturing is underway. The FY 2005
budget request is $834 million for THAAD.
Delivery of the THAAD radar was completed
ahead of schedule and rolled out this
month. Flight testing is scheduled to begin
in the first quarter of FY 2005 at White
Sands Missile Range, New Mexico.
We will
be able to begin assembly and integration of
two Space Tracking and Surveillance System (STSS)
satellites. The FY 2005 budget request for
STSS is $322 million.
We will
continue development of the C2BM/C
“backbone” to provide real-time
sensor-netting to the warfighter for
improved interoperability and
decision-making capability. Additional BMD
system C2BM/C suites and remote capability
will be deployed to Combatant Commanders as
the system matures.
We also have several Science
and Technology initiatives to increase BMD
system firepower and sensor capability and
extend the engagement battle space of
terminal elements. One of our main efforts
is to increase BMD system effectiveness in
the midcourse phase by placing Multiple Kill
Vehicles on a single booster, thus reducing
the discrimination burden on BMD sensors.
We also are conducting important work on
advanced systems to develop laser technology
and laser radar, advanced discrimination,
improved focal plane arrays, and a
high-altitude airship for improved
surveillance, communication, and early
warning. In support of this, we have
requested about $200 million in the FY 2005
budget request for the development of
advanced systems.
International Partnerships
In December 2003, through a
formal Cabinet Decision, the Government of
Japan became our first ally to proceed with
acquisition of a multi-layered BMD system,
basing its initial capability on upgrades of
its Aegis destroyers and acquisition of the
SM-3 missile. In addition, Japan and other
allied nations will upgrade their Patriot
units with PAC-3 missiles and improved
ground support equipment. We have worked
closely with Japan since 1999 to design and
develop advanced components for the SM-3
missile. This project will culminate in
flight tests in 2005 and 2006 that
incorporate one or more of these
components. These decisions represent a
significant step forward with a close ally
and we look forward to working together on
these important efforts.
We are undertaking major
initiatives in the international arena in
this budget. Interest among foreign
governments and industry in missile defense
has risen considerably over the past year.
We have been working with key allies to put
in place mechanisms that would provide for
lasting cooperative efforts.
We will
begin in FY 2005 to expand international
involvement in the program by encouraging
international industry participation and
investment in the development of alternative
boost/ascent phase element components, such
as the booster, kill vehicle, launcher, or
C2BM/C. This approach reduces risk, adds
options for component evolution for
potential insertion during Block 2012, and
potentially leads to an indigenous overseas
production capability. We intend to award a
contract for this effort this year.
In 2003 the United States
signed a Memorandum of Understanding on
Ballistic Missile Defense with the United
Kingdom and an annex enabling the upgrade of
the Fylingdales early warning radar. We are
continuing our consultations with Denmark
regarding the upgrade of the Thule radar
site in Greenland. Australia has announced
plans to participate in our efforts,
building on its long-standing defense
relationship with the United States. Canada
also has entered into formal discussion on
missile defense and is considering a BMD
role for the U.S.-Canadian North American
Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD). Our North
Atlantic Treaty Organization partners have
initiated a feasibility study for protection
of NATO territory against ballistic missile
attacks, which builds upon ongoing work to
define and develop a NATO capability for
protection of deployed forces.
We are continuing work with
Israel to implement the Arrow System
Improvement Program and enhance its missile
defense capability to defeat the
longer-range ballistic missile threats
emerging in the Middle East. We are also
establishing a capability in the United
States to co-produce specified Arrow
interceptor missile components, which will
help Israel meet its defense requirements
more quickly and maintain the U.S.
industrial work share. We are intent on
continuing U.S.-Russian collaboration and
are now working on the development of
software that will be used to support the
ongoing U.S.-Russian Theater Missile Defense
exercise program.
We have other international
interoperability and technical cooperation
projects underway as well and are working to
establish formal agreements with other
governments. Our international work is a
priority that is consistent with our vision
and supportive of our goals.
World-Class Systems
Engineering—The Key Success Factor
The President’s direction to
defeat ballistic missiles of all ranges in
all phases of flight drove us to develop and
build a single integrated system of layered
defenses and forced us to transition our
thinking to become more system-centric. We
established the Missile Defense National
Team to solve the demanding technical
problems ahead of us and capitalize on the
new engineering opportunities created by our
withdrawal from the ABM Treaty. The
National Team brings together the best, most
experienced people from the military and
civilian government work forces, industry,
and the federal laboratories to work
aggressively and collaboratively on one of
the nation’s top priorities. No single
contractor or government office has all the
expertise needed to design and engineer an
integrated and properly configured BMD
system. Let me give a perspective on why
the National Team is so important.
