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Military
CHINA DEBATES the
FUTURE SECURITY ENVIRONMENT
MICHAEL PILLSBURY
January 2000
National Defense University Press
Contents
PREFACE
PROLOGUE
1. THE MULTIPOLARITY DEBATE
2. AMERICA'S DECLINING ROLE
3. JAPAN AND INDIA: DANGEROUS DEMOCRACIES
4. A WEAK RUSSIA'S FUTURE
5. GEOPOLITICAL POWER CALCULATIONS
6. FORECASTING FUTURE WARS
7. CONCLUSIONS
ACRONYMS
CHINESE LANGUAGE BIBLIOGRAPHY
APPENDIX 1: THE DEFINITION OF STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT
APPENDIX 2: ASSESSMENT INSTITUTIONS
INDEX OF CHINESE AUTHORS
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
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