What we have accomplished is
an unprecedented integration of sensors
communications infrastructure, and weapons
that cut across Service responsibilities on
a global scale. Even our first engagement
sequence involves an unparalleled
accomplishment.
The BMD system will engage a
long-range ballistic missile threat across
9,500 miles. Threat messages sent by an
Aegis destroyer will pass this data across
eight BMD system communication nodes.
System data travels across approximately
48,000 miles of communication lines. The
engagement takes place 3,500 from Fort
Greely at an altitude of 100 kilometers.
At no time in history has there been an
engagement performed by detection and weapon
engagement systems separated by such
distances. Over the past year and a half,
we have rapidly built confidence in this
weapon engagement capability through the use
of proven systems and technologies coupled
with robust integrated tests and exercises.
The National Team’s job has
not been easy. System engineers work in a
changed procurement and fielding
environment, which in the missile defense
world means making engineering assessments
and decisions based on technical objectives
and goals and possible adversary
capabilities rather than on specifications
derived from more traditional operational
requirements documents. This unified
industry team arrangement does not stifle
innovation or compromise corporate
well-being. There is firm government
oversight and greater accessibility for all
National Team members to organizations,
people, and data relevant to our mission.
We accomplished this without abandoning
sound engineering principles, management
discipline, or accountability practices.
Significant benefits have
resulted from this unique approach. Early
on, this team brought to the program several
major improvements, including: system-level
integration of our command and control
network; adoption of an integrated
architecture approach to deal with
countermeasures; development of a
capability-requirement for forward-based
sensors, such as the Forward Deployable
Radar and the Sea-Based X-Band Radar; and
identification of initial architecture
trades for the boost/ascent phase intercept
mission. The National Team also developed
and implemented an engagement sequence group
methodology, which optimizes performance by
looking at potential engagement data flows
through the elements and components of the
system independent of Service or element
biases. If we had retained the traditional
element-centric engineering approach, I am
doubtful that any one of the element prime
contractors would have entertained the idea
of a forward-based radar integrated with a
“competing” system element. The National
Team is central to this program.
Responsible and Flexible
Management
Congressional support for key
changes in management and oversight have
allowed us to execute the Missile Defense
Program responsibly and flexibly by
adjusting the program to our progress every
year, improving decision cycle time, and
making the most prudent use of the money
allocated to us.
One of the key process
changes we made in 2001 was to engage the
Department’s top leadership in making annual
decisions to accelerate, modify, or
terminate missile defense activities. We
take into account how each development
activity contributes to effectiveness and
synergy within the system, technical risk,
schedules, and cost, and we then assess how
it impacts our overall confidence in the
effort. We have successfully used this
process over the past three years.
Today’s program is
significantly different from the program of
three years ago. In 2001 and 2002 we
terminated Space-Based Laser development in
favor of further technology development;
restructured the Space-Based Infrared
Sensors (Low) system, renaming it the Space
Tracking and Surveillance System, to support
more risk reduction activities; cancelled
the Navy Area program following significant
cost overruns; and accelerated PAC-3’s
deployment to the field. We also proposed a
modest beginning in fielding the BMD system
and put Aegis BMD and its SM-3 interceptor
on track to field.
This year we have
restructured the ABL program to deal more
effectively with the technical and
engineering challenges before us and make
steady progress based on what we know. We
also decided to end the Russian-American
Observation Satellite (RAMOS) project
because of rising levels of risk. After
eight years of trying, RAMOS was not making
the progress we had expected in negotiations
with the Russian Federation. So we are
refocusing our efforts on new areas of
cooperation with our Russian counterparts.
These periodic changes in the
RDT&E program have collectively involved
billions of dollars—that is, billions of
dollars that have been invested in more
promising activities, and billions of
dollars taken out of the less efficient
program efforts. The ability to manage
flexibly in this manner saves time and money
in our ultimate goal of fielding the best
defenses available on the shortest possible
timeline.
Such decisive management
moves were made collectively by senior
leaders in the Department and in MDA. I
believe these major changes are
unprecedented in many respects and validate
the management approach we put in place.
The benefits of doing so are clearly visible
today. When something is not working or we
needed a new approach, we have taken action.
Closing
Mr. Chairman, I would like to
recognize the many talented and dedicated
people across this country who have made,
and are continuing to make, our efforts
successful. I have met with people from
manufacturing facilities, R&D centers, and
test centers. I have met with people from
many different parts of the world who are
working on our international efforts. Our
fellow citizens should be proud of the
talent, commitment, and dedication that
every one of these people provides.
We take our responsibilities
very seriously. We have an obligation to
the President, the Congress, and the
American people to get it right. With the
continued strong support of Congress and
this committee, we will continue our
progress in defending the United States, our
troops, and our allies and friends against
all ranges of ballistic missiles in all
phases of flight.
Thank you, and I look forward
to your questions. |